Valspar Championship Golf Betting Tips
Rob Cobley is a maths graduate who has spent several years working in the betting industry. He is now able to share his tips on the World’s biggest golfing events exclusively for Bet UK customers. Head over to Bet UK’s sportsbook for the latest golf betting odds for the Valspar Championship. You can also get golf betting tips for all major golf events at Bet UK's sports betting blog.
Last Weeks Results - Last week, Cobley correctly predicted Jhonnathan Vegas (175/1) and Jason Day (38/1) to place each way in the Players Championships.
The Course - The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook
The PGA Tour remains in Florida this week, and heads to Innisbrook, and one of the more challenging and unpredictable tracks at the Copperhead course. The unpredictability applies mostly to the greens. This is, on the whole, a ball strikers paradise, however, it is not unusual for a player to miss several very short putts per round on the fast, hard to read, bermuda putting surfaces.
Almost uniquely, Copperhead has 5 par 3s & par 5s amongst its make up, however the latter does not necessarily make for low scoring with par being a good return for any player on any hole. Patience and a precise iron game are the keys to success at Copperhead, with length off the tee almost irrelevant and short hitters are often flung into the limelight at Innisbrook with the likes of Hadwin, Furyk, Streelman and Donald winning in recent years. The typical winning score is around 10 under par as it was last year for England’s Paul Casey.
The Market Leaders
The market this week is led by the big names as you would perhaps expect, with the likes of Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, John Rahm, and Sergio Garcia making up the first four places in the betting; although with prices ranging from 12/1 to 25/1, this does give credence to the fact that Copperhead is a course where a winner can come from absolutely anywhere. Indeed three of the last six winners (Hadwin, Streelman, Senden) have all gone off at an SP of 100/1 or bigger, so giving us plenty of value players down the field to add to our 175/1 place of Johnnatan Vegas last week.
My headline tip this week is American Brandt Snedeker. Snedeker is a very capable yet streaky player, and if looking to invest in him it is crucial to find the right moment. He is not always at the top of the leaderboard, but goes on streaks of form for around 3-4 weeks, and after last week’s 5th place at The Players’ Championship, now could be just the right moment for a bet on Snedeker. It is also noting that Snedeker has been a regular visitor to Copperhead, playing 6 of the last 10 years, making the cut on every occasion, and showing his ability to contend here when he finished 4th back in 2011. Snedeker is very consistent, and his iron play and short putting can be as good as anyone in the game. I am very bullish about his chances this week and will be backing him with 3 points E/W @ 44/1*
Jim Furyk: 33/1* To Win
It wouldn’t have been unreasonable to suggest that last year’s US Ryder Cup captain Furyk’s best years were behind him following 18 months largely in the wilderness, however lately he has again shown flashes of form, and has been in the top 10 on his last two PGA Tour outings, including a highly credible 2nd at The Players last week on a track remarkably similar in many ways to Innisbrook.
Furyk is another who is used to the challenges and nuances of the Copperhead course having posted 3 top 10s in his last 6 appearances here, to go with the win he achieved when he posted 13 under to edge out Korea’s K.K. Choi by a shot in 2010. With blustery conditions forecast, the calm American could be in his element, and his patience and accurate long game could be the difference between him and the field this week. 2 Points E/W @ 33/1*
Sungjae Im: 60/1* To Win
Very little is known about the undoubtedly talented young Korean who has burst onto the Tour this year with an array of impressive finishes including a highly impressive 3rd place at The Bay Hill Invitational 2 weeks. This was followed up by a missed cut at Sawgrass, but that isn’t a concern regarding Im, who I expect will break into the winners circle this year and be a prominent player on Tour for many years to come.
As alluded to, Copperhead has seen Korean success in the past with countryman K.J. Choi winning in 2002 & 2006, as well as his runner up position to Furyk four years later. This could be the spur that Im needs to take his success to the next level and claim his first Tour title this week, and he is worth an interest of 1 Points E/W @ 60/1*
Kevin Na: 70/1* To Win
Kevin Na is the third American that we have gone for this week in Florida. Na missed the cut last week at The Players, but looked relaxed and showed signs of the game that has made him a multiple time Tour winner, and that has also seen him compete around Copperhead with finishes of 2nd, 8th & 10th. Na is a fiery and unpredictable character at the best of times, but if he can manage those emotions this week, I expect that he will be amongst the leading contenders. His putting, similarly to that of Snedeker is also streaky and has been one of the things that has held him back from winning more often. With the prospect of that being much improved this week, Kevin Na is worth a bet. 2 Points E/W @ 70/1*
*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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