The British Masters Golf Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the The British Masters, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.
Rob Cobley’s British Masters Tips
The Belfry, Sutton Coldfield - England - Par 72, 7,233 Yards
The Belfry, a Ryder Cup and British golfing institution, returned to the European Tour last year after a 12-year absence as the host venue for the final event of the "UK swing" with the UK Championship, won by Denmark's Rasmus Hojgaard, who competes again this week. It now retains its place as Danny Willett plays host to the British Masters in his home county of Warwickshire.
The Belfry comprises three courses; The Derby, the PGA, and The Brabazon, which is where this week's event will be played. I have had the privilege of playing The Brabazon several times, and I would describe it as a challenging but relatively dull test, similar to the great majority of inland UK venues with the possible exceptions of Woburn, Sunningdale, and even Woodhall Spa. Although the rough has grown up, there is little natural protection, and the absence of spectators will allow for it to become possibly more penal than would usually be the case.
The course is mainly flat, and there is water in play on seven of the 18 holes, most noticeably the 9th, 10th and 18th holes. It is the (sometimes) drivable 10th which is the signature hole and can lead realistically to a score anywhere between a two and a six, and no doubt the tees will be pushed forward on Sunday to heighten the drama at the start of the back nine. Half the field will start their opening rounds on this hole each day when it will likely be tackled as an iron and a wedge. The greens are large and primarily flat poa annua, although a couple of earlier holes have somewhat defined slopes. The keys will be a good driving and putting, with a further emphasis on getting up and down when in trouble. I expect good quality players to rise to the occasion here.
This event begins Wednesday to give those playing next week's USPGA Championship an extra day to prepare. On the back of a couple of places last week, I am looking to continue the momentum for this event.
Last Five Winners
The Market Leaders
This week's market favourite is Scotland's Robert MacIntyre (12/1) in what is a disappointing field. Many players such as Wallace, Fleetwood, and others have remained in the US for the past few weeks due to quarantine restrictions, which has had an impact on this event. That is not to disparage MacIntyre, who finished runner up to Kinhult in this event a couple of years ago at Hillside, and who should love the vast open expanses of the Belfry. Rob missed the Canary Islands wing on the back of just one top 10 so far this season, and a lot will depend on how his preparation has gone. There are unknowns here, and for a one time winner at a modified scoring event in Cyprus, I cannot select MacIntyre and see plenty of better value at the bigger prices further down the field.
Martin Kaymer (16/1) finished runner up here in the UK Championship seven months ago in an event he really should have won, and he probably looks to be the better value of the two market leaders. Kaymer was third in his last outing at the Austrian Open and will be raring to go after also having the last three weeks off. He is long overdue a win, and I would be surprised if he isn't well in contention this week.
Bernd Wiesberger (20/1) has a couple of runners up finishes in this event across several venues. Still, he is dramatically out of form and impossible to support with just one top 40 finish so far this year. Sam Horsefield (20/1) and Rasmus Hojgaard (20/1) look better prospects, with Horsefield a particular standout having finished in the top 10 in three of his last four events.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Callum Hill has top 10 finishes in three of his last five starts and was unlucky not to have contended more significantly on the final day of the Canary Islands Championship last week. Hill has an excellent all-around game, particularly from tee to green, and it is that which will see him benefit the most from the layout at The Belfry. The Brabazon is a big, American style layout, far different to anything that the players have faced over the past few weeks, and far better suited to Hill. He hits the ball a long way, has a great iron game, and showed in the Canaries that his short game and putting are getting better and better as he competes at those low scoring venues.
Last year at the UK Championship, Callum opened with a 68 and closed with a 66. In between, he had two disappointing rounds of 72, but that was still enough to see him finish inside the top 10. If he brings his top game this week, I expect a mighty challenge, and he looks like a cracking bet with 3 Points e/w at 33/1.
Other Betting Tip
My second selection is England's Sam Horsfield. As I have alluded to above, Sam is playing some great golf with finishes of 8,3,15,4 before a missed cut and a week off as he didn't find the course in Tenerife to his liking. That should be to Sam's advantage this week, and he is another Brit who I expect to take far better to The Belfry than the courses that he has been competing on, with significant success, over the past few weeks.
Sam missed the UK Championship on this course last year as he had been playing so much golf around the UK swing, but I have every confidence that he will be able to compete here, and have backed him with 2 Points e/w at 20/1.
Following a rolling profit of 300 points for the 2019 & 2020 seasons, I am looking for a great 2021 and have some great bets lined up for events throughout the year on both the PGA and European Tours. Each week I will pick between two to four selections at each event and suggest a suitable staking plan.