WGC St Jude Invitational Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers.
TPC Southwind - Memphis, Tennessee, USA - Par 70, 7,244 Yards
This week sees the season's opening WGC event as the players arrive at TPC Southwind. Twenty miles east of the city of Memphis, TPC Southwind was first designed in 1970 by Ron Prichard, and was later lengthened and toughened in 2004 to the challenging par 70 venue that we see today.
With narrow Zoysia grass fairways, and small, fast bermuda greens, Southwind presents a significant challenge. Water is very much in play on ten of the eighteen holes, and bunkering is penal. To challenge and win here, players need to be long, straight, and preferably to have an in form short game. In short, this is an all round venue that is likely to produce winners of a high calibre. Course form holds more weight at Southwind than it does at other venues with David Toms, Justin Leonard, Daniel Berger, and Dustin Johnson all winning this event on multiple occasions over the last 15 years.
Last Five Winners
The Market Leaders
John Rahm (10/1) and Rory Mcilroy (11/1) split the top of the market this week in Memphis as the World numbers one and two go head to head amongst a slightly limited, but hugely impressive field to compete for the biggest title of the season so far. Rahm is straight off a win last time out at The Memorial where even a final round 75 couldn't stop him putting the field away comfortably and claiming the top spot in the rankings for the first time in his career. His game lookis in outstanding shape and he can back that up with a 7th place finish in his first appearance at TPC Memphis last year to boot. He should challenge and the price seems very fair even in this field. Mcilroy's play over the past few weeks has been less inspiring, and this is the first event back where he has not gone off as the pre tournament favourite. He does have two top 5 finishes here in his last two appearances spanning seven years, and the challenging course should be a good fit. He does however come from a starting point a long way behind Rahm.
American duo Rryson Dechambeau (12/1) and Justin Thomas (12/1) both arrive in good form and will be looking to put lacklustre performances at this venue behind them when the event gets started on Thursday. Dechambeau has been hitting all the headlines with his huge length from the tee, but I'm unsure how much that will help him here. He hasn't finished inside the top 40 in any appearance at this course, and for me it's a stretch to see him break into the winners circle from that form line this week. Thomas is a slightly better fit and always excels on tougher courses such as this. He finished 2nd to Rahm two weeks ago, and followed up with another top 20 last week. Thomas will get a win soon, and it isn't out of the question that it could come here. Again, the price seems fair.
Rob’s Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Jordan Spieth continues to improve his form, finishing 13th in his last outing before missing last week. That was his second top 15 finish since the restart, and a continuing sign that the former World number one is heading back to the level that saw him dominate golf just two years ago. Spieth's woes have been well documented. Whilst his short game remains the best on Tour, and his putting outstanding, his driving has been consistently preventing him from getting into contention. That can surely only go on for so long, and, at The Travelers he ranked inside the top 100 for driving for the first time this season in a full field event. Even at 91st, the rest of his game was good enough to pull him into 13th position, and it isn't hard to see the effect that a continuing small improvement in that area will make to his results. He remains very competitively priced, and at an event where he finished 12th last year when again out of any sort of form he seems a great value bet with 3 points e/w @ 50/1.
Jason Day seems to be flying under the radar on his return from injury, and finishes of 4th and 7th in his last two events are ominously progressive as he arrives at a demanding course that should perfectly suit the Australian's game. Day remains one of the most talented players in the field, and is a fantastic closer of tournaments. Those two finishes should in reality have pushed his price down to half of what it is, but it hasn't and he makes a stand out bet. Jason appeared here last year, and finished a rather lowly 48th That was on the back of a missed cut at The Open Championship, and he arrives in nothing like that sort of form. In a limited field event he represents a great value bet, and I have had 2 points e/w at 40/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-91 points|
|PGA Tour||+31 points|