RSM Classic Betting Tips

RSM Classic Betting Tips

The RSM Classic Betting Tips

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Rob Cobley’s RSM Classic Betting Tips

Doc Redman - 50/1 To Win Danny Willett - 100/1 To Win

The Courses

Seaside Course & Plantation Course - St Simons Island, Georgia, USA - Par 70 (& Par 72), 7,000 Yards

The PGA Tour heads to one of its dual course venues this week as the field arrives in the golfing mecca of St Simons Island in Georgia for the RSM Classic. Being played at this venue for the 10th year, the RSM is often seen as a gateway event given the high number of first time winners it produces. Over recent years this has included the likes of Tommy Gainey, Robert Streb, Mackenzie Hughes, and even last year's winner Charles Howell III was winless in 9 years before taking the 2018 title. Over the first two days, the players rotate across the Seaside and Plantation courses, with the Seaside taking over for the weekend. Across both courses putting is always critical here, and low scoring is a feature of both.

Seaside Course - Par 70, 7,000 Yards

The Seaside Course is used for three of the four rounds, and for both rounds over the weekend. Both courses were designed originally in 1928, and the Seaside Course underwent a Tom Fazio redesign in 1998. A traditional seaside links, and very susceptible to wind, this is the more challenging of the two. From the tee, the Seaside Course offers tight undulating fairways, and errant shots are lightly punished in the sparse rough and lack of trees that are typically characteristic of links golf. The greens are small, usually fast and slopey bermuda surfaces with large run-off areas both to the back and sides. As is the case with both host courses this week, the key is precision iron play and a hot putter. Scrambling will also be necessary, and an excellent short game will go a long way to achieving success here.

Plantation Course - Par 72, 7,000 Yards

At the same yardage, but with two more strokes against par, the Plantation Course will throw up the lower of the scoring this week, and it will be important that the players go low on whichever day they play here. Any scores about 4 or 5 under par on the Plantation Course will see a player lose ground on the field. Further inland than the seaside, this is more of a blustery parkland course that was redesigned earlier this year and will be showcased for the first time here this week. The main difference is that inaccurate tee shots will be more significantly punished by the dense trees, although lies will not be a problem. The green complexes are again small, slopey, and with large run-off areas almost identical to the Seaside course. The key also here is accurate iron play, and making plenty of putts.

Last Five Winners:

Year Winner Score
2019 Tyler Duncan -19
2018 Charles Howell III -19
2017 Austin Cook -21
2016 Mackenzie Hughes -17
2015 Kevin Kisner -22

The Market Leaders

As ever seems to be the case when the players arrive at Sea Island, home State favourite Webb Simpson (9/1) heads the market. This year that favouritism is perhaps more justifiable than ever given that Simpson has not finished outside of the top 17 in any event since March, and he played well enough to secure a top 10 finish at The Masters last week ahead of one of his favourite events of the year. Webb's record here is phenomenal whatever way you look at it; both for consistency and the lack of a win. He has finished 3rd and 2nd in the last two years when in far poorer form, and at such a well suited, low scoring venue he has to be seriously considered this week.

England's Tyrrell Hatton (16/1) missed the cut last week despite coming into The Masters as one of the in-form players, and it is slightly surprising to see him so far up the market on his first visit to Sea Island. The course length and intricacies on both the Plantation and Seaside layouts should work to his favour, but in such a deep field and with many others having good records here, and arriving in equally similar form, the price seems low.

Sungjae Im (18/1) was the nearest challenger to Dustin Johnson for most of last week at Augusta, and his 2nd place finish was his first top 10 in nearly eight months. That is a welcome return to form for the talented Korean who won back to back earlier in the season. Im played here last year, finishing 37th and will be another who likes the tight, strategic, setup and low scores. Again, I am unsure of the value he offers in the market, however, and he is one that I will be leaving for another day.

Rob’s Golf Betting Tips

Headline Betting Tip

Doc Redman: 50/1 To Win

Doc Redman is a player that I like very much, and who I tipped unsuccessfully two weeks ago when he missed the cut in Houston. I don't want to reselect players that have not performed, but having given Redman a lot of scrutinies, I can't see past the value in his price. Despite that poor showing, Doc has a lot of solid recent form behind him with 2nd, and 3rd place finishes in his last four events. He makes his first visit to Sea Island, but I can see this being an excellent venue for Redman. He is a straight hitter, who makes few mistakes, and should set up a lot of birdie chances this week.

Added to the above, Redman is one of the best putters on the Tour, and it was largely that part of his game that eluded him in Houston. This week he is back on bermuda greens as opposed to the rye in Houston, and that should make a significant difference in getting him back to the level he was performing at three weeks ago. The 22-year-old is a future star of the PGA Tour, and he is ready to win. At this price, I am more than happy to take him here in Georgia. 3 points e/w at 50/1.

Other Betting Tip

Danny Willett: 100/1 To Win

It is no secret that Danny Willett has been struggling so far in 2020. Just one top 10, albeit in what has been a somewhat shortened season is not the return that the 2016 Masters champion would have been wanting, or indeed expecting having shown much better form towards the latter end of 2019. Last week, Danny showed his game was, however, looking much brighter with a tied 25th at Augusta which included a 65 on Friday so there is no doubt that Willett’s game is there if he can just achieve some much-needed consistency.

This is Willett's first visit to Sea Island as he normally retires out to Asia at this time of the year to play in the events over there, however in their absence he has chosen to stay on in the US, and I can see the decision having some merit. The venue will be to his liking; it is not too long and offers up a lot of birdie chances to another excellent putter who showed last week on the tough greens at Augusta just down the road how well that part of his game is shaping up. It is a bit of a venture into the unknown with Danny at this time, but at this price, it seems one worth taking. 1 point e/w at 100/1.

2020 P&L

Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.

Tour Points
European Tour -146 points
PGA Tour +52 points
Total -94 points