18/19 European Golden Shoe Predictions

European Golden Shoe Standings 2019/10

The European Golden Shoe is given to the leading league scorer in European football each year. Last season Lionel Messi pipped Mohamed Salah to the award. The continent’s elite strikers are set to battle it out again to bag the gong in 2018-19, but who will win it this time around? Get the latest football betting odds for the European Golden Shoe on Bet UK's online betting markets.

European Golden Shoe Facts

• Since 1996/7, the Shoe has been awarded on a points system based on UEFA coefficients, with players scoring in tougher leagues receive more points.
• Last season, Lionel Messi won the award with 34 La Liga goals
• In the last 20 seasons, the average winning goal haul required to win the Golden Shoe is 35.
• In the last 20 seasons, the winner has been part of a title-winning side on eight occasions.

Lionel Messi - Barcelona

After winning the Golden Shoe last season for a record 6th time, Lionel Messi shows no signs of slowing down and relinquishing his crown. The Argentine has scored 107 league goals in his last 3 seasons at Barcelona, winning the European Golden Shoe on all 3 occasions, the first player to win 3 consecutive awards. Messi’s only worry will be the huge range of attacking talent that now joins him at the Nou Camp. Antoine Griezmann has joined from Atletico Madrid to join a front line that already includes Luis Suarez, Ousmane Dembele and Philippe Coutinho. Messi is still undoubtedly the star of that team, but with so many players wanting goals, Messi might have to sacrifice some of his goal scoring efforts to accommodate the rest of his team.

If you fancy Messi to continue his dominance of Europe, Bet UK is offering odds of 2/3 for him to be top scorer in La Liga. You can get all of our La Liga betting tips for the 19/20 season on our blog.

Cristiano Ronaldo - Juventus

Despite having his lowest scoring season since 2008/09 last year, Cristiano Ronaldo still managed 21 goals and looked as potent as ever. Alongside Paolo Dybala, Juan Cuadrado and Douglas Costa, Ronaldo is part of the best front line in Serie A by some distance. In 12 of the last 13 seasons, Ronaldo has scored over 20 goals. In that timeframe, he also became Real Madrid’s all time top scorer and won 4 European Golden Shoe’s. Unlike Messi, Roanldo won’t have to worry about his front line stealing the limelight at Juventus, with Ronaldo guaranteed to be front and centre. If he focuses on the league, rather than the Champions League, then Ronaldo will surely score at least 25 goals.

Bet UK are pricing Ronaldo up at 7/4 to be the top scorer in Serie A for the 19/20 season. For the latest Serie A betting tips, make sure to head over to our online blog.

Kylian Mbappe - PSG

The youngest player on this list, Kylian Mbappe has taken football by storm over the last couple of years. Since making his debut for Monaco in December 2015, Mbappe has scored 66 league goals in just 109 games. That includes an incredible 33 goals in 29 games last year, by far his best goal scoring season. It’s easy to forget that Mbappe is still only 20 years old and will probably get even better over the next few years. It’s fair to say he’s the best player at PSG, despite lining up alongside Neymar and Edinson Cavani. With Mbappe coming in off the right or playing upfront on his own, PSG are dangerous and take advantage of arguably one of the weaker European leagues. Expect another 30 goal season from Mbappe, with even more if he can stay fit for the full season.

For the latest Ligue 1 betting tips throughout the season, make sure to keep an eye on our sports blog.

Mohamed Salah - Liverpool

Since joining Liverpool in the summer of 2017, no player has scored more Premier League goals than Mo Salah. Salah has racked up 54 goals in 74 games, with a record 32 goals in the 17/18 season. He was pipped to the European Golden Shoe in that season by Lionel Messi, but he will be aiming for it again this year. Salah forms arguably the best front 3 in world football with Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane, and despite not being the most natural finisher, Salah has always been the one to grab the most goals. Liverpool are likely to be challenging at the top of the table again this season after their 2nd place finish. Don’t be surprised if Jurgen Klopp puts more emphasis on the league this year, which might bring even more goals out of Salah.

If you fancy Salah to win the Premier League Golden Boot for the 3rd season in a row, Bet UK are offering odds of 5/1. Check out our Premier League betting tips for more tips throughout the 19/20 season.

Robert Lewandowski - Bayern Munich

One thing has been consistent in the Bundesliga over the last 10 years - Robert Lewandowski always scores goals. Since joining Borussia Dortmund in 2010 and then Bayern Munich in 2014, Lewandowski has all but guaranteed goals up front. Lewandowski rarely suffers from injuries or suspensions so plays in all games, but the shorter Bundlesiga season hurts him in the European Golden Shoe standings. Regardless, Robert Lewandowski is a goal machine and still shows no signs of stopping.

If you think Robert Lewandowski will keep his place at the top of the Bundesliga scoring charts, then Bet UK price him a 5/7 to finish at top scorer. For Bundesliga betting tips throughout the 19/20 season, head over to our blog page.

Current European Golden Boot Standings

Player Team Goals Scored Scoring Factor Points
Erik Sorga FC Flora Tallin 23 1 23
Muamer Tankovic Hammarby IF 12 1.5 18
Jordan Larsson IFK Norrkoping 11 1.5 16.5
Filip Valencic FC Inter Turku 15 1 15
Vitalii Kvashuk FK 10 1.5 15
Tarik Elyounoussi AIK 10 1.5 15
Nikola Djurdjic Hammarby IF 9 1.5 13.5
Mohamed Buya Turay Djugardens IF 9 1.5 13.5
Alassana Jatta Paide Linnameeskond 13 1 13
Torgeir Borven Odds BK 12 1 12

How are the European Golden Shoe scoring factors decided?

The scoring factors ensure that players playing in lesser leagues don't outweigh those playing against Europe's toughest defences. The ranking of these leagues is determined by the UEFA Coefficient rankings, which are updated each year and also used for Champions League and Europa League seedings. These rankings take into account how sides from each country have performed in European competition in the last 5 years. A 5 year cycle ensures that teams who enjoy only a few years of success don't always remain at the top of the rankings. In terms of the Golden Shoe, the top 5 leagues are given a scoring factor of 2, ranks 6 - 21 are given 1.5 and anything below that only gets a factor of 1. Below is a table of the top 21 leagues, so you can take a look and see how your favourite striker will be affected in the race for the European Golden Show.

Rank League Country Scoring Factor
1 La Liga Spain 2
2 Premier League England 2
3 Serie A Italy 2
4 Bundesliga Germany 2
5 Ligue 1 France 2
6 Russian Premier League Russia 1.5
7 Liga NOS Portugal 1.5
8 Pro League Belgium 1.5
9 Ukranian Premier League Ukraine 1.5
10 Super Lig Turkey 1.5
11 Austrian Bundesliga Austria 1.5
12 Eredivisie Holland 1.5
13 Czech First League Czech Republic 1.5
14 Super League Greece 1.5
15 1. HNL Croatia 1.5
16 Danish Superliga Denmark 1.5
17 Swiss Super League Switzerland 1.5
18 Cypriot First Division Cyprus 1.5
19 Serbian Superliga Serbia 1.5
20 SPL Scotland 1.5
21 Belarusian Premier League Belarus 1.5

Bet UK will be covering European Football throughout the 18/19 season, including the race for the European Golden Shoe. Keep up to date with the latest football betting odds and markets with Bet UK's online betting markets.

*Correct as of 22nd August

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