Dubai Desert Classic Betting Tips

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2024 Dubai Desert Classic Tip

Very few players have improved as much as RASMUS HOJGAARD has since the Ryder Cup sides were announced, Rasmus seemed burdened by the prospect while Nicolai thrived but since the announcement, he has played like a man reborn and is much closer to the man that was heavily linked towards making the squad. He has finished in the top 30 in his last seven starts, he looks like a high quality addition to the 2024 Dubai Desert Classic and it wouldn't surprise many if he went on to win the event at the Emirates Golf Club in Dubai.

We do recommend taking on this bet with an Each Way in mind. We have no doubts that Hojgaard will win an event in the coming months and there is no time like the present but there are a number of fantastic names who are in-form right now and the Dane could easily fall short. If you're looking to find top 10 finish odds, Hojgaard comes at 6/4 but to win the event, we're recommending the 16/1 E/W bet.

The Course

The Majlis Course, Emirates Golf Club - Dubai, UAE - 7,350 Yards, Par 72

Purse: $9,000,000

The 1988 Karl Litten designed Majlis Course at the Emirates Golf Club is the venue for the 32nd Dubai Desert Classic. Having played host to the event every year bar a brief hiatus in 1999 when Dubai Creek hosted David Howell's victory, The Majlis Course again provides the backdrop to one of the richest, and strongest, fields on the European Tour. The Emirates is a mostly flat desert complex, strewn with water hazards and substantial bunkering, making it one of the more visually impactful courses in the region, and indeed the World.

The players are driving into average width Bermuda fairways from the tee, and the punishments for not finding them vary. The rough is around three inches long which is deeper than on most courses, but it is not thick, and it's some of the easier rough to play from on the Tour. There is water in play at landing distance on five of the eighteen holes, including the tough 9th where any drive too long will find the water on a sharp dogleg. Other than that, only the most wayward of tee shots will be in danger of a watery grave. The bunkering is more penal on the fairways than the greens with several deep faced fairway bunkers making reaching the greens challenging. Some players will opt to play more strategically short of these; others in the bigger hitting category can simply carry their ball over them.

The approach shots are to large Bermuda putting surfaces that probably make up most of the slopes on the course. They are overseeded with rye, which makes them very fast (around 13 on the stimpmeter), and players will need to control their irons’ speed and trajectory to achieve the right distance control.

The four par 5s on the Majlis Course are all eagle opportunities, and if the wind stays away, then the scoring is typically very low, and almost always below 20 under par. A right to left ball flight (players such as Garcia, Fleetwood and most left-handers such as MacIntyre) is favoured with the shape of the holes; a feature similar to Augusta National. Driving is essential here, as is a record of good putting displays on Bermuda greens. If the wind blows, it really blows, and wind management becomes an equally critical factor if so. Due to the prevalence of wind later in the day, the morning wave can often average three strokes lower than afternoon players; a point worth noting if looking at betting in play or on round leader markets.

Dubai Desert Classic - 2023 Winner Tip

Our winner tip for this event in 2023 went to Adrian Meronk who sat at 30/1 in the betting odds before the event. His astronomical rise through the rankings in recent years was enough for us to view him as a serious contender for this event, especially at odds of 30/1. Meronk started strong with two birdies in three holes but suffered a bogey on five holes out of eight leading to a poor start. Overall, he finished on par and tied in 104th. A truly disappointing event for the highly rated Pole.

Last Five Winners