Valero Texas Open Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the Valero Texas Open, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.
Rob Cobley’s Valero Texas Open Betting Tips
The Oaks Course - TPC San Antonio, Texas - 7,435 Yards, Par 72.
In the absence of an event on the European Tour this week, the PGA Tour remains in Texas for the Valero Texas Open. This event is, somewhat unkindly, recognised widely as the preamble to The Masters, which starts next week in neighbouring Georgia; however, it has a rich history of its own, providing drama and high profile winners; not least since the 2010 move to TPC San Antonio, and the Greg Norman & Sergio Garcia designed Oaks course.
TPC San Antonio is a largely exposed track that often brings windy conditions. With challenging driving and large Augusta-esque run-off areas around the greens. This is regularly one of the most challenging courses on the Tour and the scene of a mic’d up Kevin Na’s infamous 16 on the 9th back in 2011. The Oaks course is also famed for its exciting finish with the water lined drivable par four 17th and reachable par five 18th. Good wind play is essential this week, as is a good short game. The previous winners are a who's who of top links talent.
Last Five Winners
The Market Leaders
With a notable resurgence in form, Jordan Spieth (10/1) is the notable and correct favourite coming into this event in his hometown. Spieth looked for all the world like he was set for a strong challenge last week before losing to eventual 3rd place finisher Matt Kuchar on the 18th in the round of 16, and that form will stand him in good stead here. The long game which was causing him so much trouble is unrecognisable from 12 months ago, and I can see Jordan getting back into contention at the biggest of events over the remainder of the year. He finished 2nd here two starts ago and 30th back in 2019. He loves the course, knows the area, and will be tough to beat if he continues to play in the way that he has started the 2021 season.
Tony Finau (12/1) had a run of three consecutive 2nd places earlier this season but has slightly run out of steam over the last few weeks and will hope to be reinvigorated at a course where he finished 3rd back in 2017. I do not doubt Tony's ability to perform at TPC San Antonio. I just wonder whether he needs a bit of a break before contending again. He has played a lot of golf lately, and he is certainly one player that will have an eye towards next week.
Scottie Scheffler (14/1) will still be licking his wounds after his loss to Billy Horschel in the final of the WGC matchplay last week. He had two top 10 finishes in his previous strokeplay starts, so that performance, albeit around his home course in Austin, was not unexpected. He has one appearance around TPC San Antonio, which brought a top 20 last year, and he cannot be ruled out. I would make him more likely than Finau.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Adam Long has a relatively poor record this season and missed the cut on his only visit here two years ago. Still, I like what I am seeing from the native Texan and was particularly impressed with him at the WGC matchplay last week, where he won a tough group before falling in the first knockout round to Scotland's Robert MacIntyre, who drove the ball to 2 feet on 18 to take the win. Long is a tall guy who plays excellently in tough conditions and will have an advantage over much of the field this week in the winds of his home State. When he missed the cut here, his scores were 66,76, so he can get around San Antonio. He looks the value pick of the week to me with 3 points e/w at 80/1.
Other Betting Tip
Andrew Putnam is another Texan who is a great wind player, and he has been in strong form lately with top 5 finishes in two of his last three events before taking a couple of weeks off before the tournament. Putnam has played the event three times, making the cut on each occasion, with an 8th place finish in 1018 being the highlight. HE was in the top 20 at The Open in 2019 at Portrush, which is further evidence of his links credentials, and he fits perfectly the profile of players that are likely to contend here. I have backed him with 2 points e/w at 66/1.
Following a rolling profit of 300 points for the 2019 & 2020 seasons, I am looking for a great 2021 and have some great bets lined up for events throughout the year on both the PGA and European Tours. Each week I will pick between two to four selections at each event and suggest a suitable staking plan.