The Saudi International Golf Betting Tips
Golf betting expert Luke Tredget brings you his latest round of golf tips ahead of the Saudi International. Head over to Bet UK’s online betting for the latest golf betting odds for all European and PGA Tour events. You can also get golf betting tips for all major golf events at Bet UK's sports betting blog.
This is a completely new tournament which sees Saudi Arabia host a top class event for the very first time, and they’ve paid big money to attract 4 of the top 5 ranked players in the world. The Royal Greens golf course, which nearly all the field will be seeing for the first time, is a short (around 7000 yards) par 70 which runs adjacent to the Red Sea. It’s a desert track with large greens and the wind is likely to get up in the afternoon.
The Big Names In Saudi Arabia:
The Saudis have pulled out all the stops to ensure a strong field for this event. World number 1 Justin Rose won last week and tees it up here as did world number 5 Bryson Dechambeau. They are joined by big-hitting major winners Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka and unsurprisingly those four dominate the betting. Deciding which, if any of these to back is a tricky task, Bet UK have Dechambeau as their marginal favourite and that looks to be the correct call. The American has turned into a win machine and last week’s romp in Dubai was an absolute masterclass, his distance control with his irons was superb and given the fact that without much wind this track will probably be all about wedge and short iron play he looks the man to beat. Justin Rose defied the belief that a new set of clubs would take a while getting used to and he bossed a top class field in California at the same time Dechambeau was handing out lessons in Dubai. Rose’s journey to Saudi Arabia is set to take over 24 hours and whilst we can safely assume he won’t be struggling for legroom in economy class, it has to be a small negative against his chance this week. DJ and Koepka didn’t play last week and will arrive fresh, although the suspicion remains that Johnson isn’t firing on all cylinders lately despite posting perfectly acceptable results. It would come as no surprise should any of the big 4 triumph this week, but given there is so little between them then perhaps given their prices it’s best to leave them all alone and search for some juicier value further down the field.
If one of the big 4 doesn’t lift the trophy come Sunday then one of the players most likely to capitalize is the Dane Thorbjorn Olesen. Olesen has long been a top class exponent of desert golf, a fact shown once again last week in Dubai when he finished 7th. All parts of his game looked in good working order and Olesen will be looking at 2019 as the year he moved from top class to world elite level. The 29-year-old currently sits at number 43 in the world and it’s vital he stays in the top 50 to ensure he gets automatic entry into all the big events. Such is the Dane’s talent though he should be eyeing up a top 20 spot not just top 50, but to do so he needs to start winning events stacked with top quality players. Olesen has five European victories to his name and despite the strength of the field this week a sixth triumph is a distinct possibility. He looks worth a wager at Bet UK’s 25/1*.
Jordan Smith was very well backed in last week’s Dubai Desert Classic and it was easy to see why. Smith has some excellent desert form on the Challenge Tour and had played well in Abu Dhabi the week previously. Smith played well in the main last week, finishing a respectable 29th, he drove the ball tremendously finishing 4th in the driving accuracy stats and a similar display from the tee this week should see the young English talent go close. Smith is full of self-confidence, something that will likely be needed this week, as it’s almost inconceivable that one or two of the big guns won’t be in contention come Sunday and it will require a strong mind as well as a strong golf game to beat them down the stretch. It’s quite possible Smith could be that man.
New Zealander Ryan Fox remains one of the most talented maidens on the European Tour, and it’s surely a matter of when not if he breaks his duck. Fox missed the cut last week, but was bombing away off the tee as per normal, but was let down by a desperately cold putter. This short Saudi Arabian track will see Fox flicking some wedges from very close to the greens and he looks worth chancing at Bet UK’s 100/1*.
We’ll complete our staking plan with a 175/1* shot in the shape of mercurial Frenchman Romain Wattel. Wattel is a frustrating under achiever who should make far more of his natural ability, but the signs last week in Dubai where much more positive. Wattel struck the ball with authority throughout the week on his way to a confidence restoring 16th place, and he looks a touch overpriced to build on that this week.
Sergio Garcia is fifth in the betting and he’ll find it strange not being talked about much in the build up to this event. With most of the media focus elsewhere Garcia who played well last week to finish 3rd without ever really being in contention is a definitely one to consider. Followers of this blog were desperately unlucky not to collect place money on Haotong Li last week when a 2 shot penalty on the final hole denied us a deserved pay out. If the Chinese youngster is not too drained by the events of defending his title valiantly in Dubai he may well contend again. Matt Wallace seemingly plays well every time he tees it up these days, but he’s very much priced accordingly, whilst it would come as no surprise if Belgian bombers Thomas Pieters and Thomas Detry overpowered what would appear a relatively easy course.
Bet UK’s Golf Betting Tips
|2pts EW||Thorbjorn Olesen||25/1*|
|1.5pts EW||Jordan Smith||50/1*|
|0.5pts EW||Ryan Fox||100/1*|
|0.5pts EW||Romain Wattel||175/1*|
*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting correct at the time of writing.
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