Wyndham Championship Golf Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers.
Sedgefield Country Club, Ross Course - Greensboro, North Carolina - Par 70, 7,127 Yards
On the back of a World Golf Championship followed immediately by a Major Championship, the PGA Tour post lockdown rollercoaster rides on to North Carolina, and the historic Donald Ross designed Sedgefield Country Club. Situated 90 miles northeast of the town of Charlotte, this historic gem was built in 1926, and underwent a substantial redesign to bring it in line with the challenges of modern golf in 2007. Since then it has played host to this terrific event, taking over from Forest Oaks in 2008.
A fairly easy par 70, with smaller than average undulating greens, Sedgefield is an eminently scorable venue. Winning numbers here typically sit in the low twenties under par for this standard of golfer. Par 4s are the key, and players will need to keep the ball in the fairway, and hit the greens to set up what will be ample birdie opportunities. The winner here typically averages a birdie on every 3.5 to 4 holes so this will be a sprint from the get go, and any round not in the 60s will severely impact a player’s chances of winning. With conditions expected to be calm, I expect low scores, and another chance that the record score of 22 under par is bettered this year.
Last Five Winners
|2019||J T Poston||-22|
|2015||Davis Love III||-17|
The Market Leaders
Charlotte native and one of the Tour's most in form players Webb Simpson (9/1) heads the market at The Wyndham Championship this week at an event that he won back in 2011, and where he has only twice in his career finished outside of the top 10. Simpson grew up playing junior and amateur golf around this area and he knows Sedgefield as well as anybody. The tight, small, greens are ideally suited to his strong iron play, and his results here are really no surprise. Webb won the RBC Heritage at a very similar venue in Harbour Town eight weeks ago with a winning score of 22 under par, and similar will be required to get the job done this week. It is hard to see this in form local being far out of the picture.
Brooks Koepka (10/1) was the favourite going into the season's first Major last week, and it was only a disappointing final round which ended his chances as he had entered the last day just two behind leader Dustin Johnson, and a stroke ahead of eventual winner Colin Morikawa. Brooks traditionally saves his best for the big events, but he will be keen to land a season opening victory soon, and that could be why he makes his first visit to Sedgefield in five years. On his two outings here he has a 6th and a 36th, so a fairly average return. The course doesn't really suit his strengths, but he is a wounded animal after all his recent struggles and he cannot be discounted.
Patrick Reed (16/1) won here in 2013 but has a fairly average record aside from that victory with a collection of top 30 finishes. Last week he was in the top 15, and his form remains solid but unspectacular. He is probably a little short. Tommy Fleetwood (16/1) was well fancied last week and put himself into contention with a second round 66 before a poor weekend saw him only just scrape into the top 30. Tommy is a tidy player, who should like Sedgefield, but is hard to back on his first trip here in such a deep and talented field.
Rob’s Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
American Bud Cauley has had a bit of a turbulent last few weeks. Firstly he had to withdraw from the Travelers Championship a few weeks ago when his playing partner tested positive for Covid-19, and then last week as he was going along nicely at The USPGA (4th after day one), he had his car broken into in San Francisco. To his Credit, Cauley put that behind him and still managed a solid 37th placed finish ahead of some big names, and only 3 shots outside of the top 10. That is in keeping with some very positive signs for Bud who has been hitting the ball well, and ranks inside the top 30 on Tour for birdies made since the restart.
That ability to go low at any time will suit him particularly well here at The Wyndham where birdies are required on average better than once every four holes to contend. Cauley has two previous top ten finishes here, and was inside the top 20 last year when he arrived on the back of three consecutive missed cuts, so it is easy to see that he raises his game at Sedgefield consistently. If he can raise it above the level he found last week then he is a serious contender and seems overpriced. I suggest backing him with 2 points e/w @ 100/1.
Jordan Spieth remains one of the hardest to read players on Tour, and he has become something of an enigma this season, going from the sublime to the ridiculous sometimes even in the same round. Last week he had a terrible three over par 74 to start the tournament but battled back to make the cut, and by the end of the week had improved to shoot a closing 68 in some of the most difficult conditions of the tournament. The game is clearly still there for Spieth, though his driving yips have been making it more and more difficult to put him up as a selection. The price continues to drift accordingly, and i feel he is worth a last go at this price on a course where he has a runners up finish amongst the two visits he has made here. Sedgefield is more forgiving from the tee, and more of an iron and putting contest which is where Spieth really comes into his own. If he can keep his ball on the estate from the tee he will manage to set up a lot of chances, and a hot putter could just be enough to make this price look silly come Sunday afternoon. I have had 2 points e/w at 40/1.
My final selection here is a bit of a long shot, but i feel at the price that there is some value in Patton Kizzire. In his three starts here, Kizzire has never missed a cut, and posted a 13th place finish last season. Kizzire has two PGA Tour wins, and the 34 year old likes to go low having finished 6th at The Travelers Championship last month on 15 under par. With birdies the order of the day, and Kizzire's attacking style well suited to Sedgefield, I feel he is certainly worth a bet with 1 point e/w at 200/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-98 points|
|PGA Tour||+43 points|