Andalucia Masters Betting Tips
Real Club Valderrama, San Roque, Cadiz, Spain. Par 71, 7,000 Yards (3x Par 5s)
Valderrama itself is one of the oldest and most revered venues on the tour. One and a half hours south from Malaga, and an hour north of Gibraltar, Valderrama is a gem, and one that I have been fortunate enough to have played several times. Whilst not the longest of courses, it is extremely tight and challenging with heavily tree lined, undulating, fairways. The rough is not deep, but if you miss the fairway you are likely to be inhibited by one of the 2,000 cork trees lining the estate, and layups are commonplace, even for the straightest of hitters.
The greens are small and slopey, protected by significant bunkering, and measuring up to 13 on the stimpmeter to make the challenge all the more severe. Water is in play on several holes, including notably the par 5 4th and 17th holes. Good shotmakers will prevail here, and course form is a major factor in deciding who will contend.
Last Three Winners
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Headline Betting Tip
Spainiard Adri Arnaus came agonisingly close to his first Tour win last week, missing an 8 foot putt on the closing hole for the win before being edged out by compatriot Rafa Cabrera Bello in the subsequent playoff. That result should however give him the confidence that he needs to come to Valderrama and seriously contend for a win on home soil. Arnaus has played here just once, when he tied Rahm two shots behind Bezuidenhout back in 2019, and there is nothing to suggest he won't build on that performance as a far better, and more confident player.
Arnaus is infinitely better suited to the course than Rahm. He is a short hitter who shapes the ball, and who has an exceptional short game. With the course expected to play tough again this year, all those facets will be necessary, and it is Adri's ability to scramble around the greens that really elevates him for me this week. In this kind of form it is hard to see him out of the picture, and i have backed him with 3 Points e/w at 25/1.