Shriners Hospital For Children Open Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the Shriners Hospital For Children Open, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.
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Rob Cobley’s Shriners Hospital For Children Open Betting Tips
TPC Sumerlin, Nevada - Par 71, 7,255 Yards
A strong field has assembled this week in the Nevada desert for the 37th staging of the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open; part of the PGA Tour charitable foundation that raises money for sick children around the country. This tournament was originally a five day, 90 hole event, reverting to a regular four-day event back in 2004. Scoring is typically low with winning scores usually in the high teens to low twenties. Patrick Cantlay’s nine under par win back in 2017 was an anomaly when the course was battered all week by unusually strong winds, and no player managed to post all four rounds in the 60s.
TPC Sumerlin is a private suburban club fifteen minutes' drive west of the Las Vegas strip. It was designed by American Fuzzy Zoeller and is a fairly short and easy dessert course which offers little variety or significant challenge to these players. There are wide, gently undulating fairways with friendly Bermuda rough where players balls sit on top of the grass, and which pose little threat to any errant tee shots. The greens are flat, perfectly manicured, bentgrass surfaces which roll true and yield a large number of birdies year after year. It is also worth noting that Sumerlin sits over 2,000 feet above sea level, and the balls here will fly approximately 3 percent further than on a course at sea level.
This course is only testing when the wind gets up which, in Nevada, is rare, although the forecast for this week does offer up some hope with high gusts; particularly over the first two days as the side effects of hurricane Lorenzo are felt on the west coast. In what is largely a putting contest, the key formula for success will be birdie average, and strokes gained putting. The final four holes are the most interesting on the course, and could provide some drama. The 15th is a driveable par 4, 16 is a risk and reward par 5, 17 is a watery par 3, and the 18th is one of the few tough holes on the course. Either way, look for good putters and low scores this week.
Last Five Winners
The Market Leaders
Following the withdrawal of Tony Finau who tested positive for COVID-19 on Tuesday, Bryson DeChambeau (7/1) is the favourite as he makes his first start since his US Open victory three weeks ago. This isn't one of the bigger events on Tour but Bryson has supported it throughout his career; and what player doesn't fancy a week in the Las Vegas sun? DeChambeau has a terrific record here with finishes of 7th, 1st, and 4th in his last three appearances at Summerlin, so his return is welcome and perhaps not entirely unexpected. This is a fairly benign resort course, and instinctively not the type that sets up for Bryson's game, but those results don't lie, and if he remains motivated following his first Major win, then he has to be a very serious contender.
Webb Simpson (10/1) has enjoyed a fantastic last 12 months, and the low scoring Carolina resident seems a far better fit for Summerlin where he won in 2013 and has enjoyed a whole host of strong finishes since including a 7th place last year. Simpson's form lately is as impressive with top 10 finishes in three of his last four events, and I would back him to contend this week.
Patrick Cantlay (14/1) won here back in 2017 and has finished 2nd in each of the last two years, including a playoff loss to Kevin Na last year. Although his golf of late has been with mixed success, he has been playing tough courses, and this release at a venue where he is clearly comfortable should be a welcome break. Cantlay has been bullish in the week about his chances this week, and I also expect him to contend. He would be the second favourite in the market for me.
Rob’s Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tips
In a more friendly betting heat, I have diverted the majority of this week's resources into the PGA Tour event where I have three very strong selections. The first is Keegan Bradley who was the runaway leader going into the weekend last week before falling away to a disappointing but nonetheless respectable 4th placed finish. That was on a low-scoring course, and Bradley specialises where the conditions are friendly and birdies aplenty as they will be this week in the Nevada Desert. Keegan has only chosen to play this event three times which is perhaps surprising given he finished 7th on his second trip here in 2014. Bradley is an aggressive player who will attack Summerlin from start to finish. On the back of a 4th placed finish he is a real danger this week and is my headline tip with 3 points e/w @ 80/1.
Patrick is a fairly short price, but that cannot be argued with given his record here and the fact that this is his favourite course on Tour. Cantlay was involved in an intense finish last year that saw him narrowly lose out to an in-form Kevin Na in a playoff, and that experience will only serve to increase his determination to succeed again this year. Having entered the year as a player that was tipped up for success in the Majors, Patrick will perhaps be disappointed with how things have turned out, but he will be conscious that this is as good an opportunity as any to start to build momentum for the 2021 season, and I really fancy him to achieve success this week. He is another who will go after the course and having completed all four rounds last week is primed for an assault on Sumerlin. 3 points e/w at 14/1.
Tyler McCumber secured us some place money last week at 200/1, and should have been better had he not failed to birdie the two easiest holes on the course over the last five holes. That however hasn't deterred me from putting him in again this week. On the back of finishes of 6th and 2nd at low scoring venues, Tyler makes his first competitive visit to TPC Summerlin and a course that should be a great fit for the young birdie maker. McCumber is a huge hitter who goes after the pins, and his all-or-nothing approach could be just the right fit this week. I am backing him with 2 points e/w at 125/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-108 points|
|PGA Tour||+92 points|
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