Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers.
Colonial Country Club - Fort Worth, Texas - Par 70, 7,200 Yards
Golf on the PGA Tour makes a welcome return this week as the Tour makes its first appearance since early March in Texas at one of its most famous venues. There will be a strange feel to the Charles Schwab this week with no crowds there to cheer on one of the strongest fields of the year as the big names return eager to make their delayed mark upon 2020. In these strange and challenging times, this will be welcome relief, and kicks off six months of exceptional golf on the PGA Tour that includes three Majors, and the World Golf Championships; along with the small matter of the Ryder Cup in September.
Built in 1936, and 10 miles southwest of Fort Worth, Colonial was redesigned in 2010 with the most notable changes being the addition of heavy bunkering to give more protection to what is a fairly exposed, flat venue, and one that has previously yielded low scoring winners. The greens are small, firm, and usually elevated so players need to be dialled in with their iron play this week as the heavy bunkering will swallow up any errant shots. Accuracy is the critical statistic at Colonial - both from the tee, and with the approach play. With 12 dog legs, and water in play on 7 holes, players need to be careful; especially with strong winds forecast for this week.
Last Five Winners
The Market Leaders
Rory McIlroy (7/1) is expected to pick up where he left off in 2020, and he leads the market heading into the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. McIlroy has shown enough over the past few weeks including in his televised friendly alongside Dustin Johnson that his game is exactly where he would want it to be. He has to rightly remain one of the most significant contenders this week despite the depth of the field. Although this is his first competitive appearance at Colonial, the course should fit his right to left long game perfectly. John Rahm (12/1) has a very impressive record at Colonial having finished in the top five in two of his three appearances here, and the Spaniard was once again showing the form that I expect will take him to number one in the World in the early part of the year. In his last six events, Rahm was only outside of the top ten on one occasion, and his remarkable consistency makes him a challenger in almost any field. Colonial is a long game course, and Rahm has the game to tame it. My concern with Rahm is a possible lack of momentum, and the unknown of such little recent form.
Justin Thomas (16/1) was enjoying a good year up until March with a win in Hawaii amongst a spattering of top 10s and missed cuts. Thomas is very much a form player who on his day would blow away the field almost anywhere, but is not a player that I expect to challenge this week on what is also his debut at Colonial. I will be leaving Justin for now. Bryson Dechambeau (20/1) was a player I was heavily invested in for 2020, but the unknown of the time away is for me a significant development. Bryson had endured a very poor run but had turned it around with top 5 finishes in four of his last five events, however resumes competitive play at an old adversary where he has three starts and only a 41st place to show on the one reversal where he did make the weekend. I would be shocked if Bryson contended this week, and he should not be in the market top four for me.
The Jordan Spieth price this week seems absurd to me at an event where he has a win, two 2nds and an 8th in his last five starts. Although his form over the last 9-12 months has been admittedly sketchy (at best) he has the best course form in the field by a distance, and nobody knows the improvements the players have been making during this time away. For Jordan the necessary upgrade was obvious. From the tee he has been hurting his chances substantially, mostly through pushing the ball, but in reality going either way. His short game has remained solid despite the increased pressure, and even an average driving week here would see him right in contention. I'm more than happy to make him my opening selection on golf's return with 2 points e/w at 40/1.
Phil Mickelson is another who's woes have come with the long game over the past few years as the likeable American lurches slowly towards the Champions Tour. That said, Phil is another who could benefit from the time away as the Tour returns at one of his favourite venues where he last won in 2008. Mickelson took to our screens a fortnight ago in the made for television event alongside Tiger Woods, Payton Manning, and Tom Brady and his back 9 resurgence was nearly enough to turn that match around after a slow start. Phil would love one last share of the limelight and it won't have passed him by what an excellent opportunity this is against a possibly nervous, and certainly battle rusty field. He is worth a play of 1 point e/w at 100/1.
Andrew Putnam has never finished outside of the top twenty at Colonial, and last year chased Kevin Na down into an eventual third placed finish. Putnam has a great game for testing conditions, and Fort Worth is expected to be blustery this week which will certainly give him an edge on some of his rivals. Putnam has an excellent low ball flight and although he isn't exceptional in any specific facet of the game, he has a very solid all round setup that, if it all comes together, belies this type of price. I'm expecting a seasoned player to take the title this week as they handle the nuances of the increased attention and empty venues through their increased experience, and Putnam falls nicely into that category. I recommend 2 points e/w at 125/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-79 points|
|PGA Tour||+76 points|