Irish Open Golf Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for Irish Open, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.
Rob Cobley’s Irish Open Tips
Mount Juliet - County Kilkenny, Ireland - Par 72, 7,250 Yards
The Irish Open returns to its regular slot this week as this Irish gem plays host to the first of three links events preceding the Scottish Open, and the Open Championship in two weeks time.
Mount Juliet is a true classic golf course with rolling fairways that give a links-like impression, but that are surrounded by mature forestland. It was designed back in 1991 by Jack Nicklaus, amongst others, and provides the exact type of strategic test for which Nicklaus is famed. Though location wise it is not a links course, the topography is everything you would expect from a challenging seaside venue, and it will provide a good and stern test for the field for the upcoming events that culminate at Sandwich.
I will be looking for good ball strikers, ideally with a low flight, and who are capable of going low. This will be an event that someone needs to go out and win. Pars will not be enough.
Last Five Winners
Year | Winner | Score 2020 | John Catlin | -10 2019 | Jon Rahm | -16 2018 | Russell Knox | -14 2017 | John Rahm | -24 2016 | Rory McIlroy | -12
The Market Leaders
Although lacking some of the big international names, and Scotland's Robert MacIntyre who has been forced to withdraw following a positive Covid test, the field here in Kilkenny still has a feel of the very best of the European Tour talent. Leading the market is, unsurprisingly, the 2016 Irish Open champion Rory McIlroy (11/2). That win at the K Club is however his only real performance of note in this event, and he has otherwise missed four of five cuts in his home Open. The better news for Rory is that he seems to once again have found his best golf, and he will be hoping for a big few weeks. His 7th place in the US Open at Torrey Pines could have been even better, and if Rory brings that form here, he will be hard to stop. The record in this event is, however, concerning, and Rory too often sees this event as a warm up for greater riches down the road. For that reason I will be looking further down the field this week.
Shane Lowry (12/1) remains the defending Open Champion following last year's cancellation, and arrives in almost as good form as his countryman following his 6th place at the US Open. Lowry won this event at County Louth back in 2009 as an amateur, though a 5th in 2012 is his best return since then, and i'm not sure how well his game is suited to Mount Juliet. Lowry can hang in with the best on the toughest courses (the winning score was over par in 2019), but this is a far different challenge. I can see a mid field finish from Shane, and he isn't the one for me here.
Tommy Fleetwood (14/1) is a specialist at this type of links hybrid course and he would seem the best value towards the top of the market. Although his game has been in mixed shape, he has made three of his last four cuts, and his form has been improving. His low ball flight and excellent putting will be ideal here for the runner-up in the 2019 Open. Whether it will be enough to win, i'm unsure and i continue to look down the market for the value.
Rob's Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Sam Horsfield: 25/1 To Win
Sam Horsfield secured us some minimal place money last week in a multiple player tie for 5th, and that was a disappointing outcome given he had traded as short as 5/2 during the opening round as he lit it up with a 62 in Germany. That was followed by a horrendous few holes in round two that effectively ended his chances of winning the event, although he showed plenty of grit and courage to come back and finish in the places.
Sam remains in excellent form and this course should suit him even better than last week's in Germany. Horsfield enjoyed tremendous success in the UK swing last season, and I think back on home turf that will recreate itself over the next few weeks. With a piercing low ball flight and the ability to shoot rounds like last week's 62 2with regularity, Sam looks the pick of the field again this week, and have backed him with 3 Points e/w at 25/1
Kalle Samooja: 80/1 To Win
Finland's Kalle Samooja has a quietly impressive record when playing on these shores with a runner up finish at the Scottis Open a couple of years ago and two further top 10s in the UK swing last year. Samooja is a strong and powerful player who hits the ball incredibly low, sometimes no more than ten feet off the ground, and who has enjoyed substantial success on links venues. Samooja has also been in great form with finishes of 3rd and 9th in the Canaries, again on this type of course, and he looks an excellent value outsider with 2 Points e/w at 80/1.
Following a rolling profit of 300 points for the 2019 & 2020 seasons, I am looking for a great 2021, and have some fantastic bets lined up for events throughout the year on both the PGA and European Tours. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event, and suggest a suitable staking plan.