Bet UK WGC Mexico Championship Golf Preview
Rob Cobley is a maths graduate who has spent several years working in the betting industry. He is now able to share his tips on the World’s biggest golfing events exclusively for Bet UK customers. In his debut for Bet UK, the former sports betting trader tipped a 150/1 J.B Holmes, giving Bet UK customers fantastic analysis and a good outside bet with plenty of value. Cobley looks to pick out another top tip exclusively for Bet UK this week for the WGC Mexico Championship. Follow him here. You can also get golf betting tips for all major golf events at Bet UK's sports betting blog.
The Course - Club de Golf Chapultepec
On the back of last week’s 150/1 winner J.B.Holmes, we head south of the border and into Mexico for this year’s opening WGC event, and the third WGC Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec in Juarez. At nearly 8000 feet above sea level, the ball flies around 9% further than it did last week at Riviera, so negating some of the advantage held by bombers such as last week’s tip Holmes. Some have likened the course to European style courses such as Crans Sur Sierre, and it will be interesting to see the level of challenge from the European contingent this week.
The Market Leaders
It is no surprise to see the market headed by Justin Thomas after his near miss last week at Riviera. Other notables include Dustin Johnson who followed up his win in 2017 with another top 10 last year. Coming off a win two weeks ago, and a ninth place finish last week, the American is again in good form, but in this depth of field the quotes of 10/1 do not make for much excitement. The European challenge is headed by Rory Mcilroy and John Rahm. Both have top 10s here in 2017, and were in the top 10 last week at Rivieira and must command respect. Elsewhere Tiger Woods is available at 20/1, and Brooks Koepka returns to competitive action for the first time since a disappointing display at Torey Pines.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Tip - Justin Thomas: 9/1*
Justin Thomas comes to Chapultepec on the back of a hugely disappointing second place at Riviera where he passed up several opportunities to take the title, including a 4 putt on the 14th hole. Thomas is a slight but powerfully built player, and the set up should perfectly suit his strong tee to green play. The Kikuyu fairways reward pure ball striking, and this is what Thomas excels at. He has not been outside the top 5 in two appearances here, and in his current form it is almost impossible to see him not contending on the back 9 come Sunday evening.
He is certainly worth a hefty investment of 4 points win at 9/1*
Rafa Cabrera Bello: 48/1*
Cabrera Bello finished 3rd here last year and arrives on the back of two solid T-25 finishes on the PGA Tour. The Spaniard should be comfortable in these Latin surroundings, and is another who we would expect to see in the mix. He has proved over the past year that he holds no fear of the big occasion, regularly featuring at the top of Major Championship leaderboards, and should be a strong contender in the Mexican sun at a generous 48/1*.
Shane Lowry: 70/1*
Talented Irishman Lowry returned to the winners enclosure after a confusing absence earlier this year when he won the Abu Dhabi Championship last month, and it would be no surprise for the likeable Irishman to see that run of form extend into a WGC. He has won at this level before having claimed the Bridgestone back in 2015. He is a newcomer to this event having failed to qualify for the last two returns held in Mexico, however he took last week off to work on his game after a missed cut, and we suspect that might just give him that edge that he needs to mount a serious assault on a 5th career title.
Branden Grace: 150/1*
Our final selection goes to South Africa’s Branden Grace. Regarded as somewhat of a sleeping giant, Grace has often contended at majors and on the biggest stages, and a WGC could be just the event that he needs to lift his game to the next level. He led briefly at Pebble Beach two weeks ago, and clearly is not far off the level he would need to add a WGC to his CV. He also finished 2nd at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and has played this course each of the last 2 years so there will be no surprises for the powerful little South African.
*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
If you are betting on the Mexico Championship, please gamble responsibly and remember that when the fun stops, stop. All players must be 18+.