Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips
As the football season draws to a close, there aren’t many bigger games left around Europe than this weekend’s Der Klassiker. Coming into the weekend, just one point separates Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. It’s a stark change for the Bundesliga who has grown used to Bayern’s dominance in recent years. Ahead of the German clash, Bet UK preview both sides chances and bring you 5 betting tips for the game. Head over to our online betting for the latest Bayern v Dortmund betting odds, as well as football betting odds for all Bundesliga matches this season.
Bayern Munich Bundesliga Form
Last Time Out In The League
Bayern Munich dropped points for the first time in almost 2 months in a 1-1 draw away at mid table Freiburg. It took just 3 minutes for Bayern to go a goal behind. A perfect cross from the left wing was flicked on by Freiburg striker Lucas Holer, giving Sven Ulreich no chance. Freiburg continued to impress and saw Mike Frantz have a shot cleared off the line after a blistering counter attack. Bayern equalised on 22 minutes after a scuffed Leon Goretzka effort fell to Robert Lewandowski, who controlled and acrobatically finished into the far corner. The inevitable Bayern pressure came in the second half and Robert Lewandowski twice had the chance to put the Bavarian ahead. Once when played in one on one, and again when hammering a rebounded shot over from 6 yards. Bayern now sit 2nd just 1 point behind Dortmund ahead of this weekend’s game.
Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga Form
Last Time Out In The League
This season, Dortmund have become the king of late goals in the Bundesliga. This season, they have scored nine goals after the 90th minute, giving them an extra nine points in the title race so far. Against Wolfsburg, it was no different as 2 late Paco Alcacer goals handed them the advantage over Bayern. Dortmund were the better side throughout the game, with Jadon Sancho and Marco Reus both having chances. Wolfsburg keeper Koen Casteels was impressive throughout the match, but in the end, he was massively at fault for Dortmund’s first goal. Paco Alcacer powered home a freekick right on the edge of the area, but Casteels could only palm his shot into the side netting. Three minutes later, Casteels could do nothing as Paco Alcacer completely wrong footed him and curled his effort into the bottom corner. The late drama, coupled with Bayern’s draw, sent Dortmund back to the top of the Bundesliga on 63 points.
The Bundesliga Title Race So Far
This year’s title race has been the closest for years, since Dortmund last won the Bundesliga under Jurgen Klopp. In fact, in 2018 Bayern had the title wrapped up by this stage under Jupp Heynckes for a record 5th Bundesliga in a row. This season has been very different however and if not for Dortmund’s stuttering start to the year, this could have been a meaningless game. Dortmund started the season 15 games unbeaten, whereas Bayern struggled to adapt to Niko Kovac’s tactics. Although they started with 4 wins, a run of only 2 wins from their next 8 saw them drop as low as 6th. Ahead of the winter break, both teams picked up plenty of wins but Dortmund pulled away with a six point lead.
Since becoming ‘Winter Champions’ Dortmund have seemingly succumbed to the pressure however. In February, a run of three draws, a loss and just one win from five matches saw them drop into 2nd place for the first time since September. Bayern on the other hand, went on a six game winning run, scoring 24 goals in the process. Last weekend saw another dramatic turn of events however. Bayern Munich dropped points away at Freiburg, meaning a Dortmund win against Wolfsburg would send them top. After 90 minutes the game was 0-0, before super sub Paco Alcacer scored twice in stoppage time to send Dortmund top. They were the 4th and 5th goals that Alcacer has scored past the 90th minute this season. It’s the view of most pundits that whoever wins this weekend’s match will win the league this year. Can Alcacer step up once again to give Dortmund a late win?
Where’s the Value Bet?
If there’s one thing that both of these sides have guaranteed this season, it’s goals. In their combined matches, Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund have seen an average of just over 3.5 goals in all of their matches so far. That’s nearly half a goal higher than the league average. When looking at the recent matches between these sides, there is an even higher average of 4.2 goals in their last 5 games against each other. Earlier this season, it finished 3-2 and if anything, Bayern have improved their goalscoring, so we are going for a similar outcome. At 21/20*, over 4.5 is well worth a punt.
How To Watch Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
Bayern v Dortmund will be shown live on BT Sport 1 from 5:30pm on Saturday 6th April.
Bet UK’s Headline Betting Tip
Home advantage proved to be the key in the first meeting between these sides, and we expect the same again. Bayern should edge this one in a high scoring game.
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*All odds from Bet UK’s online betting correct at the time of writing.
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