Premier League Final Day Preview
After a huge week in Europe for English teams, it’s time to focus on the Premier League again for the final time this season. Even with 37 games played there is still plenty to be decided, including the tightest title race in years.
Who’s Playing On The Final Day?
As is customary for the final day of the season, all teams are playing at the same time on Sunday. Each game will kick off at 3pm, so there’s no psychological advantage of a team winning before their competition play. Although this only happens once a season, it has led to some of the Premier League’s greatest moments, such as Sergio Aguero’s last minute winner. Below is the full fixture list with odds for each team to win:
Brighton and Hove Albion (15/1*) v Manchester City (1/6*)
Burnley (43/20*) v Arsenal (6/5*)
Crystal Palace (20/23*) v Bournemouth (57/20*)
Fulham (6/4*) v Newcastle United (9/5*)
Leicester City (7/5*) v Chelsea (39/20*)
Liverpool (20/67*) v Wolves (37/4*)
Manchester United (5/19*) v Cardiff City (39/4*)
Southampton (5/12*) v Huddersfield Town (13/2*)
Tottenham Hotspur (6/5*) v Everton (12/5*)
Watford (5/4*) v West Ham (21/10*)
Title Race Permutations
The title race is going down to the final day for the first time since 2012 with just a point separating Manchester City and Liverpool. The two have occupied the top 2 spaces since December, with neither side dropping out the top 3 since the start of September. Heading into the final game, there are a few different situations that could play out. Below are the 3 situations that will decide the fate of the Premier League.
If Man City Win
Man City have got the advantage in this one and their fate is completely in their hands. They travel to Brighton on Sunday knowing that 3 points will guarantee them the title, regardless of Liverpool’s result. At the time of writing, Man City are 1/6* to beat Brighton at the AMEX in what should be a straightforward win for City.
If Man City Fail To Win and Liverpool Win
If Man City draw or lose at Brighton, then Liverpool could sneak the title on the last day. A poor result for City on the south coast means that a win for Liverpool against Wolves will bring the Premier League title to Anfield. Brighton to win or draw against City is 4/1* and Liverpool to win is 20/67*, completing a 23/4* double that would see Liverpool win the league.
If Liverpool Draw or Lose
If Liverpool don’t beat Wolves, then their title hopes are all but over. If they draw, then they will be hoping for a miraculous 4 goal swing that will give them the title. A loss will keep them in second regardless of any Brighton heroics, so Liverpool know that they just have to win on Sunday and try to ignore the City result. Wolves to win or draw is currently 13/5* on Bet UK’s online sportsbook.
Odds to Win The Premier League Title
Brighton v Manchester City
Liverpool v Wolves
What Else Is Left To Be Decided?
Relegation might already be all wrapped up this season, but there is still plenty to be decided at the other end of the table.
The Race For 4th
Although 4th place is all but wrapped up, it’s still possible for things to turn around on the final day. Unless there is an 8 goal swing on the final day, Spurs will keep 4th place regardless of Arsenal’s result, ensuring their Champions League place for another year. Although on the final day a few years ago, we saw these 2 teams switch positions on the final day in unlikely circumstances. Heading to St James Park to face Newcastle, Tottenham simply needed not to lose to finish 2nd. Instead, they lost 5-1 to allow Arsenal to leap over them. After 4 goals in Valencia, Arsenal should have plenty of confidence and a couple of early goals could make this race interesting. Chelsea could also still finish 4th, but with Champions League group stage qualification already secured, they won’t be worrying about that.
Burnley v Arsenal
Leicester City v Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur v Everton
Selected Premier League Betting Tips
Fulham v Newcastle - Fulham to Win and Both Teams To Score @ 16/5*
Neither side has anything to play for in this one, so it could go either way, but Fulham are the in-form side. Since their relegation was confirmed, Fulham have won 3 of 4 games, including 2 at Craven Cottage. Between the two sides, both teams to score has come in 50% of their matches, so adding that to our bet lengthens our odds a bit.
Brighton v Manchester City - Man City to win and over 3.5 Goals @ 23/20*
With the title on the line for City, it’s tough to imagine they won’t blow Brighton away in this one. 3 points will guarantee the title for Pep Guardiola’s side and they will want to win in style. Brighton have been hopeless in recent weeks and are without a win since early March. It will take a miracle for them to stop City winning on Sunday.
Watford v West Ham - West Ham to win @ 43/20*
With one eye on next week’s FA Cup Final, Watford might easily slip up against West Ham at Vicarage Road. Whilst Watford might not have their full focus on this one, West Ham can secure their first top 10 finish in 3 years with a win. This is the first time that Manuel Pelligrini has failed to qualify for Europe when managing in the continent, so he will want to end the season on some form of positive. With Marko Arnautovic now scoring again, don't be surprised if he performs well ahead of a potential summer move.
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*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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