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Wales Open Betting Tips

Cazoo Open Golf Betting Tips

Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the Cazoo Open, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.

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Rob Cobley’s Cazoo Open Golf Betting Tips

Callum Shinkwin: - 125/1 To Win Ross Fisher: 50/1 To Win

The Course

The Twenty Ten Course, Celtic Manor, Newport, Wales. Par 71, 7,354 Yards The Twenty Ten course at Celtic Manor is once again the venue for the Wales Open, although it has been rebranded as the Cazoo Open supported by none other than Gareth Bale. Best known for hosting a thrilling four day Ryder Cup a decade ago, this timeless Ross McMurray creation is a suitable setting as the fourth leg of the UK swing kicks off in Wales on Thursday. The Twenty Ten is an amalgamation of nine new holes and nine holes from the old Robert Trent Jones II-designed Wentworth Hills course. The dramatic scenery is undeniable as the course winds its way around the River Usk, and water is an ever-present hazard in play on 10 of the holes.

A largely long, flat, and exposed course which was designed purposefully for matchplay ahead of the Ryder Cup, some of the players have been critical of its suitability for stroke play events such as this given the extreme risk and reward scenarios in play on several holes. The criticism seems weak to me. Players who are intelligent and able to strategise will come out on top, and it offers another dimension to the event that is often lacking on the more straightforward venues in play week in, week out. That is borne out by the strong profile of winners here in the past, with players such as Ryder Cuppers Luiten, Colsaerts and Donaldson being successful in recent years.

The course is varied with a links-like feel to the opening six holes, followed by a stretch around the many lakes on-site before the field arrives at the drivable par 4 15th. This hole has a bailout area to the right for anyone not wanting to take on the green, and again provides an excellent hole in any format. The final four holes are very demanding. Players will need a good solid long game this week, and I expect good ball strikers to challenge.

Recent Winners:

2020 (2nd event): Romain Langasque -8 2020: Sam Horsfield -18 2014: Joost Luiten -14 2013: Gregory Bourdy -8 2012: Tongchai Jaidee -6

The Market Leaders

England's Matt Wallace (8/1) arrives here as the market favourite for what must be the first time in several years as his game has undergone a tumultuous period, to say the least. There is little evidence I can see to support him; he has no top 30s in the last three months, a time during which he has missed more cuts than he has made. Although much of that was on the tougher PGA Tour, he has no form at Celtic Manor either and seems a false favourite. Wallace has a good iron game, but that tends to be with the shorter irons, and they will be far less in use around this beast of a track. For me, he is absolutely one to leave alone at the price.

Sam Horsfield (12/1) won the first of two events held here in 2020 and would have been my market favourite despite a run of reasonably poor form since his fifth-place in the International Open. Sam is a more powerful player and can get hot, but he is streaky and has a withdrawal and missed cut in the past few weeks, followed up by a 67th, having made the cut on the number at The Open last week. His price seems about on the money.

Rob's Betting Tips

Headline Betting Tip

Callum Shinkwin: 125/1 To Win

England's Callum Shinkwin has been posting some fairly average returns over the last few weeks, but he traded as the favourite in both events here last year, and the powerfully built former boxer is a perfect fit for the 2010 course. The length and openness of the course play into Callum’s strengths of being able to clear his shoulders and muscle the ball up to the large, slowish greens, where his average putting is levelled up by the lack of a significant challenge. Shinkwin has performed well in the UK with runners up finishes at both the Scottish and Welsh Opens, and is surely the most overpriced player in this week's field. I would also be looking at him in the first round leader, Top 10 and Top 20 markets, but my outright bet is 2 Points e/w at 125/1.

Secondary Betting Tip

Ross Fisher: 50/1 To Win

Ross Fisher has three career top 10 finishes in eight starts at Celtic Manor, including a win back in 2008, and his game looks in good shape for him to get himself into contention again this week. Ross is another excellent long game player who will find the conditions here a real leveller between him and the market favourites. Ross remains in the top 20 on Tour for strokes gained tee to green, and, remarkably, his results haven't been significantly better than they have been in light of this. More encouragingly, FIsher has been inside the top 10 in two of his last five starts, and I expect him to build on that back in these friendly and familiar surroundings. I have backed him with 2 Points e/w at 50/1.

2021 P&L

Following a rolling profit of 300 points for the 2019 & 2020 seasons, I am looking for a great 2021, and have some fantastic bets lined up for events throughout the year on both the PGA and European Tours. Each week I will pick between two to four selections at each event, and suggest a suitable staking plan.

Tour Points
European Tour -116 points
PGA Tour -10 points
Total -126 points