WGC Fedex St Jude Invitational Golf Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of sports betting experience. He’s now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. Head over to Bet UK’s online betting markets for the latest golf betting odds ahead of the St Jude Invitational.
TPC Southwind, Memphis - Tennessee, USA - Par 70, 7,244 Yards
This week sees the unusual occurrence of a World Golf Championship event following straight on the back of a Major as the World’s top players travel from Portrush to Memphis, Tennessee, and the WGC St Jude Invitational. Twenty miles east of the city, TPC Southwind was first designed in 1970 by Ron Prichard, and was later lengthened and toughened in 2004 to the challenging par 70 venue that we see today.
With narrow Zoysia grass fairways, and small, fast bermuda greens, Southwind presents a significant challenge. Water is very much in play on ten of the eighteen holes, and bunkering is penal. To challenge and win here, players need to be long, straight, and preferably to have an in form short game. In short, this is an all round venue that is likely to produce winners of a high calibre. Course form holds more weight at Southwind than it does at other venues with David Toms, Justin Leonard, Daniel Berger, and Dustin Johnson all winning this event on multiple occasions over the last 14 years.
Last Five Winners:
2018: Dustin Johnson - -19
2017: Daniel Burger - -10
2016: Daniel Burger - -13
2015: Fabian Gomez - -13
2014 : Ben Crane - -10
The Market Leaders
Five of the World’s best sit atop the market in Memphis this week as Dustin Johnson (10/1), Rory McIlroy (10/1), Brooks Koepka (12/1), Justin Thomas (12/1) and John Rahm (12/1) all make their way to the US to compete in the penultimate WGC of the season. Coming so soon on the back of a thrilling Open Championship at Royal Portrush, it is easy for this event to slip somewhat under the radar. The St Jude has also been a regular stop on Tour for over 20 years which also takes away some of the mystique often associated with these types of events. That is, however, unfair on this great venue and the WGC concept as they continue to successfully grow golf around the World.
Market favourite Johnson has a terrific record here with two wins and two other top 10s in his last 6 starts, including a win last year. His form lately has been more patchy with a 51st place last week quite indicative of his season aside from impressive runners up finishes at both The Masters and the USPGA. It is hard to gauge which Dustin will turn up this week, and at the price I am content to pass him over. Mcilroy is a more interesting proposition coming in on the back of an emotional exit from The Open following a disastrous opening 79. He will be keen to show that he is capable of bouncing back and a WGC could not come at a better time for him. His record here includes a 7th place from just two starts, and I wouldn't rule out a comeback victory this week for Rory.
Brooks Koepka has two top 3 finishes here, and battled well for a top 5 spot last week. He is another I suspect will be very keen to take the title and banish the accusations that he only really turns up for the majors. Rahm and Thomas both arrive in decent form following 11th place finishes last week and could also contend. The concern is that neither has any course form, and that for me is a big question mark at TPC Southwind, and I could not recommend either to win as short as 12/1.
This event is unusual in that there are only 64 players in the reduced field.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Andrew Putnam is entering the St Jude Invitational on the back of a highly impressive performance at The Open last week in Portrush. Putnam was inside the top 10 going into the final round, but a highly disappointing final round 78 saw him fall back to a tie for 32nd on one over par. Putnam had been playing great golf all week and narrowly went out of bounds on the tight first hole before encountering some of the toughest conditions of the week on the way to what was not an unusually high score in this part of the draw.
In the more benign conditions, Putnam had been one of the stand out players, and it will be far calmer, yet similarly tough this week in Memphis where he finished 2nd last year to then World number 1 Dustin Johnson. Putnam has come on leaps and bounds this season with top 5s in two of his previous five events before heading to Portrush, and is someone that I strongly fancy to win this season. His form is as strong as it has ever been, and the course is clearly a great fit to back him with 3 points e/w at 47/1.
Webb Simpson was another player who struggled in the final round last week as he slipped from 16th to 30th with a 3 over par 74, and was another who had suffered early by going out of bounds on the opening hole. Before that Simpson had followed his opening 68 with back to back rounds of 71 and was well placed to challenge for a top 10 in the final round. Simpson has a great short game and razor sharp iron play which will put him in great shape to contend this week. He finished 3rd place here back in 2014, although he has not played in the last three stagings. Before last week, Simpson’s previous finish was 2nd place to Rory Mcilroy at the Canadian Open where Rory blew away the field, otherwise that could well have yielded an overdue win for Simpson. That could come this week from a man who enjoys the gig stage, and i shall have 2 points e/w at 32/1.
Brandt Snedeker has had a fairly mixed relationship with TPC Southwind. He first visited on four occasions between 2009-2013, where he missed two cuts and never challenged on his other visit. There then followed a four year hiatus before returning in 2018 to post a highly credible 6th. That evidence that he can perform round this venue is encouraging, but unsurprising. Although the length is greater I see course synergies with Harbour Town where Snedeker has performed very well in the past with his precision iron play being the perfect compliment to the small, fast, greens.
Those skills will be very necessary here, and an in-form Snedeker arrives on the back of top 5 finishes in two of his last 5 events, and a weekend off following his unsurprising missed cut at The Open at a venue that is largely unsuited to his type of golf. I expect Snedeker to contend this week, and he is a very fair price for 2 points e/w at 70/1.
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