Bet UK Made in Denmark Preview
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He’s now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting expertise to our readers, this week ahead of the Bet Charles Schwab Challenge. The Bet UK online betting odds are available for this event as well as golf betting odds on all major European and PGA tours. You can also get golf betting tips for all major golf events at Bet UK's sports betting blog.
Tipping Form: at the British Masters Cobley predicted Marcus Kinult at 150/1*
Himmerland Golf & Spa Resort, North Jutland, Denmark. Par 71: 6,900 Yards
Himmerland Golf & Spa Resort sits in North Jutland, approximately 4 hours drive north of Copenhagen. Opened originally in 1993, and having undergone a major redesign in 2011, this parkland course is heavily exposed to the elements; a fact that can make it more challenging than it would appear on a cold spring day in Denmark.
That natural defence is very much needed on a course that possesses wide, undulating, fairways, but penal rough should the players stray from the short grass. The rough at Himmerland would not have looked out of place during last week’s stiff test at Bethpage, and several of those that made the cut in New York have made the quick turnaround to attend what is one of the best-supported tournaments on the European Tour.
Last Five WInners:
2018: Matt Wallace -19
2017: Julian Suri -19
2016: Thomas Pieters -17
2015: David Horsey -13
2013 : Marc Warren -9
The Market Leaders
England’s Matt Wallace arrives at Himmerland as the defending Made in Denmark champion having secured the 2018 title in a 4 man playoff, which included Lee Westwood, at Silkeborg last year. That was one of 3 European Tour victories for Wallace last year and, on the back of a 3rd place in the USPGA at Bethpage last week, it is understandable to see him garner market support at 31/4.
Behind Wallace is Belgian Thomas Pieters (12/1) who won here in 2016, and Lucas Bjerregaard (14/1) who has become Denmark’s new golfing hero following the slight demise of Soren Kjeldsen (50/1), and the fact that Thorbjorn Olesen (20/1) continues to struggle to recapture his best form. Bjerregaard does have very inconsistent form here having twice missed the cut and never finished inside the top 25 in his 4 visits. He will be hoping to ride the momentum of his hole in one on the 17th at Bethpage in the final round last week to contend more strongly in his home tournament.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
On the back of a disappointing 2nd place for our market leading tip at last week’s USPGA Championship, I am once again looking to the leading contender in the shape of red hot defending champion Matt Wallace. Wallace comes in brimming with confidence following a 2nd at Hillside in the British Masters and a subsequent highly impressive 3rd place at Bethpage on a course far less suited to the relatively short hitting Englishman. Though confident, Wallace will also be frustrated at his inability to close out a tournament and register his first win of the season, and these familiar surroundings provide the ideal opportunity.
Wallace has impressed in his only previous visit to Himmerland, when he finished 6th behind Thomas Pieters back in 2016. That was before Wallace had become a multiple winner and shown that he does have the killer instinct to put a tournament away when the opportunity presents itself. In this relatively weak field, if Wallace brings the game that he has had for the last two weeks, he will be very hard to beat and the relatively skinny price of just under 8/1 can be justified on this occasion. I suggest 4 points win at 31/4.
My next tip this week is a player that I have suggested before in the, somewhat hit and miss, exciting Spaniard Pablo Larrazabal. Recently, Pablo has been as up and down as he usually is, shooting rounds in the 80s and mid 60s most recently on his way to an overall very respectable 8th place finish at Hillside. That eventual strong showing should not be a surprise. Larrazabal is a renowned links golfer and has seen much success in the format, including threatening to break 59 for much of his round at Kingsbarns last year at the Alfred Dunhill. Although Himmerland is not a typical links course, there are many similar aspects with the undulating geography, high winds, and penal rough. This is a new venue for Pablo, but one where I expect he could excel, and will be backing him with 2 points e/w at 66/1.
Twenty-four year old South African Haydn Porteous has been enjoying a solid if unspectacular 2019 on the European Tour. In his last 7 starts, he has posted 4 top 30 finishes, and has been very consistent in almost all areas of his game. Porteous, as you would expect from a South African, is another who will enjoy the type of test posed by Himmerland. He is not a particularly long hitter, which will not adversely affect his chances on a course that is sub 7,000 yards, added to which he has a tremendous short game which will come in handy around the tricky greens and thick rough here. On his last visit here in 2017, Porteous posted a 6th place finish which gives us significant encouragement for both his win and place chances this week, and I shall have 1 point e/w at 100/1.
The final selection this week on the European Tour goes to another formidable links player, and one that has seen success previously at Himmerland with a 4th place finish in 2018. Michael Hoey is something of a veteran now as he enters his 40s, but he still has the skill and guile to tackle this course as well as almost any if his game is in shape, and there have been recent signs that it is. Hoey has made the cut in every appearance that he has made this season, finishing in the top 30 on all but one of those (34th). If the wind blows as it is forecast to, this price could represent extremely good value come the weekend, and I recommend a staking plan of 2 points e/w at 150/1.
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*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting correct at the time of writing.
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