British Masters Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers.
The Colt Course, Close House Golf Club - Newcastle, United Kingdom - Par 72, 7,220 Yards
The European Tour makes what I would deem it's full return this week, as the players begin an exciting six week swing across the British Isles at Close House just 5 miles northwest of the sport loving city of Newcastle. Close House has been selected through it's close ties with European Tour stalwart Lee Westwood, and Lee hosts this event in a similar vein to what Tommy Fleetwood did last year at Southport.
The Colt Course, set in the beautifully serene Tyne Valley, minutes from Newcastle and nestled between the banks of the River Tyne and the ancient remains of Hadrian’s Wall, on the 250-year-old Close House estate grounds has been lovingly teased into one of the best courses in the country, gaining entry to the UK Top 100 courses club almost as soon as it opened. It is a traditional inland UK parkland course, surrounded by heather and other natural hazards. Although the fairways are generally quite generous, players will be suitably punished whenever they stray too far off line; a problem that has been exacerbated for them over the past few weeks given the lack of fans on the course.
I was lucky enough to play Close House last year, and it bore instant similarities to the Duchess Course at Woburn for me. If you are accurate from the tee and manage distance with your irons, you will have great scoring opportunities, and be able to make plenty of birdies on these pristine greens. The bunkering is a significant and well designed hazard that must be avoided. I expect a winning score around 15 under par.
The Market Leaders
Tournament host Lee Westwood (9/1) has spent the last month on site at Close House working closely with his team and the European Tour to create a magnificent return for the higher echelons of the European Tour, and it is no surprise to see the former World number one at the top of the market. Westwood has a great British Masters record on similar courses, and was in good form in the early part of the year. Although he hasn't played any competitive golf since the restart, that is the case for the majority of this field, and with his knowledge here and the field being undoubtedly weaker than it would have been pre Covid with the likes of Fleetwood and Poulter playing in the US, Lee has a huge chance of a 39th European Tour title here this week.
Behind Lee, and the only really other short priced player in the field, is Belgiu's Thomas Detry (12/1). Detry picked up an 8th place finish two weeks ago on his return in Austria and is clearly a highly talented golfer. My concern with Detry is his lack of wins, and whether Close House really fits his game, particularly in these calmer conditions that are forecast this week. Eddie Pepperell (25/1) is the next best chance, and the 2018 British Masters Champion who followed up with a 2nd last year cannot be ruled out despite being disqualified in his last event before the lockdown. Not much is known about Pepperell's form, but I couldn't have him nearly twice the price of Detry.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
I have just the two selections this week, both from the top three in the market, and I'm confident that we're going to get back to winning ways and begin to push that P&L back to the dizzy heights of 2019. To begin with, I am turning to Lee Westwood, this week's host and the man uniquely well placed to mount a challenge this week. Make no mistake, Lee's game is back at a level where challenging for Major honours isn't out of the question in the next 18 months, and he will be desperately looking for qualification points, and to push towards 50 career wins. Besides Lee's strong connections to this venue, his affinity is obvious for all. His driving is exceptional, and his iron play and distance management have once again been superb over the past 12 months.
Where Lee has sometimes found trouble has been around the greens, but with his familiarity to the putting surfaces and all the subtle nuances of the Colt Course, that should be turned into a strength this week giving Lee an all round game that is levels above the remainder of the field. Westwood is clinical in contention, and has a win to his name already this year. I fully expect that number to double this week, and make him a great value win bet. I have had 6 points win only at 9/1.
Other Betting Tips
My second bet this week is the man I would make second favourite behind Lee, and that is Eddie Pepperell who is priced peculiarly high given his British Masters form and against no recent form that would justify pushing him out to 28/1. Eddie has a fantastic record in the UK; he won this event two years ago, followed up by a runners up spot last year, and has also had top 5 finishes at Wentworth, St Andrews, and The London Club to support his prowess in these Isles.
Pepperell is a streaky player who can go very low on any given day, and the projected winning score here ideally fits for the type of numbers that he can post. Eddie can easily shoot a couple of 66s and put himself right in the mix, and over 72 holes I can't see a lot of the mid range players getting close to anywhere like in form Pepperell. He is well worth being a back up bet to our position on Westwood, and i recommend 2 points e/w at 25/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week I will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-81 points|
|PGA Tour||+3 points|