Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. For the latest golf betting odds for the 3M Open, make sure to head over to Bet UK’s online betting and live in-play betting markets.
Rob Cobley’s 3M Open Betting Tips
TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, Minnesota. Par 71, 7,450 Yards
The PGA Tour heads 25 miles north of the city of Minneapolis and to the Arnold Palmer-designed TPC Twin Cities this week for the third staging of the 3M Open, and the second at this venue. Toughened up two years ago under a Tom Lehman redesign, the course still remains a largely flat and unprotected parkland track where water hazards are in play on 10 holes but unlikely to affect the most in-form players this week.
Although the par 5s are long, there are three drivable par 4s, and this course has all the hallmarks of one that can be overpowered by the bigger hitters. The greens are large, fast and slopey, but on the whole, this is going to be a contest of who hits the longest drives and makes the largest footage of putts. Course similarities can be drawn with venues in Texas, and Palmer’s design at Bay Hill.
2020: Michael Thompson -19 2019: Matthew Wolf -21
The Market Leaders
Dustin Johnson (7/1) looks like a risky market leader at the 3M Open following on from his withdrawal last year on the back of a dreadful opening round. That is his only competitive showing at the course to date. Last week his game looked in sporadically good shape, and his eighth-place finish - whilst disappointing - still offers much encouragement for the remainder of the season. Whether this is the week for him, I'm unsure and at such a short price, he is easy to pass by.
Louis Oosthuizen (11/1) has never won a tournament on US soil, and looked surprisingly and remarkably troubled when leading last week, as he did in New Orleans a few weeks ago, where he drove into the water on the first playoff hole, effectively ending his chances. Oosthuizen didn't play this event last year, but long driving and making the most putts don’t seem to play into the best of his strengths. For me, he is far too short to come straight over from St George's and win this week.
Rob's Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Troy Merritt came agonisingly close to his third PGA Tour win a couple of weeks ago when losing in a three-man playoff at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and with a similar winning score (19 under par), expected this week, I am expecting a big challenge from Troy. His game looks in such good shape, and as a streaky golfer, I expect him to continue to ride this form for a few weeks. He finished seventh here the first time the event was played and clearly has a good affinity with Twin Cities. If his putting is on like it has been recently, he will be very hard to beat and is my headline pick with 2 Points e/w at 75/1.
Secondary Betting Tip
J.T Poston missed out agonisingly last week on his second career PGA Tour win after a double-bogey 7 dropped him into a playoff with eventual winner Seamus Power after it looked like he would walk away with the tournament. That shouldn't disguise how Poston had separated himself from the field by playing some quite exceptional golf, and there is no reason not to expect that to continue this week. JTs driving and putting were particularly strong and although he makes his debut at Twin Cities, the setup looks ideal. I have had 2 Points e/w at 80/1.
Following a rolling profit of 300 points for the 2019 & 2020 seasons, I am looking for a great 2021, and have some fantastic bets lined up for events throughout the year on both the PGA and European Tours. Each week I will pick between two to four selections at each event and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-116 points|
|PGA Tour||-10 points|