Multi information

Unfortunately, we are not available in your area!

You are visiting a version of our website that is outside of your region.

Premier League Relegation Odds

When looking at relegation odds for the Premier League, it's difficult to know the exact three teams who are likely to drop down into the Championship. There are a small number of teams who are widely expected to drop down into the second tier and its unlikely that you'll find the best odds for relegation when betting on these teams. However, as Premier League odds go, betting on relegation is a fantastic way of checking bets that may have better odds and could go the distance, rather than a title race, that, with Manchester City in the league, may be over by March.

Premier League Relegation Odds 2022/23

Within the first few weeks of the Premier League season, it was already shaping up to be a fantastic year at the top and bottom of the table, particularly for those interested in online betting. Leicester City were looking almost certain to drop if they didn't sack Brendan Rodgers after 10 games. However, they've undergone a resurgence and look like a solid midtable team this season. At the start of the campaign, it was widely expected that the three teams to be relegated at the end of the campaign would consist of one of these teams:

  • Nottingham Forest
  • Fulham
  • Bournemouth
  • Leeds United
  • Everton
  • Brentford
  • Southampton

This was due to a number of reasons, Forest, Fulham and Bournemouth had come up from the Championship, Leeds were deemed as lucky to survive and lost their star man in Raphinha, Southampton didn't look up to scratch as teams around them were improving, Brentford could suffer from second season syndrome and Everton looked dreadful under Frank Lampard despite surviving the previous campaign. As it stands, a small number of points separate the bottom half but Fulham and Brentford look relatively set to relatively comfortably avoid relegation, while Southampton and Nottingham Forest are short in the Premier League betting odds with a surprise package in the form of Wolves.

Who are our picks to be relegated?

A lot of questions have been asked of teams fighting against relegation during the World Cup break, Premier League odds for relegation may be static but the teams involved haven't been. Everton are a prime example of this, touring Australia and facing a number of teams in the area during the tournament, whether or not this will aid them in their battle against the drop, we don't know. However, we do know that the race to reach 40 points has never been hotter than it looks this season! We've taken a look at each of the teams above and a number of others and expressed our opinion of whether or not they'll be relegated this season.

Nottingham Forest - High chance of relegation

Sitting as the favourite to be relegated we have Nottingham Forest and when you watch them play, it's quite clear to see why. However, there is an fantastic resistance and likeability to Forest that a number of teams in the relegation battle don't have, so it will be disappointing if Forest get relegated but in our opinion, they simply don't have the ability on the field to stay-up. However, there is one potential bonus for Nottingham Forest with the World Cup break, as they signed 20+ players in the Summer, they'll have another month to settle in and train with the club for their 23 games after the break. A small bonus that may impact Nottingham Forest more than other teams but we don't think it'll be enough to stay up this season.

Our Verdict: To be relegated.

Fulham - Small Chance of Relegation

Sticking with newly promoted teams, we are finally seeing the potential that Fulham were supposed to show two seasons ago. Premier League odds of relegation have always favoured Fulham surviving through the skin of their teeth. However, the Premier League is incredibly unpredictable and it is unlikely that anybody expected Fulham to perform as well as they have this season. They've matched every single team they've faced with one exception, a 1-4 defeat to Newcastle United, they've been incredibly unlucky to lose to Arsenal, Manchester City and Manchester United in three games that if they have managed to hold on for the draw, would see them above Chelsea at this point in the season. The Premier League can cause surprises, but we believe Fulham will be very comfortable this season.

Our Verdict: Fulham to survive

Bournemouth: Medium chance of Relegation

Bournemouth followed up their 2-0 victory over Aston Villa on the opening day of the season with three heavy defeats and it sounded like manager Scott Parker had already accepted relegation. So, he was sacked, perhaps rightfully so when you consider the fantastic impact Gary O'Neil had on Bournemouth. They have never dropped into the relegation zone this season and went on a run of six games without defeat, including a fantastic draw at St James' Park against high-flying Newcastle United. However, a loss to rivals Southampton sparked 4 defeats in a row leaving them firmly in a relegation battle. It is heavily rumoured that Gary O'Neil will be removed as Interim Manager and a new manager will come in. May they get a better manager than O'Neil? Absolutely, will that manager do better with this set of players? We doubt it. It feels like we may see double the odds for Bournemouth to be relegated sooner rather than later.

Our Verdict: Bournemouth to be relegated

Leeds United - Medium Chance to be relegated

Having Leeds United back in the Premier League has been a joy to behold for the neutral fan. They have small rivalries with a large number of teams in the league but they have always been entertaining to watch. Under Marcelo Bielsa they were without a doubt the most entertaining team to watch but they were close to being relegated under him. Now American Jesse Marsch is at the helm and after a dramatic survival last season, they won just two out of eleven games in the lead up to the World Cup but Leeds fans will be ecstatic that Spaniard Rodrigo looks back to his goalscoring best and the likes of Crysencio Summerville have come through to shine during this season.

Our Verdict: Leeds to survive.

Everton - High chance of relegation

Similar to Leeds United last season, Everton changed their manager from Rafael Benitez and Frank Lampard, now whether or not they actually improved as a team depends on who you talk to. In our opinion, Everton haven't improved and the loss of Richarlison means that they've lost the majority of goals in their squad without replacement. Relegation odds for Everton are relatively high considering their position. If Dominic Calvert-Lewin can hit goalscoring form, then Everton have a semi-decent chance of survival. However, Goodison Park has the potential to be a fortress for Everton and we think it'll be vital as Everton stay up, just.

Our Verdict: Everton to survive.

Brentford: Medium chance of relegation

When you look at Brentford's position in the table, it seems unbelievable that they would be relegated. However, Premier League odds will dramatically change if Ivan Toney is heavily charged in regard to his betting scandal. Brentford would lose their focal point in attack. If you subtract Toney's goals this season, they would have 11 points and sit in 19th. Now, this isn't suggesting that Brentford's replacement striker wouldn't score a goal but they would be significantly closer to the drop if their top goalscorer wasn't around and as he may miss a large chunk of the season, depending on any potential punishment. If Toney is going to be banned for a prolonged time, you'll likely get double the odds for Brentford being relegated during the World Cup than you will after it. However, we believe that Brentford will survive regardless.

Our Verdict: Brentford to survive

Wolves - High chance of relegation

Wolves sat bottom of the Premier League during the World Cup but betting odds suggest they still have a better chance of survival than some of the names on this list. Premier League relegation stats suggest teams bottom of the table at Christmas typically get relegated but Wolves are in a unique situation, having more games to play than any other team in history, thus giving them a higher chance of survival. In our opinion, the last relegation spot will go down to one of the two remaining teams in our list, both have already changed their manager this season. Wolves have brought in legendary Spanish manager Julen Lopetegui and although his win rate isn't going to be anywhere near the rate he had with Real Madrid, Sevilla or Spain, he'll do a good job and keep Wolves afloat in the Premier League, we also think they'll be one of the bigger spenders in January, you don't hire a legendary manager without planning to back him.

Our Verdict: Wolves to survive

Southampton: High chance of relegation

Similar to Wolves, Southampton sacked their manager before the 2022 World Cup and their relegation odds have actually gotten worse since hiring his replacement. Ralph Hassenhuttl had a tough time at Southampton but many fans are worrying for Southampton after the appointment of Nathan Jones. The Welshman has done a fantastic job at Luton Town but his failure at Stoke City sticks in the mind of many, Jones had a 40+% win rate during both spells at Luton but won just 15.6% of his games during his season at Stoke City and if he has a similar run with Southampton, they'll be the first relegated team this season. A gigantic risk by the Saints and one that we believe will cost them dearly.

Our Verdict: Southampton to be relegated

Premier League: Relegated Teams last 10 seasons

Year 18th 19th 20th
2021/22 Burnley (35) Watford (23) Norwich (22)
2020/21 Fulham (28) West Brom (26) Sheffield United (23)
2019/20 Bournemouth (34) Watford (34) Norwich (21)
2018/19 Cardiff City (34) Fulham (26) Huddersfield (16)
2017/18 Swansea City (33) Stoke City (33) West Brom (31)
2016/17 Hull City (34) Middlesbrough (28) Sunderland (24)

Most surprising relegations regarding betting odds

In the past, there have been a number of teams that have on paper been 'too good for relegation' and still found themselves dropping down to the second tier. Here are the top three clubs who were tipped for success and found failure.

Blackburn Rovers: 1998/99 - relegated with 35 Points

After manager Roy Hodgson guided Blackburn Rovers to a spot in the UEFA Cup in 1997/98, many expected Blackburn to challenge for the top places in the division once again. With a squad that boasted Chris Sutton, Damien Duff, Tim Flowers and Tim Sherwood, many tipped Blackburn for success. However, defeat to Lyon in the first round of the UEFA Cup summed up their season. After winning just two of their first 14 games, Roy Hodgson was sacked and Brian Kidd took over, leaving them unbeaten in seven games. Ultimately, beating unbeaten without winning games is what cost them, as they drew 11 games out of 23 under Kidd and were relegated in 19th place.

Newcastle United: 2008/09 - Relegated with 34 Points

As relegations go, few have been more of a shock in football betting than Newcastle United's first Premier League relegation. When Mike Ashley took over Newcastle United, they were a semi-established European team, they had only missed out on making a European competition once in nearly 10 years but had little to no success in the competitions they were entered in. So to think, within two years, Newcastle would be relegated would have baffled many. With Michael Owen, Obafemi Martins, Shay Given, Fabricio Coloccini and more household European names in their squad, many tipped Newcastle for a season that wouldn't live up to Geordie's expectations but a static mid-table finish. However, for Mike Ashley it was bad decision after bad decision that sent the Magpies down, with club legend Kevin Keegan resigning early in the campaign and the appointment of Joe Kinnear sparking mass frustrations amongst the team with Charles N'Zogbia going on strike after being mistakenly called "Charles Insomnia" during an press conference. The club was then left in the hands of a club legend with no managerial experience as Ashley turned to Alan Shearer in what can only be regarded as a PR stunt gone wrong. It looks like there are brighter times ahead for the Magpies; however, as it looks unlikely that they'll be relegated any time soon.

Leeds United 2003/04 - Relegated with 33 points

Before the 2003 season, we had seen a number of surprising relegations, so there were a number of teams who people thought could drop down into the lower divisions. However, Leeds United weren't one of those teams, after a disappointing campaign the season before, popular belief was that Leeds would strive without European football and challenge in the top half once again but after 8 points in their first 13 games, Leeds needed a change and Peter Reid was sacked, Leeds legend Eddie Gray took over the team as caretaker manager, similar to Alan Shearer at Newcastle but Gray did have managerial experience, albeit in the 80's. It looked like this gamble had worked as Leeds went five unbeaten but six defeats in a row following this killed their momentum. When you look at their squad and realise they had the likes of Mark Viduka, Lucas Radebe, Alan Smith, Ian Harte and Paul Robinson, this is without a doubt the strongest team on paper to ever be relegated but it just goes to show that no team is ever too good to be relegated.

Relegation Betting Odds FAQs

Q. Which club has been relegated from the Premier League the most?

Norwich City are the club who have been relegated from the Premier League the most in their history with 6 relegations. (1994/95, 2004/05, 2013/14, 2015/16, 2019/20 and 2021/22).

Q. How many teams have had just one season in the Premier League due to relegation?

Three, after Brentford comfortably survived in 2021/22, Blackpool, Barnsley and Swindon Town are the three teams who were relegated in their first Premier League season and haven't returned back to the league since. Out of these three teams Blackpool could be deemed as unlucky as they were relegated with 39 points in 2010/11. In the 38-game format, only three teams have been relegated with higher points than Blackpool during that season, all three occurrences happened before 2004, so Blackpool's points total would have been enough in any other season between 2003/2004 and the current day.

Q. What is the highest points total a team has been relegated with?

A. 49. Crystal Palace are an incredibly unlucky team when it comes to relegation, they have the highest points per game record of any relegated side with 1.16 in 1992/93 where they finished the season with a whopping 49 points in the inaugural Premier League season. They were relegated on goal difference behind Oldham Athletic who were the third-best scorers in the division that season. They were only 14 points behind 5th-placed QPR despite winning just one of their first 14 games. Another stat that makes them unlucky is that Crystal Palace were also the team relegated due to the change from 42 to 38 games which meant a 4th team had to be relegated from the competition, this happened two years later as Palace were this time relegated with 45 points.

Q. Can I use Free Bets on Relegation betting?

A. Of course! Any Free Bets that you receive at BetUK will allow you to utilise the promotion on Relegation betting, unless the promotion specifically states what the bonus should be used on. For example, if you're betting on the World Cup, you would notice that a promotion may specifically mention an individual match or betting market you would need to bet on. You will also find alongside this a number of requirements for the bet, including qualifying bet settlement, free bets expire on a specific date, whether the bet comes as cash or bet credits, min odds, whether payment method exclusions apply and more!

Or alternatively, if you're looking to bet on sports and play casino games at the same time, you have the opportunity to land a casino bonus at BetUK.

Betting on the 2022 World Cup

Looking to place a bet on the 2022 FIFA World Cup? Look no further than the BetUK Sportsbook, where we have everything you'll need for World Cup betting games such as Qatar Vs Ecuador betting or Netherlands Vs Senegal betting.