Written By Robert Cobley - 26th February 2020
Bank Qatar Masters Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers.
Education City Golf Club - Doha, Qatar -.Par 71, 7307 Yards.
The European Tour remains in the Persian Gulf this week as we head to Doha for the 32nd staging of the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters at Education City Golf Club, a new venue located 15 minutes drive west of the capital. Opened just two years ago, and designed by Spaniard Jose Maria Olazabal, Education City is a very exposed, flattish desert track with almost no trees leaving it heavily exposed to the elements and the wind that often comes in from the Persian Gulf. With just three par 5s on a long lay out, and with the potential of tricky conditions, I'm expecting a challenge very similar to last week in Oman.
The par three holes at Education City look particularly challenging, and any player looking to be successful will need to be a good short to medium iron player, especially able to control their ball in the wind. All but one of the par threes have water, and a total of eight holes on the estate are bordered by water hazards making high numbers such as those run up by many players in Oman are likely at various times across the four days. The greens are well bunkered and very fast, measuring around 13 on the stimpmeter, so players will have to be wary of balls rolling off the greens, particularly in the more windy conditions. Length off the tee and the ability to control the flight and distance of iron shots along with a track record of putting well on fast greens are the criteria for success this week.
Last Five Winners:
The Market Leaders
Last week we had the unfortunate outcome of having all three of our selections on the European Tour inside the top 10 without returning any of our stakes, so I am looking to get back on track in Europe this week with some strong selections. Leading the market is Martin Kaymer (14/1) who produced a strong finish in Oman having shot a relatively poor opening round 72 to finish in the top 10, and who is a serious contender this week with that week under his belt. Kaymer has won four times in the Gulf, and his game suits these conditions incredibly well. He is a good iron player, and putts very well on fast greens. The extra room from the tee will also work to his advantage, and I expect Martin to go close this week.
Thomas Pieters (16/1) was the market favourite last week, but the big hitting Belgian, who ranks the third best in the field this week in the World Golf Rankings, failed to make the cut after an inconsistent couple of days where he struggled against the elements, and I am not convinced that he will be able to turn that form around quickly enough to contend here this week. Scotland's Robert Macintyre (18/1) remains without a European Tour victory despite being crowned Rookie of the Year back in 2019, and he has finishes of missed cut, and 42nd from his two starts this year. The course should suit Macintyre, and he shouldn't be ruled out on the basis of those performances, but in such a tight field it is hard to get excited about his chances of winning having failed to contend over the last few months. Macintyre will likely win this season, but I want to see a bit more from him first to suggest that he is ready to improve upon a great 2019.
Matthias Schwab (22/1) picked up his maiden European Tour title towards the end of last year during a hot spell of golf, but the 25 year old Austrian has struggled so far this season to replicate that form. He has yet to finish inside the top 20 in four starts, and looks to be suffering a bit of a hangover from that success. He is another who it is easy for me to leave alone this week. Joost Luiten (22/1) contended over the opening three days in Oman, enough so to see him tee it up in the penultimate group, but the Dutchman could only falter to a 10th placed finish over the final round. Although that represents an improvement on his recent form, Luiten was very accustomed to success at Al Mouj Golf, and does not have that to fall back on here. He represents an unknown for me, and I will also be leaving him out of my staking plan this week.
Rob’s Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Frenchman Victor Dubuisson has shown significant signs of getting back to his best which at one time saw him push into the World's top 20 players, and last week was a continuation of that despite an ultimately disappointing finish just inside the top 50. It was the par 5 second hole that was largely Dubuisson's undoing, and he would have won the tournament had he made four there each day, but a double bogey and a triple bogey scuppered his chances, and despite making eighteen birdies over the four days, he was unable to get himself into serious contention. That ring rust will soon leave Dubuisson, and when it does he will be due a win on the biggest stage once again, and Education City provides the perfect canvas for his return.
Victor is an exceptional wind player, and he excels on tough desert tracks where he has seen success in the past, including at the WGC matchplay in the Arizona desert where he finished runner up some years ago. He putts well on fast greens, and his putting was at near its best last week as is evidenced by his large number of birdies (14th most in the field). These will be the ideal conditions for one of the most talented players in the field, and I expect a strong challenge from Dubuisson. I shall be having 3 points e/w at 60/1.
Martin Kaymer is once again the biggest name in the field this week in Oman and, for me, takes his place rightly at the top of the market. Martin's game continues to improve, and last week he posted his fourth consecutive top 20 finish despite a slow start to the week, and the signs look, frankly, ominous for his competitors coming into this week. With his short game looking sharp, Kaymer will have the freedom of open fairways and minimal hazards from the tee to be able to play to his strengths of accurate and well controlled iron play. The German possesses a piercing ball flight which has served him well on some of the toughest links courses the World over, and the setup at Education City will be perfect for him. I recommend 2 point e/w at 14/1.
Last week's winner Sami Valimaki played some fantastic golf on his way to securing his maiden European Tour title, and the 21 year old from Finland seems capable, and of the right mindset to be able to ride that momentum into what is a very similar challenge this week in Qatar. Valimaki looked an excellent wind player, and his victory was no fluke coming on the back of some strong finishes on the Challenge Tour including a 7th place on his most recent showing there. Sami is a calm and highly motivated player with a deep focus, and I don't expect him to be overly phased by that success last week. If he brings the form he showed in Oman over to this side of the Gulf then this price will seem very big. I shall have 1 point e/w at 80/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-69 points|
|PGA Tour||+66 points|
Bet On The Cheltenham Festival at Bet UK
In the lead up to the event, get the latest Cheltenham betting odds over at Bet UK’s online betting. Not sure which horse to bet on? Then take a look at our Cheltenham betting tips for the thoughts of our racing expert.
*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting markets correct at the time of writing.
If you are betting on the Qatar Masters, please gamble responsibly and remember that when the fun stops, stop. All players must be 18+, BeGambleAware.org.