Arkle Novices' Chase Tips & Predictions

Arkle Chase Betting Tips

Our Arkle Chase betting tips focus on the second of seven races on day one at Cheltenham. It's a Grade 1 National Hunt steeplechase run over approximately two miles and is the second event of the day.

As the title suggests, this race is for Novice chasers only, which means these are horses without a win in their respective category (chasing, in this example) before the existing season got underway.

The Arkle tends to be a close affair between runners at the top of the market, so seeking out the best Arkle Chase trophy tips is crucial! Expert bettors in the field understand the nuances of present and previous form, pedigree, and ground conditions.

Arkle Novices Chase Betting Odds

2.10 - Arkle Novices’ Chase Tip (Grade 1, 2m)

Number of Expected Runners: 10

Favourite: Gaelic Warrior - 7/2

The Arkle is wide open this season with no standout runner. At a right-handed track this could have gone to Found A Fifty or Gaelic Warrior, but in going the other way perhaps HUNTERS YARN will be the answer. It is difficult to know the extent of his ability, but he won in the manner of a top-class novice last time and is surely better than we have seen. Matata, who is also owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede, might fare best of the British novices.

Selection: Hunters Yarn - 11/2

Understanding the Arkle Chase

The Arkle Chase was initially introduced to the event in 1969 and is named after festival legend Arkle, who triumphed in three consecutive runnings of the Gold Cup in 1964, 1965, and 1966.

It's a race where the fortunes of certain horses depend heavily on ground conditions. Recent runnings have favoured the frontrunners in the market -- indeed, the favourite won six of the last eight Arkle races.

You only have to look at the list of recent winners to see the level required to win this race. Winners enclosure inhabitants of recent times include the likes of Shishkin (2021), Altior (2017), and Douvan (2016)!

Top Arkle Chase Contenders

The top of the Arkle Chase market is a fascinating dogfight between Marine Nationale and Il Etait Temps Marine Nationale has come out of nowhere in 2022 to become one of the favourites for the 2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle and bested the favourite Facile Vega with ease last year. Meanwhile, Il Etait Temps had a difficult 2022, losing at the hands of Vauban on three occasions before rising through the ranks.

The french horse has been one of the more active potential participants in the lead-up to the event with two wins in the Thurles Beginners Chase and the Leopardstown Arkle Novice Chase, the latter featured Facile Vega and Marine Nationale and it was the first defeat of the latter's career.

Arkle Chase Betting Tips

Types of Bets Available

There are several Arkle Chase tips to follow through, which are laid out as follows:

Win Bet Pick the runner and rider you think will cross the finishing line first. You are betting on this result on the nose, meaning the horse has to win for you to make a financial return.

Each Way Bet The same as a Win Bet, but your stake is doubled for the place part, too. The place part typically divides the winner's odds by 1/5 or 1/4. That means if you bet £10 on a horse each way (£20 in total) at 5/1 and it finishes third in a race with eight runners or more, you will be paid the place part of this bet, which amounts to £20.

This punt is typically reserved for bigger-priced horses due to the potential for more significant returns.

Place Bet You are betting on a horse finishing in the nominal placings. However, if your horse wins the race, you will only receive returns according to the odds of a place rather than a win.

Strategies for betting on the Arkle Chase

What is the best approach to finding a winner in this race and kickstarting your festival with some success?

Assessing The Form of the Horses

Investigate recent runnings from your fancy. Has it beaten anything of note? What ground does it thrive on? How old is the horse and does it match up with recent winners of the race in question?

Identifying the Value Bets

Ultimately, betting is subjective, but the best bettors can establish value in their picks. For example, are you seeing a horse at bigger odds without good reason? Have the oddsmakers considered all the elements? Does the horse have previous against market leaders? All are factors to consider.

Bankroll management

Most importantly, it's vital you only bet what you can afford. Failure to adhere to a strict betting budget could result in substantial losses. Betting at Cheltenham should be a fun and friendly experience.

Factors to Consider When Placing a Bet

Several essential factors of a race can influence a result, some of which won't be understood until the day of the race, while others are known weeks before the starter's call. All of these should be considered when placing a bet.

Ground Conditions

Has it been pouring it down ahead of the festival? Or is it unseasonably warm? Ground conditions depend on the weather leading up to the festival. The more rain the course has had, the softer the ground will be, which will suit stamina-type horses with good records on this surface.

Weight Carried by the Horse

Is your preferred runner handicapped fairly? Remember, the purpose of the handicap is to equalize the chances of every runner at the start. Sometimes, the handicapper can be too fair, while on other occasions, too strict.

Jockey's Riding Style The horse may be the star of the show, but the jockey is a vital co-pilot, and their ability can decide a race. Research the jockey, their previous winners, and their past relationship with their ride to give you the best insight ahead of the race.

Arkle Chase Betting Trends and Statistics

Historical Trends and Statistics

  • The favourite has won eight of the last twelve runnings of the Arkle.
  • five of the previous seven winners were aged six.
  • There have only been two winners in the past 15 runnings of this race that have been priced in the double digits.

Analysis of Recent Results

It's clear that the cream often rises to the top in this race, so it makes sense for bettors to stay close to the top of the market. The dearth of recent big-priced winners also means it could pay to Win Only bets.

How to Use Trends and Statistics to Inform Your Bets

A debate often rages about the importance of trends and statistics and their effectiveness when using them to make predictions. Your job is to interpret the figures in a way that best supports your selection whilst considering the odds and risk/reward factors.

Arkle Chase Final Tips

Remember, a sensible Arkle Chase betting strategy involves thorough research and expert insight. Seek out knowledgeable voices to support your picks, do in-depth research, and make a judgement call based on all the available information.

Our pick for the Arkle is Marine Nationale. As it stands, the favourite looks unbeatable but the battle between Marine Nationale and Facile Vega will be a fascinating one but we need to see more from Vega in the lead-up.

When is the Arkle Chase?

The Arkle Chase is the feature race on the first day of the Cheltenham Festival. It will be held at 2:10 pm on the 12th of March 2024.

Who is the Favourite to Win the 2024 Renewal?

The current bookmakers favourite to win the Arkle Chase is Marine Nationale, but it’s a close call between him and Il Etait Temps.

Who Won the 2023 Renewal of the Arkle Chase?

The 2023 Arkle Chase was won by El Fabiolo for trainer Willie Mullins.

What is the Distance of the Arkle Chase?

There are 10 fences to negotiate across a 2-mile circuit. .

Who is the Most Successful Trainer in the Arkle Chase?

Nicky Henderson has trained seven winners in this race – Remittance Man (1991), Travado (1993), Tiutchev (2000), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Simonsig (2013), Altior (2017) and Shishkin (2021).

Take Time to Think | | 18+

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