Austrian Open Betting Tips
Robert Cobley is a maths graduate with years of experience in the sports betting industry. He has now teamed up with Bet UK to bring his golf betting tips to our readers. So far in 2020, Rob Cobley is 27 points in profit when betting on the PGA Tour. That means for a £1 stake, Cobley is £27 in profit so far.
The Diamond Country Club - Atzenbrugg - Par 72, 7,150 Yards
The Diamond Country Club in northern rural Austria is the venue for the return on the European Tour this week. Nestled in rolling countryside in this beautiful part of the World, the Diamond Club has been an ever present stop on the European Tour since 2010, mostly as the host to the Lyoness Open and now, following last year's disappearance from the schedule, it returns once again as the Austrian Open as it was founded ten years ago.
The course is a tougher test than its length might suggest with tight fairways, well protected greens, and over ten water hazards awaiting the field. The first hole provides an early false sense of security; the par 5 measuring just 490 yards seems an easy obstacle but, once that is out of the way, the course does bare its teeth, particularly in tougher conditions, and this week isn't forecast to be easy. There won't be many drivers from the tees. The fairways are usually hard and bouncy, and the course has a links like feel. This is born out in some of the previous winners here including Chris Wood and South African Dylan Fritelli who excel in tough links conditions. This week's winner doesn't need to be long, but they need to be accurate from the tees, and able to control the distance with their irons into the well guarded putting surfaces.
The Market Leaders
The European Tour will be slightly disappointed with the standard of the field that will assemble for its return this week. The Austrian Open is not the most captivating event, and with the excellent looking British Series just around the corner and travel restrictions in place for many players, it is perhaps understandable that this has more the feel of a warm up event in many ways. That does not however detract from a top class leading market trio who will be looking to get their season back under way in style. Joost Luiten (6/1) has a stunning record here having won in 2013, and never finished outside the top 7 at Diamond Country Club. The dutchman has a lovely wind game, and all the necessary facets to be successful here. He hits fairways with unerring regularity, and has a wonderful iron game that has seen him twice inside the top 10 at the British Open. Before the lockdown, Luiten had made six consecutive cuts and posted back to back top 20 finishes. It is unknown where his game is now, but if he picks up that form, then the price seems fair for a player with a very real chance this week.
Thomas Detry (15/2) has similar strengths to Luiten, but all slightly watered down. He is a good, tall, wind player, and fits the bill for the venue, but he has been found considerably lacking in consistency and discipline. Whilst, if he brings his 'A' game, the price seems fair, it happens far too infrequently to consider Detry a serious 15/2 shot in an event with so many unknowns as this one. One bad shot often leads to several more, and in unusual circumstances and tough conditions, I cannot trust Detry and am happy to be against him here. Spain's Adri Arnaus (14/1) makes slightly more appeal, but was not in good form in the early part of the year and is another making his debut in Austria. He is a creative player who performs well on shorter links like venues. His game is similar to 2018 winner Mikko Korhonen, but again there are just too many variables to be taking this price on Arnaus here.
Rob’s Golf Betting Tips
Headline Betting Tip
Italian Lorenzo Gagli was enjoying a strong bounce back season in the late part of 2019, and early 2020, and he is one of the players that I can see carrying that through into the remainder of the season. Gagli is a disciplined and hard working competitor who is one of the more likely to have maintained his pre lockdown form that saw him post finishes of 10th and 12th in his last two events, and he comes to a venue where he has previously enjoyed top 10 finishes in wildly more competitive fields than this. The tougher conditions will help, and Gagli enjoys shorter venues such as this and Crans in the Swiss Alps where he lost in a playoff earlier in the season. The price might seem short for such an infrequent winner, but i really like the chances of Lorenzo this week and shall be having 3 points e/w at 25/1.
Miguel Angel Jimenez is rarely seen on the main tour these days, and at 53 will certainly be the oldest tip that I'll be making for some time, however there is so much to like about the Spaniard here. This is one stop that Miguel has continued to make regularly, and not without success. His 12th place finish here in 2018 showed his ability to compete at this level, and his form on the Seniors Tour since then, particularly on shorter links like venues has been quite superb. Jimenez is a natural golfer and albeit in a different way, another likely to have been less affected by the lockdown. He would love another moment in the sun, and this field offers him a spectacular chance to achieve one. Length won't be a problem, and for me the success will be largely dependent on the kind of putting week that Miguel has. If his short game is up to scratch he is a serious contender and justifies the price. I suggest backing him with 2 points e/w at 25/1.
Sweden's Mikael Lundgerg won this event back in 2014 and of all the courses on Tour this is the one that he has performed at above and beyond any other. That win has been accompanied by three other top 30 finishes, and earlier this year Lundberg had been showing signs of life on the Challenge Tour where he now plies most of his trade. He is another fairly short player who relies on accuracy and scrambling to collate a score, and that fits well with Diamond Country Club. Lundberg might not usually be a bet, but in a week where so much is unknown, and at such a big price, I'm prepared to back his natural affinity here and think he is too big a price. I have had 1 point e/w at 150/1.
Following a rolling profit of 463 points in 2019, I am looking for an even better 2020. Each week i will pick between 2 to 4 selections at each event on the European and PGA Tours, and suggest a suitable staking plan.
|European Tour||-69 points|
|PGA Tour||+27 points|