Workday Charity Open Betting Tips

Workday Charity Open Betting Tips

Workday Championship Golf Betting Tips

Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the Workday Championship Golf, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.

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Rob Cobley’s Workday Championship Betting Tips

Tony Finau - 20/1 To Win Dustin Johnson - 6/1 To Win

The Course

The Concession Golf Club, Bradenton - Florida, USA - Par 72, 7,474 Yards

This event is the season’s first World Golf Championship and brings together a superb field in central Florida. Initially, this week was due to be played in Mexico, but with Covid uncontained in that region and many players reluctant to travel; the event was moved to this fantastic new venue in the Sunshine State.

Concession is one of the most penal and challenging courses in the US, and a very welcome addition to the rota, if only for a year. The greens are heavily contoured and very large reminiscent of Augusta National. They are also fast. Very fast. Paul Azinger, the US television anchor is a member and says that he expects the course to “eat the players for lunch” it is so exacting, and he is predicting winning scores in single digits under par; not bad for a PGA Tour event. Some of that undoubtedly depends on the wind. The course is exposed, and protection helps, but it should nonetheless be a great test.

Big hitters can fly most of the bunkers and other hazards and hold a substantial advantage, but a good short game is also essential. Augusta will act as a useful form guide for this first appearance on Tour for The Concession (designed 2006).

This is the first staging of the Workday Championship.

The Market Leaders

Dustin Johnson (6/1) has taken over the mantle from Rory Mcilroy as the market favourite week in week out in 2021, and with good reason. If you look back 12 months, DJ was regularly top 6 in the betting, but rarely better, with Rory, Koepka, Rahm and Thomas regularly leading the way. That has, of course, all changed, and this week it is entirely right that he is the most-backed. Last week a poor last round saw DJ falter in contention, and it was some quite average golf. Johnson was all over the place off the tee and in recovery mode for the entire round. It is a slight concern heading here, but his game aside from that has been so far ahead of his peers that he still looks well priced at 6/1.

John Rahm (9/1) stands out second in the market, a surprisingly long way ahead of some of the other leading contenders. Rahm finished 5th last week, slightly under the radar as he had never really contended, but it was a strong finish nonetheless. However, it does maintain Rahm’s run of competitive finishes that, barring a late stumble at Torrey Pines, have not included a challenge for the title. This week he is impossible to take sub-10s in a field, and with a course so suited to Johnson and several other high profile players, so I make Rahm a no bet.

Xander Schauffele (14/1) performed well at the Majors and WGC events last season, and he looks well placed to challenge here. Last week Schauffele finished 15th on the back of two-second place finishes, so his game looks good. He hasn’t performed exceptionally well in this WGC with no top 10s, although it has always been at a different host course. With just three career wins, I feel he is a little bit short in this field. Rory Mcilroy (16/1) has finished in the top 10 of this event in his last five appearances and would usually be far shorter had he not missed the cut last week. On an open but challenging course with large greens where Rory will make inroads by playing attacking golf, he looks to be of decent value to me. It was only five weeks ago he was finishing 3rd, and it is just fine margins that have stopped Rory from contending since.

Rob’s Golf Betting Tips

Headline Betting Tip

<a name="tip-1>Tony Finau: 20/1 To Win

Tony Finau remains on just one PGA Tour win after last week’s agonising playoff loss to Max Homa at Riviera. As well as looking good for a regulation win for much of the last six holes, Finau traded 1/10 in the playoff, only to miss a six-footer for the win on ten and lose to par on the 14th. That was Finau’s third consecutive runner up finish, and he brings his game to a course that looks an excellent fit. Finau is long, aggressive, and putts very well. He will love the challenge of Concession, and there is nobody, even DJ, in better form than Tony. I feel a win is closer for him than anyone else, and it makes complete sense to use the place money we made last week on Finau to back him for success this week.

I feel that the floodgates will really open for Tony once he gets a win, and his price will shorten each week accordingly. If he has turned one of those close seconds into a win, he would be half the price, and this seems value about a player who is realistically in the World’s top 5 on current form. I will be backing him here, and an excellent price, in a limited field, with 4 points e/w at 20 /1.

Other Betting Tip

<a name="tip-2>Dustin Johnson: 6/1 To Win](/betting/golf#filter/golf?coupon=combination|2873392368|10|replace)

Backing Dustin Johnson this week is almost completely unavoidable in any sensible staking plan. The consistency that he has shown recently and his ability to overpower fields on this type of golf course make his chances of winning incredibly high. The 8th last week would have been disappointing, but it has pushed him to a higher price, in a limited field, and there is every chance that Johnson could produce a procession at Concession. He and Finau battled it out around a similarly exposed and open course in Saudi Arabia. I feel this could follow a very similar pattern despite the high field quality. I will therefore be having 7 points win at 6/1.

2021 P&L

Following a rolling profit of 300 points for the 2019 & 2020 seasons, I am looking for a great 2021 and have some great bets lined up for events throughout the year on both the PGA and European Tours. Each week I will pick between two to four selections at each event and suggest a suitable staking plan.

Tour Points
European Tour -32
PGA Tour +103
Total +71

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