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DP World Tour Championship Tips

DP World Tour Championship Betting Tips

World Tour Championship Golf Betting Tips

Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the World Tour Championship make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.

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Rob Cobley’s World Tour Championship Betting Tips

Robert McIntyre - 25/1 To Win Andy Sullivan - 25/1 To Win

The Course

The Earth Course - Jumeirah Golf Estates, Dubai - Par 72, 7,830 Yards

The European Tour reaches its crescendo to a challenging and unusual year this week in the desert of Dubai as the Earth Course at the Jumeirah Golf Estate hosts the World Tour Championship for the 11th consecutive year. This is where the European Tour's Race to Dubai typically crowns its winner, however, this year is a little anticlimactic as the season rolls over to 2021.

The host venue is set 20 minutes south from the centre of Dubai and was designed in 2008 by Greg Norman, who himself had enjoyed substantial success in this region at the Desert Classic, which preceded the World Championship. The Earth Course is a typical desert course; it's long, relatively easy, and forgiving leading to consistently low scores each year. The fairways are generous, typically around 30-40 yards wide, with the only real hazards from the tee being the large bunkers placed by their edges around landing distance. This is particularly the case on the left-hand side of the opening hole. The rough is not much of a relevance. If the players do find it, which wouldn't be expected more than once or twice each round, then it tends to be reasonably easy to play from.

On the closing three holes, there is water which is very much in play to replace the other softer hazards with some genuinely challenging shot-making proposals for the players. The 18th has a creek running the length of the hole which will likely be found by most players at some point during the week. The greens are large, fast, undulating, Bermuda grass with significant run-off areas. They will be receptive to good iron shots, and most shots will stop quickly into the upslope as the majority of greens slope from back to front. The keys to success here are precision high long iron shots and being able to navigate the fast Bermuda greens. Previous course form is highly relevant this week.

Last Five Winners

Year Winner Score
2019 John Rahm -19
2018 Danny Willett -18
2017 John Rahm -19
2016 Matthew Fitzpatrick -17
2015 Rory McIlroy -21

The Market Leaders

With no substantial pot of gold on offer this week in Dubai, the turnout has been unusually poor as the curtain draws on the European Tour for 2020. This event is typically one of the strongest and best-supported events in the World, but this year is a disappointing exception.

That is evidenced no better than Patrick Reed 8/1 leading the market. Reed is a great supporter both of this event and of the European Tour in general, and he makes his fourth start on the Earth Course having finished inside the top 10 on each of the previous three; including a 2nd three years ago. The course suits Reed with a premium on an excellent short game around the raised greens with large runoff areas. His form is good with a 10th place at the Masters in his last start, but for me, the price is just too short in what is still a reasonable field.

Tyrrell Hatton has three top 10s in six starts here without really ever threatening to win, but the second half of this year has seen some strong finishes from the Englishman, and he indeed represents a danger here. His game is similar to Reeds in that the mid irons and short game represents Tyrrell's strengths, and a good week here could very conceivably see him right at the top of the leaderboard come the weekend.

Young Norwegian Talent Victor Hovland makes his first appearance in Dubai following on from his second win of the season on the PGA Tour last week in Mayakoba. Hovland is one of the premium talents along with the likes of Morikawa from a young crop of international players coming through in the US, however for me the length and set up of the course are very different to the venues where he has previously won, and he is a no bet.

Tommy Fleetwood arrives in somewhat sketchy form, but was 2nd here last year behind John Rahm. Fleetwood's game should suit the course as well as it does for most but, for me, the better value lies elsewhere.

Rob’s Golf Betting Tips

Headline Betting Tip

Robert MacIntyre: 25/1 To Win

Robert MacIntyre was a player that I expected an awful lot from this season. Although he struggled both pre and post lockdown, he has managed to put that behind him with an excellent run that has seen him post his first Tour victory in Cyprus and a host of other top 20 finishes. MacIntyre has an excellent long game. He shapes the ball both ways, hits it high, and will love the challenge posed by the Earth Course here in Dubai. Last season when he was still chasing his maiden Tour win, MacIntyre finished 14th, and I can only see him improving upon that here this week. 4 points e/w at 25/1

Other Betting Tips

Andy Sullivan: 25/1 To Win

Andy Sullivan played some fantastic golf last week, only to be beaten right at the end by Antoine Rozner. "Sully" is no stranger to success here either with a 10th place last year and previously a 2nd back in 2014. When on form, he is one of the best players, and most clinical finishers, on Tour, and he will be strongly motivated having not gotten the business done last week. Either way, with a great long game and his short game in such excellent touch (he posted 20 under par last week) he has to be one of the strongest contenders this week and his price looks great value to me. I have had 3 points e/w at 25/1

2020 P&L

Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.

Tour Points
European Tour -190 points
PGA Tour +30 points
Total -160 points
2020-11-18