Hero World Challenge Golf Betting Tips
Golf betting expert Luke Tredget brings you his latest round of betting tips ahead of the Hero World Challenge. Head to Bet UK’s sportsbook for the latest Hero World Challenge betting odds. You can also get golf betting tips for all major golf events at Bet UK's sports betting blog.
The Albany Course in The Bahamas hosts this event for the fourth year in a row. It’s a par 72 with a difference, as there are five par 5’s and five par 3’s. The track has a links style feel to it, is exposed to the elements and has heavy bunkering, a steady breeze is forecast throughout the week. Most of the par 5’s provide this elite invitational field (just 18 players tee it up) with birdie opportunities and we can expect the winning score to be around the 20 under mark.
A Strong Field
Justin Rose is just about the favourite for the title, but the fact he is trading around 7/1 when there are only 18 runners in the field tells you how competitive the event is. Bet UK make Keegan Bradley the complete outsider, but he’s only 33/1 which again is an indicator that a victory for any of these golfing giants should come as no surprise. Rose has to be favourite as he is currently the most consistent golfer on the planet, he’s not been outside the top ten is his last six starts and was last seen on the golf course defending his Turkish Open title in fine style. However, given how small the field is for this event it’s a shade disappointing that he’s never posted better than 5th at The Albany Course and he is just about passed over as a possible bet. Also missing the staking plan is the second favourite Dustin Johnson. This course really should suit DJ, but he’s only had one decent finish in three attempts, and was last seen in China looking rather lethargic. Johnson is so gifted he could bounce back at any time, but there are enough negatives to be able to comfortably swerve him this week.
Our main bet in the event will be defending champion and third favourite Rickie Fowler. Fowler has been playing top class golf almost non-stop since the early summer without ever quite getting his head over the line. Indeed whenever Fowler’s name is mentioned in the same sentence as DJ or Justin Thomas then his lack of wins compared to those two is always used as a stick to beat him with. This week Fowler has just 17 men to beat compared to the usual 150 odd and perhaps that will be the catalyst to see him back in the winner’s enclosure. It certainly did the trick last year when he closed with a blistering 61 to mow down third round leader Charley Hoffman with ease. His victory last year was no shock, as on his previous two visits to The Albany Course Fowler had finished 3rd on both occasions. Comfortable in a breeze and at home on links courses, The Albany seems to fit Fowler’s eye perfectly. In his last six tournaments he hasn’t finished outside the top twenty, so his current form is almost as good as his course form. Everything points to another big week for the charismatic Californian and he warrants a wager at Bet UK’s 31/4*.
Our second and final bet in the event will be power packed Spaniard Jon Rahm. Rahm is making his debut at The Albany, but there aren’t many tricks to the course so it shouldn’t be a huge hindrance. Rahm will be salivating as the prospect of an extra par 5 every day and the Spanish slugger can be expected to make mincemeat of most of them. It’s easy to forget Rahm only turned professional in 2016, yet such is his talent he’s already accumulated five titles and he currently sits at number 8 in the world rankings. Rahm arrives here on the back of an excellent 4th place finish in Dubai, where he drove the ball well and was just let down by some average putting. It’s safe to expect another strong tee to green performance this week and if the flat stick gets warm then Rahm should go close, and he is worth including at Bet UK’s 11/1*.
Tiger Woods hosts this event and will have got rid of some rust after his polarizing match versus Phil Mickelson. His game didn’t look that great there though and his Ryder Cup effort was equally sub- standard, so it’s been nearly three months since we saw any golf of high quality from Tiger. He makes very little appeal at the prices. Justin Thomas comes into the event on the back of a five week break, which is exactly how he prepared last year when finishing a disappointing 11th when sent off favourite. Much like Dustin Johnson, Thomas is so classy that a sudden victory romp wouldn’t raise an eyebrow, but there needs to be more firm positives to justify a wager. Bryson Dechambeau has remarkably won three of his last five events, and thus he could be teeing it up anywhere in the world and you’d have to give him due consideration. It’s Dechambeau’s first look at The Albany, but for a man renowned for his meticulous preparation that is unlikely to be even a minor concern. He’ll be wanting to continue his excellent run and was not easily omitted from the staking plan. Tony Finau plays well nearly every time he tees it up these days, and he’s another big hitter who will be smiling at an additional par 5, Finau is nearly always towards the top of the par 5 performance stats. Finally a mention for the mercurial Bubba Watson, who hasn’t been seen on a golf course since The Ryder Cup. Whether that will mean he’ll be refreshed or rusty is anyone’s guess, but Bubba brought the course to its knees in 2015 when romping to victory in a staggering 25 under par, and then followed that up with a 6th place in 2016 and he’ll understandably have his backers at Bet UK’s 27/1*.
Bet UK’s Golf Betting Tips
|2.5pts EW||Rickie Fowler||31/4*|
|1.5pt EW||Jon Rahm||11/1*|
*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing
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