Mayakoba Golf Classic Golf Betting Tips
Bet UK’s golf betting expert Luke Tredget brings you his latest round of betting tips ahead of the Mayakoba Golf Classic.
The PGA Tour heads to Mexico for the Mayakoba Golf Classic and the course it’s played on is known as El Camaleon. At just under 7000 yards the par 71 is very short by modern standards, and plays relatively easy with a winning score of around 18 or 19 under the expectation for the week ahead. Winds can blow in from the Caribbean Sea, and for this reason the greens are kept reasonably slow. The vast majority of fairways are tree lined and whilst the course plays easy enough for those on the fairway, errant drives will be punished.
El Camaleon is a place for shot making types, the steady eddies of the golfing world should come to the fore this week with there being little advantage for the power packed types that so often dominate on the PGA Tour these days. Argentine Grillo fits the bill for the type of player we’re looking for this week and with course and current form boxes safely ticked he looks well worth a wager at Bet UK’s 22/1*. Grillo’s neat and tidy long game have seen him come 9th and 10th in the two previous renewals of this event and there is every reason to hope he can go a few places better this time around. In those two previous visits Grillo has averaged less than 68 blows per round and comes into the week with a decent bank of recent form to fall back on, the highlight of which was an excellent 2nd place in the CIMB Classic. Grillo looks just about the best bet in the field.
The Big Names at El Camaleon
Rickie Fowler, Jordan Spieth and Tony Finau are the three names that top the market but all can be passed over at their respective prices. Fowler understandably has to be favourite, he was 4th last week in Las Vegas and 2nd in this event last year. However his 4th place last week was a never threatening 4th and given his moderate win ratio he can justifiably be left alone at single figure prices. Finau seems to play more golf than your average tour pro and is prominent in the betting every time he tees it up currently. He’s clearly talented enough to win on nearly any golf course, but the suspicion remains that this week his advantageous power from the tee will be negated just enough to let a few fairway and green types outscore him. Jordan Spieth has little to recommend him bar his fierce determination to get his game back in shape. It’s been a dreadful year for Spieth and last week’s 55th place in a weak field will have done nothing to encourage him. This tournament has never featured on Spieth’s schedule before and whilst you can never entirely dismiss a great champion there’s just nothing there to encourage punters to back him this week.
Aussie Cameron Davis is our second bet in this event and rates excellent value at Bet UK’s 67/1*. This will be Davis’s first full season on the PGA Tour and he’s widely expected to be one of the more successful Web.Com graduates. Davis did play in this event in 2016 and posted a noteworthy 15th place when he was a far less accomplished golfer than he is now. In the same year the 2016 Eisenhower Trophy (a team event for amateur golfers) took place at El Camaleon and not only did Australia win the event but Davis was the winner of the individual award. With his affinity for the course confirmed it was pleasing to see Davis bounce back from a missed cut with a more than respectable 28th place finish last week and he looks over priced given his credentials.
Much like Grillo Si Woo Kim is comfortably preferred as a betting proposition than the bigger names at the very front of the market. The Korean is only 23 years old but already has two PGA Tour victories to his name including the 2017 Players Championship. Sawgrass (the Players Championship venue) is all about plotting your way round and limiting mistakes and whilst El Camaleon is much easier, the nature of how to tame the beast is very similar and Kim showed his liking for the track when 3rd here last year. Last week Kim led the field for strokes gained putting when finishing 15th overall and given you’ll need to go low this week that bodes well. Everything points to Kim having a great week and he is our third wager at Bet UK’s 27/1*.
Our final selection in this event is Kevin Chappell. Chappell is up there with the very best ball strikers on tour when his game is on song but has had a rather disappointing year, completely at odds with his tee to green ability. The green shoots of recovery have come in his last two outings posting a solid 10th place in the CIMB Classic and consolidating that with a reasonable 29th place the week after. Chappell did miss the cut here last year which tempers enthusiasm just a touch, but there seems no logical reason he shouldn’t take to El Camaleon and at Bet UK’s 70/1* looks well worth a small bet.
We mention Gary Woodland in the ‘’notables’’ section every week it seems and Woodland continues to churn out splendid finish after splendid finish, this week should be no exception. Aaron Wise was heavily backed last week and continues to look the real deal. Everyone seems to agree that Cameron Champ is going to be a golfing superstar and if that’s the case he can’t be dismissed on any course, however one can’t help but think a track that plays more into the hands of bombing types may best reward his obvious talents. For those who like a punt at a three figure price Graham McDowell is 100/1* with Bet UK and given he won this event 3 years ago a triumphant return to form is certainly a possibility.
Bet UK’s Golf Betting Tips
|2pts EW||Emiliano Grillo||22/1*|
|1.5pts EW||Cameron Davis||67/1*|
|1.5pts EW||Si Woo Kim||27/1*|
|0.5pts EW||Kevin Chappell||70/1*|
*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
If you are betting on the 2018 Mayakoba Classic, gamble responsibly and remember that when the fun stops, stop. All players must be 18+.