Travelers Championship Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. So far in 2020, Rob Cobley is 46 points in profit when betting on the PGA Tour. That means for a £1 stake, Cobley is £46 in profit so far.
TPC River Highlands - Cromwell, Connecticut - Par 70, 6,841 Yards (2x Par 5s)
The cream of the crop from the PGA Tour head east this week for the Travelers Championship. TPC River Highlands is located some 12 miles south of Hartford, the state capital and is another American gem. Designed originally back in 1928, it is a parkland course lined by trees, and with strategically placed water hazards in play on four holes. River Highlands is regularly the second best attended event on Tour after Phoenix with in excess of 250,000 spectators turning up each year to watch the drama unfold. Sadly this year it will be empty.
The course would be widely accepted to be one of the easiest on Tour, and was the venue for the lowest round in PGA Tour history when Jim Furyk shot 58 in benign conditions in 2016.
Overall, TPC River Highlands is a short course with small, slow greens. Bunkering is strong, and there are several doglegs which combine to make the course challenging if the wind blows. That, however, is the only real defence, and the forecast this year is for calm conditions, and a winning score most likely again pushing up towards 20 under par.
Last Five Winners:
The Market Leaders
An unseasonably strong line up is again in attendance this week some 100 miles north of New York as the World's best continue to fine tune their games ahead of the upcoming glut of Major Championships in the second half of 2020. Rory McIlroy (12/1) will be looking to put behind him a lacklustre showing at the RBC Heritage on an admittedly unsuitable course, and will feel far more comfortable at this longer, and in the whole more challenging venue where he has posted consecutive top 20s in his two appearances. The price seems fair. Rory should be the market leader, and at 12/1 he isn't unbackable, but it's hard to get excited about his chances in such a strong field, and with the lingering suspicion that he is looking ahead to bigger honours further down the line.
Justin Thomas (12/1) and Bryson Dechambeau (12/1) have both been conspicuously impressive since golf restarted and it is no surprise to see them both alongside McIlroy here this week. Dechambeau has back to back top 10s here in his last two visits, and only a poor third round prevented him seriously contending for the title last week as he finished 8th; his fifth consecutive top 5 on the PGA Tour. He is truly the in form player at the moment, and a third round 64 here last year shows that he is quite capable of taming River Highlands. Of those at the top of the market he represents the best value. Thomas finished third here in 2016, but his other visits have been largely unremarkable. He is another in good form, and he closed last week with a 64 to finish in the top 10 for his second consecutive week. He has a chance, but at the same price Dechambeau is the value of the two.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
This week I am focusing on the top of the market, and the headline pick is going to be the World number one who is fast getting to grips with his game over the past couple of weeks. With all four rounds in the 60s last week, including a final round 65, Koepka managed a share of 6th place at a course where strategic golf and bal placement are the key skills, and if he carries that form to River Highlands which plays far more to his strengths, then he could well make a mockery of these high odds. The slow greens and the need to fly the ball long and far will give Brooks a distinct advantage over nearly 90% of the field. His short game and putting were back to their best last week, and if he can nail down the approaches from 100-150 yards then he should rightly be the stand out market favourite this week, not tied fifth.
Koepka finished 9th here back in 2016, and has yet to miss the cut in four appearances. He was out of sorts over the weekend last year despite a second round 66, but showed in that round how capable he is here if in form. On the back of a great four rounds at Hilton Head, he undeniably brings that improved form to Connecticut, and i'm hoping that Brooks will land us our first win of the post lockdown era with 3 points e/w at 20/1.
Other Betting Tips
It isn't hard to see why Bryson Dechambeau is a pick this week. Even as the joint favourite, Bryson's form has made him impossible to overlook, and there is the added bonus that we arrive at one of his favourite venues here.As with Brooks, the course and the conditions will play into Dechambeau's hands. He has incredible length now, and is another that if he nails the approach shots, and particularly the putting, will be very hard to get ahead of here. The two now have remarkably similar games, and whilst Koepka is a little more refined, Bryson's raw power and talent is showing him to be a real contender for the major honours this year.
I was lucky enough to spend some time chatting to Bryson on the 11th fairway at Portrush last year during a brief rain delay. He is clearly a steely competitor, and the consecutive top 10s without a win will no doubt be grating on him. He will see this as a huge opportunity to break that run, and i'm backing him to do so with 3 Points e/w at 12/1.
My final selection is a bit of a long shot, but Vegas looked good for three rounds on his return, and despite a poor final round at Colonial, he bounced back well with a top 20 last week, and his game looks in as good a shape as it has been for a couple of years. Vegas is another long hitter who is capable of going incredibly low on his day, and although he has little in the way of form at River Highlands to support his selection, I can see him taking to the course setup this week, and comfortably out performing this price. I will therefore have a small play with 1/2 Point e/w at 125/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-69 points|
|PGA Tour||+46 points|