Farmers Insurance Open Golf Betting Tips
Get the latest golf betting tips from Luke Tredget ahead of the Farmers Insurance Open Golf. Head over to Bet UK's online sportsbook for the latest golf betting tips.
Torrey Pines in California is world famous and will once again host the Farmers Insurance Open. The first two rounds are played over different courses, with the Torrey North being comfortably easier than Torrey South. The South Course is one of the longest on the entire tour and is a very stern test of golf, 7700 yards long it has narrow fairways and is littered with bunkers, the birdie fests we often see on the PGA Tour won’t be in evidence this week. After two rounds the cut is made and the South course is used over the weekend. The weather looks good for the entire week although there may be a bit of a breeze over the weekend.
The Big Names At Torrey Pines
The big names really are some of the biggest names in golf here at Torrey Pines this week. This is a field stacked with quality and attempting to pick the winner will feel like a daunting task for many punters. Bet UK don’t have a single golfer at a single figure price and that seems completely understandable. The top five in the betting are John Rahm, Justin Rose, Rory Mcilroy, Tiger Woods and Jason Day and we’re going to have one of them in our staking plan, but it’s far from easy to rule the other four out. When talking about Torrey Pines there can really only be one place to start, the biggest name of all; Tiger Woods. Woods will be going for an astonishing 9th victory at the track and given this will be the first time in a while he returns rested and fit, a historic triumph cannot be entirely dismissed. However since his September Tour Championship victory, any time we’ve seen Tiger play he’s been largely disappointing and there needs to be more concrete evidence his game is in fine working order before 14/1* is a tempting price. John Rahm is just about favourite for the tournament and his 2017 victory here was hugely impressive given it was his first look at the course, and he’s playing well on every occasion he tees it up. The Spaniard is greatly respected as his prodigious length is a huge advantage around the South course, but similarly to last week when he was favourite we can just about pass at the price. Rose debuted new equipment last week and won’t have been happy with his 34th place finish. This is a man who had started to make top 10’s look like a routine week at the office and until we see Rose back to his best with his new clubs he can’t be a punting proposition in the slightest. Rory Mcilroy makes his debut here, and whilst Rahm has shown debutants can win, it certainly doesn’t encourage punters to look in Rory’s direction. He opened 2019 with an impressive 4th place in Hawaii where his game looked in excellent shape, but this stiffer test will tell us a lot more about the shape of his game and a watching brief remains the correct choice again this week.
Our only wager of those at the very top of the betting will come in the shape of Australian and defending champion Jason Day at Bet UK’s 16/1*. Day is relentlessly consistent and in terms of his win price that can sometimes count against him being a worthwhile bet, but he’s won twice at Torrey and has a second place to boot, it’s very hard to find any reason he won’t play well and go close this week. Long and straight off the tee, the South course is nowhere near as intimidating for Day as it is for over half the field and a steady pipe opener in Hawaii where he finished 13th should be an ideal tune up for this week. Normally defending champions can be distracted by a bit of a media circus, but with Tiger opening his 2019 season here Day can prepare safe in the knowledge he can concentrate fully on matters on the range and course. A strong showing is fully expected.
We’ll have three more selections in this event and all of them will have Californian connections. Of the three only Cantlay is prominent in the betting, and justifiably so as he’s on the verge of joining the games true elite. He arrives at Torrey Pines on the back of three consecutive top 10’s and it’s tough to envisage him not playing well again this week. Cantlay is a wonderful driver of the ball, and his approach play is equally magnificent, although improvement is required on the greens if he’s going to achieve what many expect he could. He didn’t do much more than make the cut here last year, but long tough courses should play to his strengths and a huge 2019 ## for Cantlay may well start here.
A combination of injuries and loss of form have seen Nick Watney slide off the golfing radar. Perhaps a return to one of his favourite courses may spark a welcome return to the public eye. Towards the end of 2018 Watney showed there was still plenty of talent there as he posted a string of decent finishes without ever challenging for a title. A winner here in 2009, Watney has a further five top 10’s at Torrey to his name and even allowing for the fact this is a very strong field three figure prices are a touch too dismissive.
Even more of a local than Californians Cantlay and Watney is 25 year old Michael Kim. Kim attended Torrey Pines high school and knows the course like the back of his hand. Twice Kim has been on the fringes of contention in this event only for a bad final round to ruin a big pay day. Kim has little recent form to encourage a wager but he did win a PGA Tour event last year when triumphing in the John Deere Classic, and given this is a home game like no other Bet UK are taking a bit of a chance at 250/1*. He’s worth a small bet at that price.
Bet UK's Golf Betting Tips:
|2pts EW||Jason Day||16/1*|
|1.5pts EW||Patrick Cantlay||21/1*|
|0.5pts EW||Nick Watney||125/1*|
|0.5pts EW||Michael Kim||250/1*|
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*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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