18/19 European Golden Shoe Predictions

European Golden Shoe Standings 2019

The European Golden Shoe is given to the leading league scorer in European football each year. Last season Lionel Messi pipped Mohamed Salah to the award. The continent’s elite strikers are set to battle it out again to bag the gong in 2018-19, but who will win it this time around? Get the latest football betting odds for the European Golden Shoe on Bet UK's online sportsbook.

European Golden Shoe Facts

• Since 1996/7, the Shoe has been awarded on a points system based on UEFA coefficients, with players scoring in tougher leagues receive more points.
• Last season, Lionel Messi won the award with 34 La Liga goals
• In the last 20 seasons, the average winning goal haul required to win the Golden Shoe is 35.
• In the last 20 seasons, the winner has been part of a title-winning side on eight occasions.

Will Lionel Messi Win The Golden Shoe?

Goals Scored - 33*

After a disappointing World Cup, the Argentinian will be fired up to claim his sixth Golden Shoe. 2018-19 will be Messi’s 15th campaign in La Liga playing for Barcelona, and he’ll be aiming to get close to 600 career goals for the Catalan giants.

Messi is Barcelona’s all-time top goal scorer by some distance, with a tally that is unlikely to ever be beaten. By the end of last season, he had hit an astounding 552 in 637 games.

Messi’s five Golden Shoes are a record and, since the turn of the decade, his highest season tally is 50 league goals and his lowest 26. It would be impossible to bet against the Barcelona legend adding a sixth award to his trophy cabinet.

Bet UK's online sportsbook offers Lionel Messi to finish top scorer in La Liga at 2/5**.

Will Cristiano Ronaldo Win The Golden Shoe?

Goals Scored - 19*

Although Portugal were knocked out in the World Cup Round of 16, Ronaldo had a productive summer in Russia. The Portugal captain’s goals at the tournament were notable for their variety and the skill required to dispatch them. Following his summer move to Juventus, Ronaldo will be hoping that his stellar form carries over into a new league..

The five-time Ballon d’Or winner shows no sign of letting up and continues to answer critics who wonder if the 33-year-old has lost a little of his sparkle. Ronaldo hasn’t scored fewer than 25 goals in a league campaign in any of the past nine seasons.

Ronaldo was the first player to win the Golden Shoe four times and impressively he’s done so in both the English Premier League and La Liga. Having proved himself already in 2 of European footballs top leagues, Ronaldo will be aiming for similar success in Juventus. Given his previous form, few would bet against him performing well in Italy.

Following Ronaldo's move to Juventus, you can get odds of 20/33** for him to finish top scorer with Bet UK's sports betting feature.

Will Neymar Jr Win the Golden Shoe?

Goals Scored - 13*

The world's most expensive player may have endured a somewhat unsettled first season at Paris Saint-Germain as speculation continued around his future, but Neymar weighed in with 19 Ligue 1 goals in 20 starts. Not bad considering he missed the final three months of the season with a foot injury.

Neymar won the Brazilian version of the Golden Shoe twice in his younger days and has picked up various nominations and awards for his exploits at the Confederations and World Cups. But he still needs to transfer that incredible form to European football. Not an out-and-out striker, the PSG forward continues to shine with goals from wider positions.

If he plays a full season, Neymar virtually guarantees 20-plus goals. His best league haul to date is 24, scored for Barcelona.

Neymar is favourite to finish top scorer in Ligue 1 with Bet UK's online sportsbook currently offering odds of 21/20**.

Will Robert Lewandowski Win the Golden Shoe?

Goals Scored - 21*

Lewandowski has been a scoring machine in the Bundesliga. The Bayern Munich striker has only hit fewer than 20 league goals once in his eight seasons in Germany’s top flight. Ominously, he seems to keep getting that little bit better each year. The Poland captain bagged 29 last season and 30 in each of his previous two. He has been one of the most exciting strikers in European football, but his domestic success rarely transfers onto the continental stage.

Lewandowski has been in the running for the Golden Shoe for a few years but has never quite made it. No Bayern player has won the award since Gerd Muller scored 40 goals in 1972, so Lewandowski can make a little history by bagging it this time around.

The 29-year-old is currently the seventh highest scorer in Bundesliga history but, with another solid season, he should jump into the top five - that should be sufficient motivation for another impressive season in front of goal.

After finishing top scorer in 3 of the last 5 years, Bet UK's sportsbook is offering odds of 4/9** for Lewandowski to be the Bundesliga's top scorer again this year.

Will Edinson Cavani Win the Golden Shoe?

Goals Scored - 17*

Cavani continues to demonstrate his class and added a decent return at the World Cup to another productive season at Paris Saint-Germain. The Uruguayan scored 28 times in Ligue 1 to underline his consistency in front of goal.

The 31-year-old became PSG’s all-time top scorer earlier this year and Cavani has hit more than 30 in each of his 11 seasons in Serie A and Ligue 1. Whoever wins the Golden Shoe this season will certainly need to hit 30. The award has only been won three times with a tally lower since it began in the 1960s.

Quick, strong and prolific, Cavani is equally impressive with his feet or in the air and weighs in with goals from set-pieces. With a fully fit Neymar alongside him, and with the rivalry between the pair growing, the PSG hit men could both challenge for the Golden Shoe this season.

Can Cavani make it 3 years in a row as Ligue 1 top scorer? Bet UK's sports betting feature has Cavani priced up at 8/5*.

Current European Golden Boot Standings

Player Team Goals Scored Scoring Factor Points
Lionel Messi Barcelona 33 2 66
Kylian Mbappe PSG 30 2 60
Fabio Quagriarella Sampdoria 22 2 44
Mbaye Diagne Kasimpasa 28 1.5 42
Robert Lewandowski Bayern Munich 21 2 42
Krzysztof Piatek Genoa/AC Milan 21 2 42
Duvan Zapata Atalanta 21 2 42
Luis Suarez Barcelona 21 2 42
Karim Benzema Real Madrid 21 2 42
Luuk de Jong PSV 27 1.5 40.5

How are the European Golden Shoe scoring factors decided?

The scoring factors ensure that players playing in lesser leagues don't outweigh those playing against Europe's toughest defences. The ranking of these leagues is determined by the UEFA Coefficient rankings, which are updated each year and also used for Champions League and Europa League seedings. These rankings take into account how sides from each country have performed in European competition in the last 5 years. A 5 year cycle ensures that teams who enjoy only a few years of success don't always remain at the top of the rankings. In terms of the Golden Shoe, the top 5 leagues are given a scoring factor of 2, ranks 6 - 21 are given 1.5 and anything below that only gets a factor of 1. Below is a table of the top 21 leagues, so you can take a look and see how your favourite striker will be affected in the race for the European Golden Show.

Rank League Country Scoring Factor
1 La Liga Spain 2
2 Premier League England 2
3 Serie A Italy 2
4 Bundesliga Germany 2
5 Ligue 1 France 2
6 Russian Premier League Russia 1.5
7 Liga NOS Portugal 1.5
8 Pro League Belgium 1.5
9 Ukranian Premier League Ukraine 1.5
10 Super Lig Turkey 1.5
11 Austrian Bundesliga Austria 1.5
12 Eredivisie Holland 1.5
13 Czech First League Czech Republic 1.5
14 Super League Greece 1.5
15 1. HNL Croatia 1.5
16 Danish Superliga Denmark 1.5
17 Swiss Super League Switzerland 1.5
18 Cypriot First Division Cyprus 1.5
19 Serbian Superliga Serbia 1.5
20 SPL Scotland 1.5
21 Belarusian Premier League Belarus 1.5

Bet UK will be covering European Football throughout the 18/19 season, including the race for the European Golden Shoe. Keep up to date with the latest football odds and markets with Bet UK's brand new online sportsbook.

*Correct as of 11th April

**All odds correct at the time of writing

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