Byron Nelson Championship Golf Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the Byron Nelson Championship, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.
Rob Cobley’s Byron Nelson Championship Tips
TPC Craig Ranch - Dallas, Texas - Par 71, 7,438 Yards
This watery, tree-lined parkland track is a new venue for this event and for the PGA Tour. Replacing last year’s venue Trinity Forest after just two years since it took over from TPC Four Seasons. The players will need to give due consideration to the hazards on this course, with a creek that crosses the fairways no less than 14 times, often within reach from the tee, although some of the bigger hitters might be able to fly them on most holes. Wind can also be a factor here, with bad weather in the Texas area likely to make for tough scoring, which will be a welcome change after the last few weeks.
As a new venue for many of the players, recent form could be a key indicator for success this week, but without doubt, a good long game will be necessary, and I expect one of the more established and experienced tour pros to go close.
Last Five Winners
The Market Leaders
John Rahm (7/1) will be looking to put the disappointment of last week’s missed cut behind him here in Dallas this week as he makes his first appearance at the Byron Nelson. Last week’s performance was so poor from Rahm, although his prior form had been good, and this tougher test should suit him far better. Despite the efforts at Quail Hollow, Rahm remains in good form with a whole host of top 10 finishes, so it cannot be discounted by any means. However, I am struggling to justify such a short single figure price in this tough and competitive event, especially with one eye on the USPGA next week. He is a definite no bet for me.
Bryson Dechambeau (17/2) will be hoping to improve on his form in this event, where he last played at TPC Four Seasons a couple of years ago. He has two missed cuts in two attempts, but is improving his results this year with a 9th place last week, his first top 10 since his win at the Arnold Palmer a couple of months ago. Dechambeau is another who will like the course, and his length will certainly offer up plenty of advantages and opportunities to attack the course. Again, with the PGA next week, there is always a nagging feeling that the best players will be as focussed on honing their game as they are on winning, but Bryson will be a real contender if improving on his form from last week.
Jordan Spieth (9/1) is a loyal Texan and has only once missed this event in his career (2012). He has, however, enjoyed limited success, and the length certainly won’t play in his favour. Spieth’s long game has undergone a complete transformation over the past couple of years, and I was as delighted as anybody to see that pay off with his win last month in New Orleans. He will certainly be hoping he can compete next week at Kiawah Island, and in his first event for four weeks, I see this as more of a keeping in touch tournament. Overall, I think the top of the market looks heavily overpriced, and I will be leaving these three single figure selections alone.
Rob’s Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Brandt Snedeker has a fantastic record in Texas, with two of his four PGA Tour wins coming in this State, and Brandt has been playing some exceptional golf lately. In his last four events, he has three top 10 finishes, albeit one was a team event, and Snedeker loves the challenge of these types of courses. He has contended around many long venues, not least of all Augusta National, where you wouldn’t necessarily expect him to, given the strength in his short game, and he has the added motivation that a top 5 finish will see him added to the field next week at Kiawah.
Snedeker is a momentum player. When he is hot he gets on runs, and throughout his career, those runs have often seen him pick up a victory. The price is the top offer in the market, and I really cannot see any better value selection in the field. I have backed Snedeker with 3 Points e/w at 90/1.
Other Betting Tip
Aaron Wise picked up his maiden Tour win two years ago when this event was first held at Trinity Forest, and the Texan has once again been appearing at the top of leaderboards this season with a 9th place finish in Charlotte last week, representing his best effort to date in 2021. Wise is a long, straight hitter who will be able to use his length to set up more opportunities than the majority of the field. I expect a big year from Aaron. He has great mental fortitude and I can see him being a player that regularly converts when he is in contention. Wise will be as motivated as anyone to maintain his good form and content in his home State at an event he won recently, in front of his fans and college friends. He looks an excellent bet with 2 Points e/w at 66/1.