Bet UK Valero Texas Open Golf Betting Tips - Rob Cobley
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with several years experience in the betting industry. He is now able to share his tips on the world's biggest golfing events, exclusively at Bet UK. For the latest golf betting odds on all PGA and European Tour events, head over to Bet UK’s online sportsbook. You can also get golf betting tips for all major golf events at Bet UK's sports betting blog.
Last Week’s Results - After 2 places last week and a 60/1 place at the Valspar Championship, Cobley again predicted a 28/1 at the Indian Open in Nacho Elvira who finished 6th just outside paying places.
The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio, Texas. 7,435 Yards, Par 72.
In the absence of an event on the European Tour this week, the PGA Tour heads south to Texas for the Valero Texas Open. This event is, somewhat unkindly, recognised widely as the preamble to The Masters which starts next week in neighbouring Georgia, however has a rich history of its own, providing drama and high profile winners; not least since the 2010 move to TPC San Antonio, and the Greg Norman & Sergio Garcia designed Oaks course.
TPC San Antonio is a largely exposed track that often brings windy conditions. With tough driving and large Augusta esque run off areas, this is regularly one of the most challenging courses on the Tour and the scene of a mic’d up Kevin Na’s infamous 16 on the 9th back in 2011. The Oaks course is also famed for its exciting finish with the water lined drivable par 4 17th, and reachable par 5 18th
Last FIve WInners:
2018: Andrew Landry -17
2017: Kevin Chappell -12
2016: Charley Hoffman -12
2015: Jimmy Walker -11
2013 : Steven Bowditch -8
The Market Leaders
Rickie Fowler sits atop a rather US friendly head of the market in Texas being, at 10/1, ahead of the nearest competitor and local favourite Tony Finau. Behind them are Horschel, Spieth, Kuchar, and Kokrak, with South Korea’s Sung Jae Im the lowest price non American at 28/1. We tipped Im who placed at 60/1 at Innisbrook two weeks ago, and who followed that with a seventh place finish last week.
This tournament has been won by outsiders on a couple of occasions recently with Steven Bowditch triumphing at 300/1, before Andrew Landry shocked the field last year to take the title at an unlikely 250/1.
I have gone for an American as my headline tip this week in the shape of local lad Ryan Palmer who was born just up the road in Amarillo, and who will not be short of support this week. Palmer is a highly consistent player, and showcased his good recent form when 4th in what will be similarly windy conditions at the Honda Classic 4 weeks ago.
Palmer also has exceptionally good form around the Oaks Course having finished in the top 6 in 3 of the past 4 years, with last year’s missed cut being somewhat of an anomaly for the highly talented Texan. With 3 PGA Tour wins, and 9 second place finishes, Palmer is no stranger to being in contention, and will enjoy the rowdy and raucous Texan crowds that turn up over the weekend. He is well worth a play at an industry leading price with 3 points E/W at 55/1*.
My next pick is another Texan, and previous champion at TPC San Antonio; Charley Hoffman. He showed form last week with an 18th place finish, and posted another top 20 on the Tour’s other visit to the Lone Star State earlier in the season for the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February. As mentioned, Hoffman has a stellar record here with a win and 5 further top 10s in his last 8 visits. That includes a 3rd place in 2013 where he lost the tournament from an almost unopposable position.
Although recent form has been scratchy, with 6 missed cuts to add to the 20th in Houston, Hoffman is most at home in San Antonio, and will be hugely motivated by the lure of an invite to Augusta should he triumph this week. He is worth a bet of 3 Points e/w at 45/1*
Another American that I have chosen to add to our stable this week is Bud Cauley. The Floridian has seen somewhat of a revival lately having dipped from the promising form that he showed earlier in his career, and the 29 year old has done enough to indicate that he might well be ready to improve upon a best-placed finish of 3rd on the PGA Tour. Although life has sometimes been a struggle, Cauley has posted two notably impressive top 20s including amongst a top class field at the Farmers Insurance Open, and has a 10th place here on his last outing to fall back on for some confidence this week. This might be the last time we see Cauley at such a big price for some time, and I will be backing him with 2 Points e/w at 80/1*.
The final pick, and 3rd Texan that I shall be backing this week is Brian Gay. Although not a regular contender for titles in recent years, Gay does have 4 wins to his name, and has performed very well on occasions this season, including a very impressive 7th at a blustery Pebble Beach Pro Am back in January
As well as that impressive performance, Gay has form at TPC San Antonio having posted finishes of 6th and 4th in recent visits to the Oaks course where he will again enjoy strong support from friends and family having been born and raised in Fort Worth. The 47 year old is worthy of a bet to produce one final swan song with 1 Point e/w at 125/1*.
*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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