RBC Heritage Betting Tips

RBC Heritage Golf Betting Tips

RBC Heritage Golf Betting Tips

Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the RBC Heritage, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.

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Rob Cobley’s RBC Heritage Betting Tips

Corey Conners - 30/1 To Win Brian Harman - 33/1 To Win Camilo Villegas - 250/1 To Win

The Course

Harbour Town Golf Links - Hilton Head Island, South Carolina - 7,100 Yards

Last week was full of drama, and ultimately disappointment, as our selections narrowly missed out on the places as Hideki Matsuyama became the first Japanese winner of a men's Major golf championship. In truth, Mcilroy never really contended, but Finau could and should have been so much better. Following all that excitement, this tournament sometimes has the feel of coming somewhat after the Lord Mayor’s show, with the blue and red jacket available for this week’s winner assured by the signature green of Augusta.

This should however not diminish what is a great tournament at an iconic venue. Harbour Town is a Pete Dye designed, relatively short, ‘linksy’ track that places a premium on accuracy, both from the tee, and the fairways as the players face a heavily tree-lined course with small, well-guarded greens. Indeed, it is often not good enough to simply hit the fairways, players need to be on the right side to attack often well hidden, slopey, hole locations. The profile of the winner here is very consistent, and this is reflected in the market. Short hitters, who are intelligent, accurate, iron players do well. The players will need to putt well on fast greens and to be patient. There are a lot of birdie opportunities, but misplaced shots will be severely punished.

Last Five Winners

Year Winner Score
2020 Webb Simpson -22
2019 Pan Cheng-Tsung -12
2018 Satoshi Kodaira -12
2017 Wesley Bryan -13
2016 Branden Grace -9

The Market Leaders

Dustin Johnson (10/1) is a surprise supporter of this event for me as he makes his fourth consecutive appearance. That might have something to do with the social scene involved, and the fact he can stay on his boat nearby, but his finishes have been lacklustre with no top 10s to date. The course is largely unsuitable for being so short and fiddly, although it is important not to underestimate DJ's ability to rise to any challenge. His strengths are largely negated, however, and after last week's flat display at Augusta it is hard to see him rising so quickly to this challenge, and he is one to leave alone for me.

Webb Simpson (12/1) won in fantastic style here back in November as he broke all the scoring records around Hilton Head. Webb loves it here and had a couple of other previous top 5 finishes. He was 12th last week at Augusta and is in fine form so the market support is no surprise. I don't see him as a regular enough winner, and with so much depth in the field, he is another to pass over this week.

Patrick Cantlay (16/1) has finishes of 3,7,3 in his three starts here and will be keen to bounce back from a missed cut when heavily tipped for The Masters last week. Cantlay is a fantastic all-round player and should be contending here if he plays at all well. He looks at the value at the top of the market. Collin Morikawa (18/1) makes only his 2nd start here having narrowly made the cut in November. He is in solid but unspectacular form, and I can see him on the peripheries again this week. Morikawa is an exceptional player, but this course offers little advantage and the price looks a little short.

Rob’s Golf Betting Tips

Headline Betting Tip

Corey Conners: 30/1 To Win

Corey Conners is one of the most in-form players on the Tour at the moment, having achieved top 7 finishes in three of his last five starts, including last week at The Masters. Conners is a consistent player with no discernable weaknesses, and he is someone I expect to see around the top of leaderboards a lot this year. What Conners lacks in ability, he more than makes up for in a strong mental fortitude and a discernible desire to win. He has played this event four times with 21st place last year being his best finish to date. I can see a marked improvement, even over these last six months and I see him putting together a significant challenge this week. He is my headline selection with 3 Points e/w at 30/1.

Other Betting Tips

Brian Harman: 33/1 To Win

Brian Harman is a talented and tidy left-handed player who, like Conners, has been playing the best golf of his career over the past few weeks. Harman can shape the ball both ways and is a very effective plotter around strategic courses such as Hilton Head. Harman has two top 10 finishes here in seven starts, but his game is currently at such a level above that as to make him one of the clear favourites this week. He produced a career-best 12th at Augusta last week on the back of consecutive top 5s on Tour, and it is hard to see Harman not being involved in the shakeup. He is putting beautifully and will love the stiff challenge and likely winning score of around 12 under par. The conditions are forecasted to be tough which plays further into the hands of the American, and I have accordingly had 2 Points e/w at 33/1.

Camilo Villegas: 250/1 To Win

Camilo Villegas remains one of the most popular players on Tour, and it will be an absolute delight to fans and players alike when he steps back into the winners’ circle which I strongly expect that he will. With finishes of 8th and 17th in his last three starts, and rested after a week off during The Masters, Camilo would seem excellent value to challenge at this high price. In seven appearances, Camillo has two top 10s and a win in 2009 here, and the course plays very similarly to the likes of PGA National where he has also previously enjoyed success. The forecast of tough conditions also helps the player that they call "Spiderman" for his impressive agility, and if Villegas can show any sort of consistency over the four days then this price could look huge. I have had 1 Point e/w at 250/1.

2021 P&L

Following a rolling profit of 300 points for the 2019 & 2020 seasons, I am looking for a great 2021 and have some great bets lined up for events throughout the year on both the PGA and European Tours. Each week I will pick between two to four selections at each event and suggest a suitable staking plan.

Tour Points
European Tour -32
PGA Tour +34
Total +2

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