Nedbank Golf Challenge Golf Betting Tips
Get the latest betting tips ahead of the Nedbank Golf Challenge from Luke Tredget, Bet UK’s golf betting expert.
The Gary Player Golf Course, Sun City, South Africa once again hosts the Nedbank Golf Challenge and the event is often referred to as ‘’Africa’s Major.’’ That is probably exaggerating the strength of the tournament somewhat, but nevertheless a strong field has congregated to play the event. The course is a long par 72 which always places plenty of emphasis on lengthy straight driving. The rough can be reasonably penal in places and the wind tends to arrive in sporadic gusts.
The Big Names at Sun City
Two names dominate the field both in terms of prestige and the betting market. Rory McIlroy is the man Bet UK have understandably installed as the favourite, and he returns to the course for the first time since 2009. The need to hit quality drives will play right into McIlroy’s hands but he looked lifeless when we last saw him in action in China and can’t be considered a bet at around the 7/1* mark. Rory will be desperate to finish the disappointing season with a bang, but it’s far more likely to come next week in Dubai on a course he adores than here. All that being said whilst there’s a fair bit of talent at the top end of the market, there’s not that much strength in depth this week so whilst he won’t make our staking plan no doubt plenty will be attracted to his price. The other big gun in the field is Sergio Garcia. Just like McIlroy, Garcia’s main weapon is his magnificent driving so Sun City should be right up his street, indeed his last two visits here indicate this as they have yielded a 2nd and a 5th. The Spaniard arrives on the back of a comfortable victory at Valderrama and just about warrants a small wager at Bet UK’s 10/1*. Even when players get their drives away in fine fashion at Sun City greens are not particularly easy to hit and this week’s winner will undoubtedly be high in the GIR (Greens in Regulation) stats. That’s rarely a problem for the prodigiously gifted Garcia, and if the wind does blow there’s nobody in the field more creative in a breeze.
Home favourite Louis Oosthuizen boasts an excellent record at Sun City with four top 10 finishes in the last six years, and he also won a minor event on the course on the South African Tour back in 2007. Oosthuizen has played decently all year without ever quite doing enough to enter the winner’s enclosure and perhaps this return to home soil might give him the extra push he needs. There are plenty of reasons to be positive about his chances, his long game has looked in excellent working order on his last two starts which include a 5th place finish in Malaysia and if he can just get the flat stick working a touch better then we should see Oosthuizen go very close. The South African always exudes a lovely rhythm off the tee and any breeze won’t be an issue for the former Open champion. Bet UK have him as a 14/1* chance and he looks worth a wager at that price.
Our third and final bet in this tournament will be Englishman Danny Willett. Willett has been in the golfing wilderness for most of the year but showed signs of a revival three weeks ago at Valderrama when he finished 23rd. But it was last week in Turkey which really showed Willett’s game was finally back to something like it’s best when all parts looked in magnificent working order on the way to an excellent 7th place. The former Masters champion has had to work really hard to get his game back to where he wants it to be, technically Willett does not have the most compact swing, so when things go wrong they can go wrong by fairly big margins. Now his game looks in fine fettle again there will be few places Willett would rather tee it up than Sun City. His record here is exemplary, with a splendid victory in 2014 followed up 4th and 11th place finishes the following two seasons. Few players in the field this week will feel they have more to prove than Willett who has slumped to a scarcely believable world ranking of 274. Expect Willett to steadily climb the world rankings again in the next six months, probably starting with a good showing this week and he completes our staking plan at Bet UK’s 33/1*.
Hao Tong Li will have won plenty more fans last week. His exuberant long game blighted by missed putts at crucial moments was both a joyful and agonizing watch. His game is in such fine shape that a decent week would come as no surprise but the mental fatigue and scars from last week may just be too much for the talented Chinese to overcome. Defending champion Branden Grace has an incredible record here, not out of the top 4 in the last three years, he’s respected on that alone but is not playing well enough to justify quotes of under 20/1. Shane Lowry takes his usual place towards the head of the betting, but doesn’t win often enough to warrant backing at [18/1](/betting/golf/nedbank-golf-challenge/) in this field. Of greater interest is Kiradech Aphibarnrat who played very well for most of last week without ever really threatening. With better course form the Thai may have made the staking plan, but is still certainly worthy of close consideration at Bet UK’s 29/1*. Charl Schwartzel predictably has a tremendous record at Sun City, the South African has always been an immense threat on home soil but there seems to be something not clicking for Schwartzel currently and Sun City’s many tough driving holes are not the places you want to be trying to get your game back on track. Finally a mention for Martin Kaymer who bounced back to form last week and as a previous champion here merits more than a passing glance at Bet UK’s 40/1*.
Bet UK’s Betting Tips
|1.5pts EW||Louis Oosthuizen||14/1*|
|1pt EW||Danny Willett||33/1*|
|1pt EW||Sergio Garcia||10/1*|
*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
For those betting on the Nedbank Golf Challenge, gamble responsibly and remember that when the fun stops, stop. All players must be 18+.