RBC Heritage Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. So far in 2020, Rob Cobley is 66 points in profit when betting on the PGA Tour. That means for a £1 stake, Cobley is £66 in profit so far.
Harbour Town Golf Links. Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. 7,100 Yards
Following last week's dramatic finish at Colonial, the PGA Tour picks up once again at Hilton Head, and the beautifully manicured seaside track of Harbour Town Golf Links. Harbour Town is a Pete Dye designed, relatively short, linksy course that places a premium on accuracy, both from the tee and the fairways, as the players face a heavily tree lined course with small, well guarded greens. Indeed, it is often not good enough to simply hit the fairways, players need to be on the right side to attack often well hidden, slopey, hole locations. The profile of the winner here is very consistent, and this is reflected in the market.
Last Five Winners:
The Market Leaders
Despite being a World Golf Championship event last year, 2020 sees perhaps the strongest field in the history of the RBC Heritage as six of the top 10 players in the World embark upon this sleepy corner of South Carolina to take on one of the finest tests on Tour. Rory McIlroy (11/1) comes in as favourite again this week in spite of a lacklustre effort last week that saw him finish outside of the top 30. McIlroy played some good golf, including a fantastic second round 65, but his lack of killer instinct really shone through. It remains a blight on Rory's career and at a new venue that places a premium on accuracy and a strong short game, it's impossible to bring him onside this week.
Bryson Dechambeau (14/1) picked up where he left off in 2020 with a highly impressive display last week that saw him finish in the top 5 for the 4th consecutive event. Bryson's game is built largely on power, but he is not short of finesse around the greens either, and that is born out by his two top 5s in his four starts at Harbour Town. His putting was all that stopped him contending to win last week, and it will be all about the level of improvement coming in here. The price is just too short for me, but he cannot be ruled out. Justin Thomas (14/1) is easier to leave alone. He excels on longer, tougher, sources, and has never found this venue to his liking. On the back of a 10th place finish last week, I don't see Thomas stepping up this time out.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Billy Horschel played some fantastic golf last week as he finished inside the top 40 for the 5th consecutive Tour event, two of which saw him end up in the top 10, and there are signs that the American is returning to his very best after stalling somewhat on what looked like an exceptionally promising young career six years ago. Billy is an exciting, swashbuckling, player who can go very low, and a good week on the greens here will see him right in contention. Horschel has form here with two top 10 finishes, and he has only missed the cut once in seven appearances. He keeps the ball straight, and is exceptionally strong in tough conditions as he has shown when placing at both the US and British Opens. The conditions and timing are just right for Billy, and I expect a big week. He is available with 2 points e/w at 80/1.
It is surprising to see the price of Sungjae Im this week. The Korean finished 1st at the Honda, and 3rd at Bay Hill before the hiatus, and returned last week with a top 10 despite a horrendous end to round two, otherwise he would have been challenging for honours on Sunday. Im has a very tidy game, he is strong tee to green, and as he showed at PGA National can handle the toughest of conditions with his clean ball striking. Harbour Town should be the dream fit for him, and the last two winners have been from Asia showing how the set up is familiar and plays to the strengths of those that have grown up on tight, blustery courses. Last year Sungjae missed the cut on his debut here, and it seems that has caused a significant market overreaction to his chances here. There are many players shorter in the betting that don't have half the ability or consistency of the Korean, and I am more than happy to have him onboard with 3 Points e/w at 28/1.
The final selection for this week is last week's defending champion Kevin Na. Whilst the week was in general a struggle, Na did close with four birdies in his final five holes on Friday to miss the cut by just a shot, and if he brings that sharpness this week then the price will look exceptionally big at a venue where he has top 10s in four of his last seven starts. Similarly to Im, the course suits Na extremely well. He is accurate, and has a great short game. He is an intelligent player and the strategy required to compete will set him ahead of most of the field as it has on previous visits. i will be backing him with 2 Points e/w at 100/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-79 points|
|PGA Tour||+66 points|