Sanderson Farms Championship Golf Betting Tips

Sanderson Farms Championship Golf Betting Tips

Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers.

For the latest golf betting odds for the Sanderson Farms Championship, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting markets.

Bet On The Sanderson Farms Championship

The Course

Jackson Country Club - Mississippi, USA - Par 72, 7,400 Yards

Last week was a tremendous week for us in the US with 25/1 headline selection Joaquin Niemann beating our 100/1 pick Nate Lashley who placed, and landed a significant return of over 140 points. To go alongside our other two 150/1 winners earlier in the season, we move on to this week with a substantial trading profit to our name, andIi look forward to being able to continue that through the 2019/20 season.

Twenty miles north of the town of Jackson, and first opened in 1962, the Jackson Country club plays host to the Sanderson Farms for the 6th time this week. Jackson is a flat, relatively easy, parkland course that John Fought attempted to redesign back in 2008 to toughen it up, however this has largely failed, as evidenced by the average winning score over the past five years being 19 under par.

Wide, flat, Bermuda fairways and smallish, receptive, bermuda greens are typical of this area, and the players won’t find many demons awaiting them here. The main defence of the course is off the tee with relatively thick (by PGA Tour standards) rough, and more than the usual scattering of trees down each side of the generous fairways, meaning any shot that is wide enough will receive the punishment that it deserves. This also applies to approach shots, and to some of the smaller greens this will make things a little trickier, but overall Jackson has few defenses.

The key to success this week will be a high percentage of greens in regulation, taking advantage of the four par 5s, and a red hot putter. Previous winners on this course have usually been over 100/1, and with no stand out favourites this week we really have a very open and interesting betting heat.

Last Five Winners:

2018: Cameron Champ - -21 2017: Ryan Armour - -19 2016: Cody Gribble - -20 2015: Peter Malnati - -18 2014: Nick Taylor - -16

The Market Leaders

As ever, the Sanderson Farms provides an opportunity for players to get a win or a high finish on the board early in the season, to allay fears of keeping a card, or to put down an early statement to the rest of the Tour. This year is no different, and with many of the big names absent, the opportunity couldn’t be any better. Last week’s winner Joaquin Niemann (12/1) heads the betting following that victory on his first visit to Sanderson Farms. Niemann has a good all round game, and the putter was red hot last week, but it is the importance and reliance on that club this week which puts me off backing him again. This field will be packed full of players that will hit a high percentage of greens in regulation, and in what will be far more of a putting contest than we saw at The Greenbrier, i am happy to pass over Niemann at half the price.

Highly talented Korean Sungjae Im (18/1) and American Brandt Snedeker (18/1) make up the rest of the top three in the betting. They have only played this tournament once between them, when Im missed the cut last year, so there is no course form to support getting behind either. I don’t like to reduce any tournament to a simple putting contest, but all the evidence is that stat, alongside greens in regulation will be so pivotal this week, and on these criteria you have to look at Snedeker. He was in the top 10 for both putting and strokes gained around the green last season to Im’s 40th, and if he has a good week with his long game Snedeker should contend. Neither is especially high in approach proximity though, and in such a deep and open field i can look past both on this occasion.

Scottie Scheffler (20/1) who performed so well last week sits next in the betting. He is a player who can get very hot, and having played with Niemann for the first two days could well feed on the impetus of seeing the success of his younger playing partner. Scheffler has been shooting low numbers and posting high finishes on the Challenge Tour, but i can’t have him being in the top four of the betting this week. Byeong hun An (25/1) chooses strangely to play here rather than at Wentworth where he won four years ago, and has little current, and no course, form to back up his price, whilst Lucas Glover (25/1) has solid course form, but has failed, despite some good finishes, to shoot less than 17 under par in the last 12 months, and that won’t be getting the job done this week.

Rob’s Golf Betting Tips

Headline Betting Tip

Robby Shelton: 90/1 To Win

American youngster Robby Shelton is a big player who is in for a very big year. The 24 year old from Birmingham Alabama hits the ball a mile, and ranked in the top 4 for driving on his first PGA Tour start as a professional last week as he posted an impressive 7th placed finish at The Greenbrier. Shelton was also in the top 20 for putting, and it is this all round game that should see him begin to content week in week out in his rookie season, and I don't expect us to see these types of prices for him in fields of this quality again for some time.

Shelton has been playing on the Korn Ferry Tour this year, where he has picked up two victories. Interestingly both of these wins came in Nashville and Knoxville, both in Tennessee where we play this week where the conditions and course setup could not be any more suited to him. It was a close run thing between him and the second pick as to who got the nod for the headline tip, but I am so excited about the prospects for Robby this week, and happy to back him with 2 points e/w at 90/1

Other Betting Tips

Doc Redman: 90/1 To Win

Though three years the junior of Shelton, Doc Redman has already enjoyed a taste of life on the PGA Tour having played in six events last season, and with some success. Redman’s highest placed finish came with a 2nd at the Rocket Mortgage Classic behind Nate Lashley when he finished 19 under par, and he was in the top 25 last week in the opening event of the new season. It could have been top 10 other than for a punishing treble bogey in round 4. Redman is another that is here to stay at the top of the leaderboards, and it is only a matter of time before he gets his breakthrough win.

Similar to the new breed on the PGA Tour, Redman hits it long and straight, but can also get the job done around the greens. Although this is where he needs most work, he has shown his ability to get to the numbers required to claim the title here, and he fits perfectly with the profile of the other winners over the last five years of this event. I suggest 2 points e/w at 90/1

Fabian Gomez: 125/1

Argentinian Fabian Gomez has been plying his trade away from the PGA Tour of late, but returns this week to a venue where he has made three consecutive cuts with a high finish of 14th. Gomez has been playing well, and is a streaky player. In the past six weeks, he has posted two finishes inside the top 7 on the Korn Ferry Tour, including with scores of 17 and 18 under par; the latter being for a 2nd behind Englishman Tom Lewis at the Tour Championship which was enough to see him gain his card. In that kind of form, and being a regular visitor to this event, I cannot look past Gomez at this price. There is no stand out performer in this field, but Gomez is enjoying a hot streak and is definite each way value. I shall be having 1 point e/w at 125/1

Johnson Wagner: 175/1 To Win

Johnson Wagner is another who has recently dropped down a level to compete on the Korn Ferry Tour, but with limited success. Wagner’s best finish there has been 14th behind Scheffler, but before that he posted a very competitive 13th at The Wyndham on 15 under par, and that was his last start on the PGA Tour. If Wagner brings that game to Jackson he will contend strongly, and has established course form having made his last three cuts here, never finishing outside the top 35. Wagner is a solid journeyman player, but he has three PGA Tour victories to his name, and will not be scared to compete this week should he be able to get into contention. He is another value play with 1 point e/w at 175/1

Play Book Of Dead at Bet UK

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*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting markets correct at the time of writing.

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