BMW Open Golf Betting Tips

BMW International Open Golf Betting Tips

Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in sports betting. He has now partnered with Bet UK to bring you his golf betting tips each week for the sport’s biggest events. For the latest golf betting odds, head over to Bet UK’s online betting, where you’ll find odds for all major European Tour and PGA events

The Course

Golfclub Munchen Eichenried - Moosinning, Bavaria, Germany - Par 72, 7,157 Yards.

It seems almost every other week these days that we come into a tournament on the back of a Major Championship, and this week we are very much in that scenario as a number of the top Europeans from Pebble Beach make the long trip from California to Bavaria to compete in one of the European Tour’s flagship events.

Thirty minutes drive North East of Munich sits Munchen Eichenried which hosts this tournament for the sixth time. A flat, relatively easy, parkland course, Eichenried provides a very different test to the blustery links golf we saw last week, and the winning score is likely to be pushing 20 under par on what is largely a putting contest with a further emphasis on not making mistakes with the approach shots to the large, forgiving, greens.

Some of the few defences available to this track are 10 water hazards (few are realistically in play), and a very thick second cut of rough, though this will affect only the most wayward of drives. Players that hit the ball long, straight, and have a good week with the putter will contend at a venue where shotmaking and scrambling are not going to provide much benefit to the more traditional players in the field (Fitzpatrick, Olesen, Dubuisson).

Last Five Winners:

2018: Matt Wallace - -23 2017: Andres Romero - -21 2016: Henrik Stenson - -12 2015: Pablo Larrazabal - -17 2014 : Fabrizio Zanotti - -17

The Market Leaders

The four market leaders this week have all come straight from Pebble Beach in what is a nod to the scale of this prestigious event on what is an ever thinning European Tour schedule. Whilst the likes of defending champion Wallace (11/1), Matthew Fitzpatrick (12/1), course specialist Sergio Garcia (12/1), and local favourite Martin Kaymer (16/1) command much respect from the market, it is difficult to gauge exactly how the travelling and substantial time difference from America’s west coast will affect their games.

The one thing in their favour is that this should not be a significantly demanding mental test with bad shots often going unpunished, and all of them are capable of birdie runs when on their ‘A’ games so none can be ruled out, although the missed cut in 2015 combined with some rather average recent form does make it very hard to justify Matthew Fitzpatrick amongst this market leading company this week.

Rob’s Golf Betting Tips

Headline Tip

Pablo Larrazabal: 33/1 To Win

Enigmatic Spaniard Larrazabal has been twice tipped in this column previously, although with varying degrees of success, and at bigger prices. This week, however, sees a return to Pablo’s favourite and most comfortable venue on Tour; one where he has won twice (back in 2011 and 2015) as well as securing a 3rd place amongst his other three starts at Eichenried. Pablo has a fantastic iron game, and loves the big open spaces at a venue that mirrors Golf Nacional where he secured his first career title back in 2008.

Recently, Pablo’s form has been improving rapidly with finishes of 4th and 8th in two of his last three starts reflecting a more impressively consistent game that is likely to continue through to this week. With such impressive course form allied with the fact that his game is beginning to peak, Pablo is worth one more go to bring home the big win with 3 points e/w at 33/1.

Other Betting Tips

Erik Van Rooyen: 25/1 To Win

South African Erik Van Rooyen will be looking to mirror the past successes of countryman George Coetzee (3,14) at a venue that should suit his big hitting, hot putting game. Although he came into the year as a relatively late blooming talent, the 29-year-old has taken the European Tour by storm lately, posting finishes of 6th, 2nd, 8th amongst his past 8 starts, becoming in the process one of the most consistent performers on Tour. This week following making the cut at the US Open, I feel there is a great opportunity for him to ride on the crest of his momentum and post a serious challenge at Eichenreid, and suggest a staking plan of 2 points e/w at 25/1.

Robert Macintyre: 45/1 To Win

Talented young Scotsman Robert Macintyre is another who looks to have the perfect game for the setup this week. Having contended alongside Bernd Weisberger, only to lose by a shot to the host favourite three weeks ago, Macintyre has enjoyed a couple of weeks off, and will come to Germany raring to go and finally get over the line following back to back second place finishes. The left-handed 22 year old is a confident and composed player, and he has just signed up as one of the headline players in his home open in a couple of weeks time. Big things are happening for Macintyre, and I have no doubts about both his desire and capability to take that next step into the winners circle.

With low scores in both of his high placed recent finishes, Macintyre is a birdie machine and if he can avoid mistakes such as the out of bounds on the 71st hole three weeks ago I have no doubts that he will seriously contend this week. He is a value play with 2 points e/w at 45/1.

Joakim Largergren: 250/1 To Win

The final selection this week goes to a talented outsider in Sweden’s Joakim Lagergren. Despite only making half of his cuts this season, the Swede remains a highly talented player and has three solid finishes at Munchen Eichenreid to support his claims that 250/1 is too big a price. With finishes of 74,58,14, Lagergren has improved with each visit here, and a top 15 in 2017 when he was just 25 suggests further room for improvement still. He also drives the ball straight, and shouldn’t find much trouble here. If he has a hot putting week this price could look silly come Sunday, and I shall be having 1 point e/w at 250/1.

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*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting correct at the time of writing.

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