English Championship Golf Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers.
Hanbury Manor, Ware - Hertfordshire, England - Par 71 7060 Yards
Hanbury Manor hosts the third event in the UK swing as many of the field who were eligible to play at Harding Park in the USPGA Championship but have chosen to give the United States a miss on account of the quarantine restrictions.
Several of the Tour's leading players such as Lee Westwood and Andy Sullivan who would otherwise have been eligible have said that they almost feel like they are in prison on account of the coronavirus restrictions being imposed upon golfers, caddies, officials and media. But while there have been several cases of diagnosed Covid-19 on the PGA Tour, there has been not one in the bubble created during the UK Swing. So players have some choices to make - do they pack up their clubs and head for home until this is all over, or do they carry on playing?
Keith Pelley, the tour’s chief executive, has made it plain that he has no intentions of changing anything anytime soon - and he is correct. The safety of everybody involved is paramount, and the quality of the field heading to Hanbury Manor indicates that the players feel the same way. Pelley and his team have worked incredibly hard to get this show on the road and although it was eerily quiet at the previous two events, the quality of the golf has remained strong.
The course at Hanbury Manor is largely a resort venue, and it is unlikely to prove challenging for these quality of players this week. The rough is far from penal, and there is little by way of natural defenses such as water and trees although the bunkering, particularly around the greens, could prove troublesome. I expect a winning score around 18-20 under par.
The Market Leaders
Thomas Detry (11/1) came close to claiming his third European Tour title last week where a final round surge saw him finish second behind England's Sam Horsefield who picked up his maiden title as he continued a rich vein of form. Detry as we know is long, and the short game was at its best last week to see him up where he belongs, and will stay if he can maintain some consistency to his game which has been lacking over the past couple of years. The type of set up at Hanbury Manor will be very similar to the Forest of Arden and accordingly Detry is rightly at the top of the market. His short game will dictate much of his success as his tee to green stats really need very little improvement. If all aspects come together then he should put up a strong challenge in the home counties.
Lee Westwood (12/1) is one of the very few players with previous form at Hanbury having played in the British Masters here between 1997-1999. Lee enjoyed success in that period with a win in 1998 followed by a missed cut in 1999. Although there is little to draw from a course form over 20 years old, Lee is similar to Detry in that he will almost certainly contend amongst this field if he can get the putter working. Westwood should have been playing at Harding Park this week, but chose to stay at home on the basis of health and quarantine concerns, and their loss is most certainly Europe's gain. Rasmus Hojgaard (16/1) is having a real breakthrough few weeks finishing 2nd, and an ultimately disappointing 6th last week The former Mauritius Open winner looks a fantastic talent in the ilk of his countryman Bjerregaard who is over in California, and I expect very big things from him over the next 18 months. He could win here. Twenty three year old Englishman Sam Horsfield (18/1) won last week and looked incredibly comfortable barring a slight stutter on the back nine on Saturday; many summarising he was put off by a live TV interview at the turn. He is another who should be right in the mix again if he maintains his ambition.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Rasmus Hougaard has been the most consistently impressive player since the resumption of the Tour four weeks ago, and he continues to improve having not finished outside of the places at either Close House or the Forest of Arden in the last fortnight. Hojgaard is an incredibly attacking player who likes to take on a golf course. He hits the ball high, long, and his flag hunting instincts will suit him perfectly at a low risk, low scoring venue such as Hanbury Manor. Distance wise the course has a couple of hundred extra yards on it which certainly won't hurt either. Hjogaard's finish of 6th last week doesn't really offer up a true reflection on how close he came to winning with a double bogey on 17 finally ending his chances after picking up three birdies early in the back nine. It is only a matter of time before Rasmus is back in the winner's circle, and at a far bigger event than Mauritius. I will be backing him to make that return this week with 3 points e/w @ 16/1.
Other Betting Tips
Justin Harding disappointed last week by missing the cut, but is a player that has served us well over the past year, and it was great to see the South African back in contention with a solo 3rd place finish at Close House the previous week. Harding is a hugely underrated player who is one of the best ball strikers on Tour, and he showed just how big a player he can become week in, week out by staying in contention right up until the final 4 holes in unfamiliar conditions in the North East. More used to the sunshine of Somerset West some 30 miles north of Cape Town in his native South Africa, a wet and windy Forest of Arden might not seem the ideal venue for him to claim a second European Tour title, but Harding's game looks in such excellent shape that he has to be a selection this week. Harding has shown multiple times what he is capable of when his game is at its heights including a top 10 at last year's Masters. I would rank him as one of the most overpriced players as the market overreacts to that weekend off in Warwickshire. I am happy to have him in the book with 2 points e/w at 33/1.
Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez will be a new name to many, and is a relative journeyman across both the European and, perhaps more regularly, the Challenge Tour. Rodriguez is a solid but certainly unspectacular player who has shown some real promise over the past four weeks with two top 10 finishes including leading at Forest of Arden last week following a classy opening 62 where his red hot putter put him four clear of the field at one point. That round, and the subsequent top 10 in a similarly strong field are enough to suggest that the quote this week has underestimated the chances of a player who is clearly enjoying some of the best form of his career. The 32 year old enjoys the conditions, and has found the greens in the UK much to his liking. Any player that has shot a 62 in the last week in almost identical circumstances should be shown more caution and respect by the market, and I am happy to back him with 1 point e/w at 150/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-103 points|
|PGA Tour||+27 points|