Borussia Dortmund v Schalke Betting Tips
The Bundesliga becomes the first league to return to action this weekend, with a full weekend of fixtures to look forward to. Amongst the fixtures, the highlight is undoubtedly the Revierderby between Borussia Dortmund and Schalke. The rivalry goes back almost 100 years and is one of the most heated local derbies in Germany. The fact that both sides are in the top 6 of the Bundesliga and have plenty to play for just adds more fuel to the fire ahead of Saturday’s match.
Borussia Dortmund - 10/19 To Win
Borussia Dortmund’s Recent Bundesliga Form
Dortmund’s Season So Far
Borussia Dortmund currently sit 2nd in the Bundesliga table, one of four teams that still have a realistic chance of winning the title. They are just 4 points behind Bayern Munich with 9 games left to play, including a game against Bayern at the Westfalenstadion. As we’ve come to expect of Dortmund in recent years, they have been exhilarating going forward, but sometimes a bit slack when defending. 68 goals scored is the second most in the league, with stars like Sancho, Reus and Haaland leading the line for BvB. Mats Hummels was brought back as an elder statesman in a young defence, but Dortmund still have the worst defensive record in the top 5.
When Dortmund play, it’s almost a guarantee that they will score. Jadon Sancho might be their top scorer, but all eyes will be on Norwegian striker Erling Haaland. Since joining in January, Haaland has scored 12 goals in 11 games in all competition, a remarkable record for any player. The enforced break might have worked in Haaland’s favour, after starting his season back on 19th July with Red Bull Salzburg. A fully fit and rested Haaland is already amongst the most deadly strikers in the world, so expect him to come back firing against Schalke.
Schalke 04 - 19/4 To Win
Schalke’s Recent Bundesliga Form
Schalke’s Season So Far
Despite their awful recent form, Schalke still sit in 6th in the Bundesliga and have a good chance of European qualification. Schalke have actually been as high as 3rd this season after an impressive start to the year. Impressive wins against RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach show the potential of this side, but consistency seems to be the issue. Potential might be the key word surrounding Schalke at the moment. An average age of 23.56 in their squad makes them one of the youngest sides in Europe, not just Germany.
Whilst Schalke have developed a strong defence with their young stars, going forward they have been less impressive. No one in their squad has scored more than 7 goals in all competitions. With their impressive defence and lack of any forward presence, their games are amongst the lowest scoring in the Bundesliga. The first Dortmund v Schalke game of the season ended 0-0, and although Dortmund will attack from the first minute, expect a similar result on Saturday.
Where’s The Value Bet?
As with most derby matches, recent form can almost be thrown out of the window ahead of the Revierderby. Instead, we are better off looking at the recent matches between the two sides. In the last 10 matches between Dortmund and Schalke, there have been an average of 3.3 goals, but more interestingly, there have been 5 draws. Regardless of the difference in quality between Dortmund and their rivals, they have only managed to beat them 3 times in 2015. So, we can expect a draw and a few goals, which makes the ‘Draw with Goals’ market the perfect one to look at here. Odds of 33/10 present great value for a result that recent history seems to favour.
Where To Watch Borussia Dortmund v Schalke
Borussia Dortmund v Schalke will be shown live on BT Sport 1 from 2:30pm on Saturday 16th May.
Bet UK’s Headline Betting Tip
Schalke might still have European football hopes, but Dortmund have a lot more to play for with the Bundesliga title in their sights. So, we expect Dortmund to come out all guns blazing and put Schalke to the sword, announcing their intentions of a first league title in 8 years.