Scottish Open Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the Scottish Open, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.
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Rob Cobley’s Corales Puntacana Resort Championship Betting Tips
The Renaissance Club - Dirleton, North Berwick - Par 71, 7,136 Yards
The European Tour’s season continues in the British Isles as the strongest field of the year gathers at The Renaissance Club on Scotland’s Northern Coast. Some 40 minutes drive North of Edinburgh, Renaissance will be a new name to many having been designed just 11 years ago by American Tom Doak next to the more famous Open venue at Muirfield links. This is the second time that it has hosted this event following on from Bernd Wiesberger's win last year.
An exposed, undulating, coastal links, with a few forestland holes, the course has something for everybody but, most importantly, will provide a good test for the field. There are just 3 par 5s and the fast, undulating, fairways will slightly negate some of the advantage held by the bigger hitters. Bunkering is fairly sparse, but very challenging for any players that come across them this week. To contend in this very strong field, players will need a good all round links game, wind management, and a top of the range short game similar to last week at Galgorm.
Scoring is expected to be low. Last year's winning score of 22 under par was the lowest in the history of the Scottish Open.
Last Five Winners
|2017||Rafa Cabrera Bello||-13|
The Market Leaders
Tommy Fleetwood (9/1) will play the Scottish Open for the first time in four years on the back of a missed cut at the US Open three weeks ago. Fleetwood's form has been variable with a 3rd place before that his best finish of the year on the back of a host of top 50s and other missed cuts. He will no doubt be pleased to be back on home soil in the UK and Renaissance is his type of course should he be able to find his form. That represents the challenge for Tommy who has been plagued by inconsistency. He has struggled with all facets of his game but most notably on and around the greens with his putting and scrambling stats way down on what they were last year. He is a shot in the dark this week, and represents little value for me.
Matthew Fitzpatrick (12/1) will play at the Scottish Open for the seventh consecutive year having finished 14th in each of the last two years. Fitzpatrick has been plying his trade in the US for the past couple of months, taking in the Majors and World Golf Championships with relative success, and three top six finishes. Matt has a great links game and a low scoring links venue is an absolutely ideal set up for the man from Sheffield who has four European Tour titles to his name. Fitzpatrick isn't the longest hotter and will enjoy the shorter, more cerebral layout on offer at Renaissance than some of the big bombers tracks that he has been taking on over in the States. This quite simply should come down to a case of how well Matt performs on the greens. Last year he was in good form and posted a solid finish. He isn't without a chance, but the price fails to excite.
Thomas Pieters (22/1) has been playing some very good golf on both sides of the pond and narrowly missed out on a top 20 in the US Open. He represents decent value at the price if he can bring that form to Scotland. Given his recent performances at Celic Manor, there is nothing to suggest that he can't. Martin Kayer (22/1) had two excellent finishes of 2nd and 3rd on the European Tour before heading off to the US and missing the cut at the US Open. He has to be a significant challenger back in Europe. Bernd Wiesberger (22/1) won this event comfortably last year, and has been playing some very solid golf lately with a top 40 in the US Open on the back of finishes of 5th and 30th. He should challenge once again.
Rob’s Betting Tips
Young Australian Maverick Antcliff has been right on top of his game lately with finishes of 9th, and last week 3rd where he could well have picked up the title in Ireland but for a couple of bad holes early on the back nine on Sunday. Antcliff looked right at home amongst the leaders and completely at ease in the final group, and I expect we will see him there far more often in the next few years. Maverick grew up on links courses in Western Australia and should love the challenge posed by the Renaissance Club this week as he did last week's venue at Galgorm.
Antcliff isn't a big hitter, but he keeps his ball in play and sets up lots of chances, and that should serve him well around this shorter, less demanding, course this week. He showed last week that he is in as good form as any player in that field, and although the quality is better this time around, he is in the groove, playing for the third consecutive week, and the price astounds me. I have had 2 points e/w @ 200/1.
Other Betting Tip
Martin Kaymer needs no introduction, and the German has been working his way steadily back to the top of European Tour leaderboards over the past few weeks with finishes of 2nd and 3rd before heading to compete, without any success, at the US Open. Kaymer is a great links player; he has won at St Andrews, Carnoustie, Golf Nacional, and Whistling Straits to name just a few, and enaissance should suit him perfectly. Last year he arrived in very questionable form but still managed to post an impressive top 20 finish, and I expect much more this week fresh from a break and desperate to rejoin the winners circle. Kaymer's long game has looked as good this year as in any of the last five. If he putts well this week he will challenge, and I see no logic to him being twice the price of Fitzpatrick and Fleetwood. 2 points e/w at 22/1.
Scotland's Calum Hill finished 26th here last year, and has been enjoying a much better season in 2020 with top 10 finishes in two of his last five events on top of a 28th place last week in Ireland. Hill is a big hitter who likes to overpower courses, and that slight misfit with Renaissance is the only reason I can think for his price being so big this week. Last year he showed that he can tackle this course with a 2nd round 65, and if he is able to repeat that form more consistently, which isn't unfathomable given his improvement on his 2019 self, then he could well be the home player to watch this week. 2 points e/w at 80/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-92 points|
|PGA Tour||+96 points|
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