Alfred Dunhill Betting Tips

Alfred Dunhill Championship Golf Betting Tips

Bet UK’s golf betting expert Luke Tredget brings you his latest betting tips ahead of the Alfred Dunhill Championship. Bet UK’s online sportsbook has the latest Alfred Dunhill Championship betting odds, as well as golf betting odds for all tournaments.

The Course

After an absence of a year, The European Tour returns to Leopard Creek, South Africa. The course has apparently undergone a significant makeover, with plenty more bunkers in play and the greens are now Bentgrass rather than Kikuyu grass. There’s still a fair bit of water in-play on this undulating track, and as ever the wildlife on its fringes will provide some spectacular scenes. The last six Leopard Creek winners have hailed from South Africa.

The Big Names At Leopard Creek

The betting is dominated by five players, four of whom are South African. Louis Oosthuizen is favourite with Bet UK, followed by Charl Schwartzel, Branden Grace, Matt Wallace and Dylan Fritelli. Oosthuizen is rightly perched at the top of the market, he fulfilled a childhood dream by winning the South African Open last week and did so in the smooth sweet swinging style of King Louis at his best. His long game had been purring for a while, but last week he added a wonderful putting touch and if the form with the flat stick remains he’s going to be hard to beat once again. However, Oosthuizen was incredibly emotional after winning his home Open and perhaps he will be a touch drained in the early stages of this event. Additionally his record at Leopard Creek is shockingly bad for a player of his calibre, although it’s likely that’s more coincidence than anything else. Overall at around 9/2* it’s probably best to pass the opportunity of including him in the staking plan, despite the fact it would come as no surprise should he triumph on Sunday. One player we won’t be passing on is second favourite Charl Schwartzel. Schwartzel arrived in Joburg last week speaking bullishly about his golf game, but there was precious little evidence available to punters that suggested that was the case. Schwartzel backed up his pre tee-off chat with an excellent performance, ultimately finishing 3rd. Oosthuizen was a thoroughly deserving winner, but Schwartzel will be fuming with his performance on the greens during round 3, his friend and South African compatriot was holing everything whilst Charl’s putter was ice cold. This week we may well see a different story on the greens, as nobody in the field will know them as well as Schwartzel. The former Masters champion has won around Leopard Creek four times already in his career, and his overall record at the track is just phenomenal. Bet UK have Schwartzel as a 7/1* chance, and given it feels exceedingly unlikely he’ll be out the frame that looks worth a wager in the hope he can turn around last week’s result versus Louis.

Branden Grace - 14/1* To Win

Branden Grace is another former champion and he also played well last week in patches, but the feeling remains he’s operating at about 85-90% of his capability and it’s likely that won’t be enough to surpass Oosthuizen or Schwartzel this week. Matt Wallace missed the cut on his only look at Leopard Creek back in 2016, but he’s a far different player now and is respected every time he tees it up. Wallace finished 15th in Joburg last week after looking like going closer than that for most of the tournament. He didn’t seem overly enamoured with the state of his game, and having played a lot of golf recently perhaps is in need of the Christmas break more than most. Dylan Frittelli flopped completely last week when very well backed and whilst that performance is not indicative of his talent, there is no need to get involved at 14/1* here with that performance fresh in the memory.

Zander Lombard - 80/1* To Win

Zander Lombard hits plenty of Greens in Regulation when there’s room off the tee and whilst Leopard Creek can be narrow in places, there will certainly be enough chances for the powerful Lombard to open his shoulders. His 15th place finish last week showed that he remains in good form, after an excellent performance just over a month ago at European Tour Qualifying School where he finished joint top of the leaderboard and retained his card with ease. Lombard hasn’t achieved much in two visits to Leopard Creek but there seems no logical reason why he can’t play well here and the 80/1* offered by Bet UK seems a big price.

Brandon Stone - 21/1* To Win

Our third and final bet in this event will be another South African the talented youngster Brandon Stone. Stone already has three European Tour victories to his name and that includes a triumph here at Leopard Creek in 2016. After a spell of rather average form, it wasn’t a huge surprise to see a return to his homeland invigorate Stone, and he looked in good nick and improved as the week went on, on his way to a 7th place finish. When on song Stone has few weaknesses in his game and a return to Leopard Creek looks likely to produce another excellent finish.

Notable Others

The 23 year old Frenchman Romain Langasque has been well backed in the Bet UK offices the last two weeks and it’s easy to see why. Langasque possesses all the tools to go to the top of the game and there’s every chance he’ll be a threat again this week. He rewarded each way backers in Joburg, and whilst he may do so again here it’s tough to get excited about the price this week. Thomas Aiken is another South African who should go well, he brings a mix of course and current form to the table that has be respected, and Dean Burmester is yet another from the host nation who will have his backers given his two top 20’s here on his last two visits. For those who like to back a player at three figure prices, Gregory Bourdy (two top 3 finishes here) and Bryce Easton (pleasing showing last week) are worthy of consideration.

Recommendations:

Points Golfer Odds
2.5pts EW Charl Schwartzel 7/1*
1pt EW Zander Lombard 80/1*
1pt EW Brandon Stone 21/1*

*All odds from Bet UK’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.

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