WGC RBC Heritage Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in sports betting. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring you his golf betting tips for events throughout the year.
Harbour Town Golf Links - Hilton Head Island, South Carolina - 7,100 Yards
Last week was full of drama, and ultimately disappointment, as our selections, including 300/1 tip Justin Harding narrowly missed a lucrative place as Tiger Woods made a return to the Major winners enclosure with a one-stroke victory over Brooks Koepka at Augusta National. Following all that excitement, this tournament sometimes has the feel of coming somewhat after the Lord Mayor’s show, with the blue and red jacket available for this week’s winner assured by the signature green of Augusta.
This should however not diminish what is a great tournament at an iconic venue. Harbour Town is a Pete Dye designed, relatively short, linksy track that places a premium on accuracy, both from the tee, and the fairways as the players face a heavily tree-lined course with small, well-guarded greens. Indeed, it is often not good enough to simply hit the fairways, players need to be on the right side to attack often well hidden, slopey, hole locations. The profile of winner here is very consistent, and this is reflected in the market.
Last Five WInners:
2018: Satoshi Kodaira - 12/1
2017: Wesley Bryan - 13/1
2016: Branden Grace - 9/1
2015: Jim Furyk - 18/1
2013 : Matt Kuchar - 11/1
The Market Leaders
The market this week, typically, is shaped largely by those who went close at Augusta, and will be looking to take a step over the winning line at a relatively more relaxed environment in Carolina. Aside from Dustin Johnson, the market also has a premium on accurate, consistent iron players. It could well be argued that Johnson would typically be far shorter than the quoted 8/1* in this type of field around a more suitable venue.
After Johnson, the likes of Molinari, Dechambeau, Kuchar, and Cantlay are all players very capable of plotting their way around a challenging links course; playing more to their strengths of strategy and accuracy over braun. This is what is likely to be the deciding factor this week, particularly given the changeable weather expected around the shores of Baynard Cove.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
The headline selection this week is a player that featured heavily in the final round of the Masters. Cantlay posted a late charge that sadly ended with a bogey at 14, however he showed aggression, and a red hot game that puts him in great shape to content this week at Harbour Town on a course where he has enjoyed previous success, having never finished outside the top 7 at the RBC Heritage. Those finishes came when Cantlay was in not nearly as good a form as he enters with this week, and all the facets of his game seem to be ticking over at just the right time to post a serious challenge here.
Cantlay’s 9th place finish at The Masters was his 4th top 10 in his last 7 starts, and those have been on long challenging courses. Back in the familiar and comfortable surroundings of Harbour Town, I fully expect him to strongly contend and suggest stakes of 3 points e/w at 19/1*.
It was a close call this week between Cantlay and Simpson for who took the headline spot this week, and Simpson had every much as strong a claim as our top pick Cantlay. Simpson also has strong form at this course with a 5th last year to accompany a previous 2nd back in 2013. Webb also looked in fine fettle last week at Augusta, a course where he previously has not contended as strongly as he has at Harbour Town, and that points towards another strong week, and the chance of strongly contending here.
Simpson is as comfortable in windy conditions as almost any player in the field, and with his short game being to the standard that it was last week in Georgia, it is hard to see him not contend here and he is well worth a stake of 3 Points e/w at 25/1*.
The 3rd selection this week is another American, Kevin Na who had a relatively solid US Masters, finishing 46th, having posted an 8th place a couple of weeks before. Na is a traditionally fiery player who can sometimes have a short fuse, and be unpredictable, but when his game is on he is extremely talented, and he has the ideal game for Harbour Town where he has finished in the top 10 on half of his last 6 visits. Na is not the longest player, but he hits the ball straight, and has a lovely touch around the greens. He is also slightly built, and this frame allows him to be a particularly strong wind player; another factor we expect to play to his advantage this week. 2 Points e/w at 100/1*.
The final selection, and fourth American, of the week is Harris English. English has been largely out of sorts recently, posting just one top 20 in his last 11 starts, and missing 5 cuts in the same period. This, however, does not detract from the fact that, when on form, English is one of the hottest and most mercurial talents in the field. He has also won on similar links like courses such as in Mexico, and the tight layout, though challenging is not insurmountable for him, and if he can play his approaches from the fairway, English has as good a chance as anyone outside of the top 10. He can be backed with 1 Point e/w at 175/1*.
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*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting correct at the time of writing.
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