Omega Dubai Desert Classic Golf Betting Tips
Golf betting expert Luke Tredget brings you his betting tips for the Omega Dubai Desert Classic. Bet UK's online sportsbook offers the latest golf betting odds for all PGA and European tour tournaments. You can also get golf betting tips for all major golf events at Bet UK's sports betting blog.
The Emirates will be well known to regular golf watchers, and like most desert courses is exposed to the wind. The wind tends to crop up only in the afternoon, and morning scores are usually substantially better than for those forced to tee off later. It’s a par 72 that plays just over 7300 yards and in the main there is plenty of room off the tee. A draw (right to left shot) is favoured on many of the dogleg holes, and 3 woods are often required as long drives can run out of fairway. There is plenty of water in play and the greens are usually fairly slick.
We’ve got three selections for the staking plan in this event and leading the trio as the main bet is Belgium bomber Thomas Pieters. Pieters has a steady if unspectacular record at this event so far, but there’s no logical reason that record shouldn’t be greatly improved in the coming years. A huge scenario in Pieters’ favour is that for the longer hitters all par 5’s are eagle opportunities and it’s reasonable to expect the power packed Belgium slugger to post a few yellow figures this week. Pieters already has three European Tour titles to his name, and that can be rounded up to four if you include his recent World Cup victory. Last week in Abu Dhabi saw Pieters open 2019 with a respectable 16th place and a small improvement in all areas can see him go very close this week. The Belgian is known for his prodigious power off the tee, but it’s often overlooked just what a wonderful putter he is and with the greens set to be running pretty quick this week, that’s another tremendous asset to have in his armoury. Pieters turns 27 on the Saturday of the tournament and it’s plausible he’ll have something ever greater to celebrate the day after. Bet UK have him priced at 21/1* and that looks worth a wager.
Our second selection is the defending champion, Chinese youngster Haotong Li. Li finished 2018 in tremendous form when all parts of his game seemed in great working order, and thus it was somewhat surprising to see him miss the cut last week in Abu Dhabi. It was however by a just single shot that Li failed to make the weekend, so we can easily attribute that to a bit of rust. Indeed, it could even be considered a small positive as it enabled Li to head to Dubai early and get some extra practice in around the Emirates track. Li’s main problem last week was his driving accuracy, but there’s arguably a bit more room in Dubai and also the angles off the tee are very different. Last year’s triumph shows that the views from the tee clearly suit Li better, and whilst he did putt the lights out when winning last year, anyone who beats Rory Mcilroy in a shootout around the Emirates course is quite clearly going to have to do so. Bet UK have Li a 32/1* chance and that’s worth a small wager as there are certainly one or two others shorter in the betting with less chance than the defending champ.
King Louis was our headline pick last week and to be honest it was highly disappointing he didn’t win. A shocking third round that seemingly came out of nowhere ruined his chance, and whilst he comfortably delivered us some place money, the feeling remains it was one that got away. Nobody on the European Tour is playing as well tee to green at the moment as Oosthuizen, and this has been the case for a couple of months now. This week we can once again expect his greens in regulation (GIR) stats to be one of the best in the field, and he’ll continue to hit fairways with relentless accuracy. Many of the tee shots require right to left drives and that’s a tool Oosthuizen definitely has in his locker. His record at the Emirates is a bit patchy, but he does have a 7th and a 3rd on his card, and given the way he is playing he just has to sneak into the staking plan despite small reservations about his price. Bet UK have him as a 13/1* shot, which admittedly is a number hardly overflowing with juice, but the fact remains he’s the golfer in the field most likely to play well and it’s just about worth keeping him on side.
Bryson Dechambeau is the clear favourite for the event and is the only player trading at a single figure price. The American golfing scientist will be teeing it up at the Emirates for the second time in his career having finished 18th when he journeyed over in 2016. He’s obviously a better player than he was then and has not only been contending, but winning tournaments at an excellent rate. However a whole host of top class players warmed up last week in nearby Abu Dhabi and concentrating on them rather than chancing Dechambeau at a shorter price is a preferable option. Sergio Garcia is greatly respected, a former champion here he posted a respectable 7th place last week albeit in a fairly weak field in Singapore. Whilst Henrik Stenson and Tommy Fleetwood look plenty short enough in the betting on the back of disappointing efforts in Abu Dhabi. For those looking for a bet at three figure prices there are 3 players who catch the eye and are worth considering, all of whom are big hitting types capable of bringing the par 5’s to their knees. Bernd Weisberger has a couple of top 10’s here and showed a bit of form last week and similar comments apply to Nicolas Colsaerts. Whilst anyone looking to take a real flyer is pointed in the direction of Alvaro Quiros at Bet UK’s 250/1*, the Spaniard is quite clearly not the player he once was, but has a victory, a 4th and a 6th place finish at this track and could possibly be inspired to roll back the years.
Bet UK’s Golf Betting Tips
|2.5pts EW||Thomas Pieters||21/1*|
|1.5pts EW||Haotng Li||32/1*|
|1.5pts EW||Louis Oosthuizen||13/1*|
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*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting correct at the time of writing.
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